Because the tropical Atlantic has fallen into a new era of intense
hurricane activity, the upcoming season should be active, last well into
October and pose a serious threat to the United States, government
scientists warned on Tuesday.
While they did not predict an exact number of hurricanes, researchers for
the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration say the climatic
ingredients are in place for intense hurricane development. They say it
should be busier than an average season, which has eight to 11 named
storms, including five to seven hurricanes.
But their greater concern is there could be three or more major hurricanes,
with winds greater than 110 mph, or about double the normal number of
intense storms. While major hurricanes account for only 20 percent of the
landfalls, they cause about 80 percent of the damage.
Renowned expert William Gray, a Colorado State University professor who has
been making hurricane predictions since 1984, will give an updated forecast
for the 2002 season on Friday. In a preliminary forecast, he predicted 13
named storms, including eight hurricanes.
MORE:
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/broward/search/sfl-sforecast03apr03.story
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Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - jesse{at}weathermatrix.net
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