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From: rafapr (rafapr{at}centennialpr.net)
Date: Sun Sep 15 2002 - 17:26:59 EDT
All in all, forecast seen to have fallen flat on it's face.
SJ WB reports only .35" rain during last 24 hours. Ponce, on Puerto Rico's
southern coast, reported 17 mph winds, gusting to 23 mph. Mayagüez, on
Puerto Rico's western coast, 22 mph winds. Both reports at 4:00 pm AST
(20:00 GMT), rain reports from last 2 locations are described as heavy rain,
no accumulation reported.
Flash flood warnings are in effect for all of Puerto Rico until 8:00 pm AST
(00:00 GMT). I wouldn't be surprised if it is extended. The short term
forecast indicated that gusts of 40 mph may be felt. Tonight's forecast is
for 50% rain.
A colleague's observation station reported 1/2" rain today, and 8.3 mpg
gusts at noon. This is in Río Piedras, a scant 3 miles from my post. My old
finger method would suggest slightly stronger winds, but just slightly. I
have been hearing thunder, all afternoon.
Minor landfalls are reported in Guayanilla, Yauco and Cayey. Shelters remain
closed, although additional rain tonight might change this.
I would venture to guess that Puerto Rico was caught between 2 rain bands,
one to the north and the other to the south, as per IF satellite imaginary.
Apparently we were spared the brunt of the fringes what was TD 10.
Authorities are warning that more rain could cause flooding, as terrain is
saturated. I'd venture to guess that some people will sleep with a eye open,
just in case.
If anything, the "rain" is a good excuse for a shrimp "asopao" and
"aguacate", tonight.
It would appear that the "pronóstico aguacatero" is holding up. We are into
mid September, and still have seen no storm activity on this end of the
Caribbean. This said, without loosing sight of the wave, 1,500 miles from
the Lesser Antilles.
It just takes a good one to blow your socks off, (no pun intended).
Rafael Buxeda Díaz
El Tiempo en Puerto Rico Weather
Stocked up with black and white cookies at 18°26'37.4460"N, 66.04'15.3224W
(18.4437351°N, 66.0709229°W)
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