Ed. Note: Not sure why this did'nt go through this morning. Anyway,
the
evening update is that Michelle is now a CATEGORY 4 DANGEROUS STORM.
What is a Category 4?
"Storm surge generally 13-18 ft above normal. More extensive
curtainwall
failures with some complete roof structure failures on small
residences.
Shrubs, trees, and all signs are blown down. Complete destruction of
mobile homes. Extensive damage to doors and windows. Low-lying escape
routes may be cut by rising water 3-5 hours before arrival of the
hurricane center. Major damage to lower floors of structures near the
shore. Terrain lower than 10 ft above sea level may be flooded
requiring
massive evacuation of residential areas as far inland as 6 miles (10
km). Hurricane Luis of 1995 was a Category Four hurricane while moving
over the Leeward Islands. Hurricanes Felix and Opal of 1995 also
reached
Catgeory Four status at peak intensity."
-- From http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshs.html
Satellite & NOW RADAR pictures at:
http://www.weathermatrix.net/tropical/2001/15/
WEATHERMATRIX HEADLINE 11/3/01 8PM...DANGEROUS HURRICANE MICHELLE
ADVANCES
SLOWLY TOWARD WESTERN CUBA... NOW A CATEGORY 4... COULD NEAR A CAT 5
(SEE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE)... STORM IS NOW SHOWING UP ON CUBAN RADAR... AND
IS
STARTING TO SHOW UP ON US RADAR... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT
FOR WESTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO
CIEGO
DE
AVILA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS... INCLUDING
FLORIDA BAY... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
GRAND
CAYMAN...
ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
BAHAMA ISLANDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MICHELLE.
WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE UPGRADED AND EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER
TONIGHT... MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...
======================================================================
===========
This morning's email:
WEATHERMATRIX HEADLINE 11/03/01... 8AM... Wind sustained at 130 mph
with
gusts
to
160 mph (Cat 3)... Stationary... Forecast Thoughts From AccuWeather...
National Hurricane Center Shows Her Nearing Cat 4, possible Cat 5
Strength
within 24 hours...
http://www.weathermatrix.net/tropical/2001/15/
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCES FROM PINAR DEL RIO EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM OCEAN REEF WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...
INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF GRAND CAYMAN.
ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA
SHOULD CONTINUE CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHELLE. WATCHES
AND WARNING MAY BE UPGRADED AND EXTENDED NORTHWARD LATER TODAY.
--
================================================================
Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - jesse{at}weathermatrix.net
WeatherMatrix |||| http://www.weathermatrix.net/ |||| ICQ 136832
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