The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 10, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article NIDA And Partners Announce National Initiative On Prescription
Drug
Misuse And Abuse
=> Article FEMA Asks Congress For $2.1 Billion 2002 Budget
=> Article The US National Commission on Libraries and Information Science
(NCLIS)
has just completed Volume 1 of the Comprehensive Assessment of Public
Information
Dissemination.
=> Article FAA -- United States Moves Closer to Accident Reduction Goal
=> Article Mennonite Disaster Service Update
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
http://www.disastercenter.com/Rothstein/
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 10, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Mon...96 At Presidio TX
Low Tue...9 At West Yellowstone MT
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings are no longer being provided to see current warning please
go to:
U.S. National Weather Service's Active Warning's page
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/graphicsversion/bigmain.html
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Severe
The 10% probability area for an F2 or greater tornado covers central north
Texas including the
eastern panhandle, far southwest and far central west Oklahoma.
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over southwest central through
central north Texas,
Oklahoma except the the southeast and western panhandle area, Kansas,
extreme southern
Nebraska, extreme northwest and extreme northeast Arkansas, Missouri except
the extreme central
south and from north central through northern Missouri, the southern 1/2 of
Illinois, the southern 1/2
of Indiana, the southern 1/3 of Ohio, the southwest 2/3 of West Virginia,
extreme northwest Virginia,
Kentucky except the south southeast area, and extreme northwest Tennessee.
The 5% probability area covers west central through central north Texas, the
northwest 1/2 of
Oklahoma except the western panhandle area, and Kansas except the extreme
northern and far
eastern areas. Also over southeast Indiana, northeast Kentucky, western
West Virginia, and far
south southwest Ohio.
The 15% probability area cover central north Texas including the eastern
panhandle, the northwest
1/3 of Oklahoma except the central and western panhandle area, central
through central south
Kansas.
Hail Risk - Severe
The 10% probability area for severe hail over 2 inches in diameter covers
central north Texas
including the eastern panhandle, the northwest 1/3 of Oklahoma except the
central and western
panhandle area, central through central south Kansas.
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger over southwest central
through central north
Texas, Oklahoma except the extreme southeast and far western panhandle area,
Kansas, extreme
eastern Colorado, Nebraska except the northwest area, far southeastern South
Dakota, extreme
south southwestern Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, far south southwest Minnesota,
Illinois, Indiana, far
south southwestern Michigan, Ohio except the far northeast area, southwest
Pennsylvania, West
Virginia, west southwest Maryland, Virginia except the extreme southeastern
area, Kentucky except
the extreme south southeast area, far north northwest Tennessee, the far
northern and northwest area
of Arkansas.
The 15% probability area covers southwest central through central north
Texas, Oklahoma except
the far southeast and far western panhandle area, Kansas, Nebraska except
the northwest area,
extreme southeastern South Dakota, Iowa except the extreme northern area,
Missouri except the
extreme southeast area, Illinois, Indiana, extreme south southwestern
Michigan, Ohio except the
northeast area, far southwest Pennsylvania, West Virginia, west southwest
Maryland, Virginia except
the extreme southeastern area, Kentucky except the far south southeast area,
far north northwest
Tennessee, and extreme northwest Arkansas.
The 25% probability area covers central north Texas including the eastern
panhandle, the northwest
1/3 of Oklahoma except the central and western panhandle area, central
through central south
Kansas. Also over south central through southeast Indiana, northeast
Kentucky, western West
Virginia, and south southwest Ohio.
The 35% probability area covers central north Texas including the eastern
panhandle, far southwest
and far central west Oklahoma.
Wind Risk - Severe
The 10% probability area for winds in excess of 65 knots covers extreme
central north Texas
including the eastern panhandle, the northwest 1/3 of Oklahoma and western
panhandle area, and
Kansas except the eastern far northern and extreme eastern areas.
