The USA Disaster Situation Report
I have never rated a risk assessment as extremely severe until today.
Currently the risk areas have been revised and thus this special SitRep.
Tomorrow's Risk - Extremely Severe
The 10% probability area for extremely severe weather area covers extreme
east northeast Kansas, extreme east southeast Nebraska, Iowa except the far
northwest area, extreme southeast
Minnesota, central through southern Wisconsin, Illinois except the east
southeast 1/3 of the state, and
Missouri except the southern area.
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over northeast
Texas, northern Louisiana, the northwest 1/3 of Mississippi, the northwest
1/3 of Tennessee,
Kentucky except the central east, central south and southeast areas, north
northeast North Carolina,
Virginia except the extreme southwestern area, West Virginia, Maryland,
Delaware, Pennsylvania
except the far eastern area, western New York, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan,
Illinois, Wisconsin, the
southeast 2/3 of Minnesota, southeast South Dakota, Iowa, the southeast 1/2
of Nebraska, the northeast 1/2 of Kansas, Missouri, the eastern 1/2 of
Oklahoma , and Arkansas.
The 15% probability area covers far northeast Texas, extreme north northeast
Louisiana, extreme
northwest Mississippi, far northwest Tennessee, the north northwest 1/2 of
Kentucky, West Virginia
except the extreme south and far east areas, extreme west southwest
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan except the far northwest peninsula,
Illinois, Wisconsin except the far northwest area,
south southeast
Minnesota, extreme southeast South Dakota, Iowa, east central through
eastern
Nebraska, east northeast Kansas, Missouri, eastern Oklahoma, and
Arkansas.
The 25% probability area covers, extreme east northeast Kansas, far east
southeast Nebraska, Iowa except the extreme northwest area, extreme
southeast
Minnesota, Wisconsin except the northern area, Michigan except the far
eastern and northern peninsula areas, Illinois except the far southeast
area, and
Missouri except the far southern and southeastern area.
The 35% probability area covers extreme east northeast Kansas, extreme east
southeast Nebraska, Iowa except the far northwest area, extreme southeast
Minnesota, central through southern Wisconsin, Illinois except the east
southeast 1/3 of the state, and
Missouri except the southern area.
The 45% probability area covers the southeast 2/3 of Iowa, extreme southeast
Minnesota, the southwest 1/5 of Wisconsin, northwest Illinois , and
northern Missouri.
The information presented here is not authoritative.
It contains preliminary and partial information reports. It is intended to serve as a general daily digest of disaster related reports. Any other use is not intended or authorized.
The Disaster Center is a partner with CASI - Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. CASI is a group of over a thousand amateur and professional meteorologists, storm spotters, and weather observers from around the world dedicated to the observation and documentation of weather events
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