Hello,
Just cc&p'd this together before i head to work. I will be thinking of
the storms this afternoon, i hope at least some of you have good chases.
Moderate risk now extends to just south od Mason Dixon line. In nw VA,
we have high threat of damaging wind, moderate threat of large hail, &
slight risk of tornados. Max QPFs
are at 1.5" in the LWX forecast area. Hopefully the storms will wait
till later today, so i can film them here. However t-storms have fired
arleady to the NW and temp now is 81 and DP is 70%.
Steve Minghini
Winchester VA
====
WWUS81 KLWX 011416
SPSLWX
DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-012130-
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE-WASHINGTON
1015 AM EDT SUN JUL 1 2001
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATES THAT
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS NORTHWESTERN VIRGINIA... WESTERN MARYLAND AND THE EASTERN
PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR CENTRAL AND LOWER
SOUTHERN MARYLAND... THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA... AND THE REST OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA. THIS INCLUDES THE ENTIRE WASHINGTON DC
AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS.
AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS
COLD FRONT... AND SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
WHILE LARGE HAIL IS ALSO A THREAT.
THOSE PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD PAY
PARTICULAR ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER. IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH THE
AREA... TAKE SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.
$$
MARGRAF!
=====
Current Day 1 outlook from SPC
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
=====
And Larry Cosgrove's newsletter did not get out this am... he wrote:
From: WXAMERICA{at}aol.com Date: Sun, Jul 1, 2001, 4:28am To:
WXAMERICA1{at}aol.com Subject: Computer Crash Means No
WEATHERAmerica For Sunday (Sorry)
Friends,
Just as I hit the send button my computer "went to sleep"! Therefore,
the
newsletter will not be published today (July 1 2001) but will resume
tomorrow. Some quick comments to note:
1) A significant outbreak of severe weather is likely today across
extreme E
QB, N Br, ME, NH, VT, MA, RI, CT, NY, NJ, PA, DE, MD, DC, VA, WV, KY,
OH, IN,
and C/S IL as a string cold front moves through the Northeast. No major
changes in reasoning or model information are apparent compared to the
previous convective outline issued by me on June 30.
2) Yet another episode of powerful thunderstorms will take shape over
the
northern High Plains late today and tonight. This feature, which will
link
with a very powerful (re: COLD) trough complex in the Prairie Provinces,
should target the Upper Midwest tomorrow, the Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley on
Tuesday, then hit New England and the Mid-Atlantic states on (you
guessed it)
July 4th.
Have a great Sunday!
Larry Cosgrove
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