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots covers southwest
central through central
north Texas, Oklahoma except the far southeast and western panhandle area,
Kansas, southern
Nebraska, the southern 1/3 of Iowa, Missouri except the extreme southeast
area, Illinois except the
far northern area, Indiana except the extreme northern, Ohio except the
north northeast, extreme
southwest Pennsylvania, West Virginia, extreme west southwest Maryland,
Virginia except the
extreme southeastern area, Kentucky except the far south southeast area,
north northwest
Tennessee, and extreme northwest and extreme north northeast Arkansas.
The 15% probability area covers southwest central through central north
Texas, Oklahoma except
the far southeast and western panhandle area, Kansas, far southern Nebraska,
Missouri except the
extreme northern and extreme southeastern area, and extreme central
southwest Illinois. Also far
east southeast Indiana, the southern 1/3 of Ohio, West Virginia except the
extreme northeast area,
Virginia except the extreme south southwest, extreme east northeast and far
southeast areas, and
northeast Kentucky.
The 25% probability area covers central north Texas including the eastern
panhandle, the northwest
1/3 of Oklahoma and western panhandle area, and Kansas except the eastern
far northern and
extreme eastern areas.
The 35% probability area covers extreme central north Texas including the
eastern panhandle, the
northwest 1/3 of Oklahoma and western panhandle area, and Kansas except the
eastern far northern
and extreme eastern areas.
Tomorrow's Risk - Extremely Severe
The 10% probability area for extremely severe weather covers north northeast
Oklahoma, central
and eastern Kansas, far southeast Nebraska, Iowa except the far northwest
area, far southeast
Minnesota, Wisconsin except the northwest area, Illinois except the east
southeast 1/3 of the state,
Missouri except the far southeast area, and extreme north northwest
Arkansas.
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over central north
through northeast
Texas, northern Louisiana, the northwest 1/3 of Mississippi, the northwest
1/3 of Tennessee,
Kentucky except the central east, central south and southeast areas, north
northeast North Carolina,
Virginia except the extreme southwestern area, West Virginia, Maryland,
Delaware, Pennsylvania
except the far eastern area, western New York, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan,
Illinois, Wisconsin, the
southeast 2/3 of Minnesota, southeast South Dakota, Iowa, the southeast 2/3
of Nebraska, Kansas
except the far southwest area, Missouri, Oklahoma except the far western
area, and Arkansas.
The 15% probability area covers north northeast Texas, extreme northern
Louisiana, extreme
northwest Mississippi, extreme northwest Tennessee, extreme northwest and
extreme northern
Kentucky, Virginia except the extreme southeast area and south southwest
areas, West Virginia
except the extreme south southwest area, Maryland except the extreme
northwest area, the
southwest 1/3 of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin,
the southeast 1/4 of
Minnesota, extreme southeast South Dakota, Iowa, the southeast 1/3 of
Nebraska, Kansas except
the far western area, Missouri, Oklahoma except the western area, and
Arkansas.
The 25% probability area covers the northeast 1/3 of Oklahoma, central and
eastern Kansas, far
southeast Nebraska, Iowa except the far northwest area, far southeast
Minnesota, Wisconsin except
the northern area, Illinois except the east southeast 1/3 of the state,
Missouri except the far southeast
area, and north northwest Arkansas.
Day Three's Risk -
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3prob.gif
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98q.gif
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94e.gif
Excessive Rainfall Forecast - Today
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/93s.gif
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/93s.gif
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94s.gif
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/us/nationalflood.html
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, APRIL 6, 2001 - 1000 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL 1
CURRENT SITUATION:
A total of ten new large fires were reported this past week, nine in the
Southern Area and one in the Southwest. Initial attack activity was
moderate in the Southern Area and light elsewhere in the nation. High
pressure will begin to build over the eastern Atlantic states establishing
a southwest flow, bringing in warm, moist air over the Southern Area and a
chance for isolated thunderstorms.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
HORIZON, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is located in Highlands
County, FL.
CORBETT, Florida Division of Forestry. The fire is in Palm Beach County,
FL.
BIG SWAMP COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. The fire is burning in
Polk County, FL.
OUTLOOK:
A new weather system is approaching the Pacific Northwest bringing rain
and unseasonably low snow levels to northern California, Oregon,
Washington and Idaho. High temperatures will range from the 30's to 40's
in the Pacific Northwest to the 60's and 70's in the desert Southwest.
Widespread thunderstorms and severe weather conditions will extend from
Dallas, TX into the northern Plains. Kansas and Nebraska will experience
strong winds and a high risk of tornado activity. Daytime high
temperatures are forecasted to be in the mid 40's to the mid 50's in the
northern portion of the region, 60 to 70 from western Texas through
Illinois, and the upper 80's to low 90's in southern Texas.
The South will experience partly cloudy skies and a chance for isolated
thunderstorms. A high pressure system will begin to build over the
Atlantic. High temperatures will range from the 60's to 70's in the
northern half of the area and in the 80's throughout the rest of the
region.
A low pressure system moving across the Northeast bringing rain showers
over Washington,DC and northward. Rain should change to snow across
Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine. Daytime high temperatures will be in the
40's from Maine to Boston, in the 50's through the middle of the area, and
in the 60's from New Jersey southward.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 APR 10 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 APR 8 21:20:00.00 37.8 N 122.1 W 5 km 2.7
10 miles ESE of Oakland, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> NIDA And Partners Announce National Initiative On Prescription Drug
Misuse And
Abuse
http://www.nih.gov/news/pr/apr2001/nida-10.htm
The National Institute on Drug Abuse (NIDA) and several national
organizations today announced a
public health initiative to raise awareness about recent trends in the
misuse and abuse of prescription
drugs in the United States. The initiative seeks to inform the public,
physicians, pharmacists, and
others about the misuse and abuse of medications and promote additional
research on the subject.
"While prescription drugs can relieve a variety of medical problems and
improve the lives of millions
of Americans, they can be dangerous, addicting - and even deadly - when used
non-medically, " said
NIDA Director Dr. Alan I. Leshner. "An estimated four million people aged 12
or over used
sedatives, stimulants, tranquilizers or opioids for non-medical reasons in
1999."
Joining with NIDA are AARP, the American Academy of Family Physicians, the
American
Pharmaceutical Association, the National Association of Chain Drug Stores,
the National
Community Pharmacists Association, the National Council on Patient
Information and Education,
and the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America.
At a news conference in Washington, DC, Dr. Leshner said, "The reports of
increasing misuse of
prescription drugs in some segments of the population - older adults,
adolescents, and women - are
particularly worrisome because of their numbers and because those numbers
appear to be increasing
rapidly."
Research suggests that more than 17 percent of adults over 60 may be
affected by prescription drug
abuse. New prescription drug abuse has dramatically increased among young
people between
12-25 years old and in a 1999 survey, 12-14 year olds named
psychotherapeutics, such as
painkillers, sedatives, and stimulants, as some of their more frequently
used drugs. Overall, men and
women use prescription drugs non-medically in equal numbers. However, some
studies indicate that
women may be more likely to misuse narcotics and anti-anxiety drugs, in part
because women are
two to three times more likely to be diagnosed with depression and, as a
result, to be treated with
psychotherapeutic drugs. Among 12-17 year olds, young women are more likely
than young men to
use psychotherapeutic drugs non-medically.
Dr. Leshner says doctors, pharmacists, and patients can all play a role in
preventing misuse of
medications. Doctors should ensure that patients understand how to use
prescribed medications and
should also be alert to signs of patient drug abuse. Pharmacists can help by
clearly instructing people
on how to take medication and explaining side effects and potential drug
interactions. They can also
check for false or forged prescriptions. Patients should make sure they know
how to use their
medication, and should always talk to their doctor or pharmacist before
increasing, decreasing, or
stopping any medication.
"Attention must now be paid to the long neglected area of prescription drug
abuse," said Joseph H.
Autry III, M.D., acting administrator, Substance Abuse and Mental Health
Services Administration.
"There is no typical abuser. Medical personnel must use every opportunity to
screen and educate all
of their patients."
As part of this effort, NIDA and its partners are releasing a research
report that highlights the health
consequences of prescription drug misuse and abuse.
In addition to the research report, NIDA is distributing 400,000 postcards
with messages about the
dangers of prescription drugs. The cards are available in restaurants, book
stores, clubs, record
stores, coffee shops, gyms, and other stores in several major cities,
including Los Angeles, Seattle,
San Francisco, New York, Miami, and Mesa, Arizona, the largest retirement
community in the
United States. The cards are also being given out at college campus
locations nationwide.
The National Institute on Drug Abuse is a component of the National
Institutes of Health, U.S.
Department of Health and Human Services. NIDA supports more than 85 percent
of the world's
research on the health aspects of drug abuse and addiction. The Institute
carries out a large variety of
programs to ensure the rapid dissemination of research information and its
implementation in policy
and practice. Fact sheets on the health effects of drugs of abuse and other
topics can be ordered
free of charge in English and Spanish through NIDA Infofax at 1-888-NIH-NIDA
(644-6432) or
1-888-TTY-NIDA (889-6432) for the deaf. These fact sheets and further
information on NIDA
research and other activities can be found on the NIDA home page at
http://www.drugabuse.gov.
=> FEMA Asks Congress For $2.1 Billion 2002 Budget
Washington, April 9, 2001 -- The head of the Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA)
reported today that the agency is asking Congress for Fiscal Year 2002
budget authority of $2.1
billion.
"Our budget request fully funds FEMA's core operations for responding to
disasters while continuing
to emphasize empowerment and personal responsibility as they pertain to
disaster preparedness and
mitigation," FEMA Director Joe M. Allbaugh said in outlining key provisions
of the budget request
for the fiscal year, which runs from October 1, 2001 through September 30,
2002.
According to Allbaugh, FEMA is asking for a total of $1.4 billion for the
President's Disaster Relief
Fund to cover obligations for prior-year declarations and costs for new
small and medium-sized
disasters.
In addition, the budget requests $105.7 million for mitigation programs to
provide both financial and
technical assistance to improve techniques and planning processes aimed at
reducing damage from
earthquakes, hurricanes, dam failures and floods.
The agency is also proposing two major reforms to the National Flood
Insurance Program. These
include eliminating insurance coverage of the worst offending repetitive
loss properties and phasing
out subsidized premium rates for vacation homes, rental properties and other
non-primary residences
and businesses.
Other highlights of the budget request include:
$134.5 million for Emergency Management Performance Grants for state
emergency management
agencies to improve and maintain state and local capabilities for addressing
all hazards.
$139.7 million for the Emergency Food and Shelter Program to supplement
community services for
alleviating hunger and homelessness.
$100 million to continue a competitive grant program for local fire
departments that provides health
and safety equipment and apparatus in support of fire prevention efforts in
rural and low-income
communities.
$5 million to initiate a new fire safety education campaign targeted at
three high-risk populations-the
elderly, children and firefighters.
The 2002 budget also includes $11 million to ensure that Urban Search &
Rescue and mobile
emergency support systems are operational and able to respond to potential
incidents during the
2002 Winter Olympics in Salt Lake City.
The budget proposal calls for 2,590 full-time equivalent, non-disaster FEMA
employees.
=> The US National Commission on Libraries and Information Science
(NCLIS) has
just completed Volume 1 of the Comprehensive Assessment of Public
Information
Dissemination.
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.html
The following files will be available LATER TODAY:
Executive Summary: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.execsum.pdf.
Volume 1 (executive summary, report, and appendices 1 through 10):
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.vol1.pdf. The file is 1,192 KB.
Appendix 1: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen1.pdf. This letter
from Senator McCain is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/mccain.html.
Appendix 2: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen2.pdf. This letter
to Senator McCain is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/replymcc.html.
Appendix 3: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen3.pdf. This letter
from Senator Lieberman is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/liebermn.html.
Appendix 4: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen4.pdf. This letter
to Senator Lieberman is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/liebresp.html.
Appendix 5: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen5.pdf. This letter
to Secretary of Commerce Mineta is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/mineta1.html.
Appendix 6: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen6.pdf. This letter
from Secretary of Commerce Mineta is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/mineta.pdf.
Appendix 7: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen7.pdf. This letter
to Secretary of Commerce Mineta is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/mineta2.html.
Appendix 8: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen8.pdf. This letter
from Secretary of Commerce Mineta is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/mineta11-00.pdf.
Appendix 9: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen9.pdf. This NCLIS
Press Release is already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/news/pr2000/assess1.html.
Appendix 10: http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen10.pdf. The NCLIS
Principles of Public Information are already available as
http://www.nclis.gov/info/pripubin.html.
Volume 1 has been sent to GPO for printing. It is scheduled to be delivered
to the Commission by February 6th. It is my understanding that paper copies
will be sent to all Federal Depository Libraries.
SCHEDULE FOR REMAINING VOLUMES:
Volume 2: Legislative and Regulatory Proposals (Appendices 11 and 12)
should
be available by March 1. When it is available, the file name will be
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.vol2.pdf. It will be printed
through
GPO, and it is my understanding that paper copies will be sent to all
Federal Depository Libraries. I will post a notice to this list as soon as
it is released.
Volume 3: Supplementary Reference Materials (Appendices 13 through 34) is
nearly completed and should be available later this week. When it is
available, the file name will be
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.vol3.pdf. This volume will be
available ONLY in electronic form. I will post a notice to this list as
soon
as it is released.
Volume 4: Compilation of Recent Statutes Relating to Public Information
Dissemination (Appendix 35) should be available in March 2001. When it is
available, the file name will be
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.vol4.pdf. This volume will be
available ONLY in electronic form. An Index to the compilation is available
in Volume 3 as Appendix 33,
http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen33.pdf. I will post a notice
to
this list as soon as Volume 4 is released.
In addition, as they are completed, each appendix will be available as an
individual file at http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.html. The unique
file name for each appendix follows the pattern established above, e.g.,
Appendix 1 is http://www.nclis.gov/govt/assess/assess.appen1.pdf.
=> FAA -- United States Moves Closer to Accident Reduction Goal
=> Mennonite Disaster Service Update
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=> Links Area
TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (SOSE)
Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 19P (Sose) was located approximately 180 miles
east-southeast of New
Caledonia
over the Coral Sea near 23.4S and 170.1E at 18:00 UTC. Sose has been moving
south-southwestward
at 7 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at 50 knots, gusts to 65
knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/S_Pacific/TRCsose099_GM.jpg
DUST OVER EASTERN ASIA
Eastern Asia
The NOAA-16 GAC image (figure 1) shows airbone dust (indicated by the yellow
arrows) as
white/gray
haze blowing over parts of Mongolia, China, North Korea, and South Korea.
This image was
created
through the use of a "split window" channel differencing technique, which
highlights clouds of
airborne
silicates in imagery. In this process, data from channel 5 is subtracted
from data in channel 4 to
produce
a greyscale image. The Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) plot (figure
2) shows high
aerosol
indicies (indicated by the black arrows) over the same region of eastern
Asia.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Dust/Asia_E/DSTasiaE099_N6.jpg
FIRES IN CUBA
Cuba
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Cuba
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Cuba/FSMHScuba099_N4.jpg
FIRES IN FLORIDA
Florida
A heat signature (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Florida
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Florida/FSMHSusFL099_N4.jpg
DUST OVER THE CENTRAL US PLAINS
Mexico, New Mexico, Texas
On Friday, a vigorous upper-level disturbance and dry-line combined to bring
violent storms,
tornados, and airborne dust to
the central plains region. Amarillo, TX reported a wind gust of over 70 mph.
This image was created
through the use of a
"split window" channel differencing technique, which highlights clouds of
airborne silicates in imagery.
In this process, data
from channel 5 is subtracted from data in channel 4 to produce a greyscale
image. Dust (white/gray)
is visible in this GOES-8
image extending from south of the border into Texas and New Mexico. (Click
anywhere on the
image to start the loop. If viewing
in QuickTime, open the QuickTime Movie Player first, then open the movie
link.)
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Dust/US_Plains/DSTusPL099_G8.avi
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