The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 1, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 1, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Sun...95 At Cotulla TX
Low Mon...6 At Stanley ID
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings are no longer being provided to see current warning please
go to:
U.S. National Weather Service's Active Warning's page
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/graphicsversion/bigmain.html
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Moderte
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over Illinois except the far northern
and southwest areas,
extreme south southwest Michigan, Indiana, northern Kentucky and the western
1/2 of Ohio.
The 5% probability area covers central through central east Illinois,
Indiana except the far southern
and far northern areas, and extreme central west Ohio.
Hail Risk - Modertely Severe
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger covers southern
California, far southeastern
Nevada, extreme south southwestern Utah, and the west northwest 1/4 of
Arizona. Also over the
northeast 1/2 of Kansas, Missouri except the extreme north northwest area,
extreme north northeast
Arkansas, Illinois except the extreme north northwest area, Indiana,
Kentucky except the extreme
south southeast area, Virginia except the extreme southern area, Maryland,
Delaware, West
Virginia, the south southwest 1/2 of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, and this
has never happened before
there is a discontinuation of the line at Michigan which must mean that it
covers Michigan or that the
is no probability stated.
The 15% probability area covers the northeast 1/2 of Kansas, Missouri except
the far southern and
far northern areas, north northeast Kentucky, the northwest 1/2 of West
Virginia, southwest
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, extreme southern Michigan, and Illinois except
the far northern area.
The 25% probability area covers central through central east Illinois,
Indiana except the far southern
and far northern areas, and far central west through extreme southwest Ohio.
Wind Risk - Modertely Severe
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots covers southern
California, far southeastern
Nevada, extreme south southwestern Utah, and the west northwest 1/4 of
Arizona. Also over the
northeast 1/2 of Kansas, Missouri except the extreme north northwest area,
extreme north northeast
Arkansas, Illinois except the extreme north northwest area, Indiana,
Kentucky except the extreme
south southeast area, Virginia except the extreme southern area, Maryland,
Delaware, West
Virginia, the south southwest 1/2 of Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, and this
has never happened before
there is a discontinuation of the line at Michigan which must mean that it
covers Michigan or that the
is no probability stated.
The 15% probability area covers the northeast 1/2 of Kansas, Missouri except
the far southern and
far northern areas, north northeast Kentucky, the northwest 1/2 of West
Virginia, southwest
Pennsylvania, Ohio, Indiana, extreme southern Michigan, and Illinois except
the far northern area.
The 25% probability area covers central through central east Illinois,
Indiana except the far southern
and far northern areas, and far central west through extreme southwest Ohio.
Tomorrow's Risk - Severe
The 10% probability area for significant extreme weather covers central
north through north central
Texas, the western 1/4 of Oklahoma except the western 1/2 of the
panhandle, and western 1/3 of
Kansas, extreme central east Colorado, and extreme southwest Nebraska.
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over south central
through central north
and through the western 1/2 of northeast Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, east
northeast Colorado, the
southern 1/2 and central east 1/2 of Kansas, the southern 2/3 of Iowa,
Illinois except the extreme
northern area, Indiana except the extreme north northeast area, the south
southwest 2/3 of Ohio,
West Virginia, south southwest Maryland, Virginia, except the extreme
southern area, Kentucky,
Missouri, and extreme north northwest and extreme west northwest Arkansas.
The 15% probability area covers south central through central north and
through the northern 1/2 of
northeast Texas, Oklahoma except the extreme east southeast area, Kansas,
far east northeast
Colorado, the southern 1/2 and central east 1/2 of Nebraska, the southern
1/2 of Iowa, Illinois
except the far northern area, Indiana except the far north northeast area,
the south southwest 1/2 of
Ohio, West Virginia, south southwest Maryland, Virginia, except the far
southern area, Kentucky
except the far south southeast area, Missouri, and extreme north northwest
and extreme west
northwest Arkansas.
The 25% probability area covers the central through the western 1/2 of
northeast Texas, Oklahoma
except the far east southeast area, Kansas, and the south southeast 1/4 of
Nebraska.
The 35% probability area covers central north through north central Texas,
the northwest 1/2 of
Oklahoma except the western 1/2 of the panhandle, Kansas except the eastern
area, and extreme
central south Nebraska,
The 35% probability area covers central north through north central Texas,
the western 1/4 of
Oklahoma except the western 1/2 of the panhandle, and the southwest 1/4 of
Kansas.
Day Three's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather on day 3.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/98q.gif
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94e.gif
Excessive Rainfall Forecast - Today
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/93s.gif
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/93s.gif
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94s.gif
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/us/nationalflood.html
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
FRIDAY, APRIL 6, 2001 - 1000 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL 1
CURRENT SITUATION:
A total of ten new large fires were reported this past week, nine in the
Southern Area and one in the Southwest. Initial attack activity was
moderate in the Southern Area and light elsewhere in the nation. High
pressure will begin to build over the eastern Atlantic states establishing
a southwest flow, bringing in warm, moist air over the Southern Area and a
chance for isolated thunderstorms.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
HORIZON, Florida Division of Forestry. This fire is located in Highlands
County, FL.
CORBETT, Florida Division of Forestry. The fire is in Palm Beach County,
FL.
BIG SWAMP COMMAND, Florida Division of Forestry. The fire is burning in
Polk County, FL.
OUTLOOK:
A new weather system is approaching the Pacific Northwest bringing rain
and unseasonably low snow levels to northern California, Oregon,
Washington and Idaho. High temperatures will range from the 30's to 40's
in the Pacific Northwest to the 60's and 70's in the desert Southwest.
Widespread thunderstorms and severe weather conditions will extend from
Dallas, TX into the northern Plains. Kansas and Nebraska will experience
strong winds and a high risk of tornado activity. Daytime high
temperatures are forecasted to be in the mid 40's to the mid 50's in the
northern portion of the region, 60 to 70 from western Texas through
Illinois, and the upper 80's to low 90's in southern Texas.
The South will experience partly cloudy skies and a chance for isolated
thunderstorms. A high pressure system will begin to build over the
Atlantic. High temperatures will range from the 60's to 70's in the
northern half of the area and in the 80's throughout the rest of the
region.
A low pressure system moving across the Northeast bringing rain showers
over Washington,DC and northward. Rain should change to snow across
Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine. Daytime high temperatures will be in the
40's from Maine to Boston, in the 50's through the middle of the area, and
in the 60's from New Jersey southward.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 APR 09 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 APR 8 04:13:42.00 36.8 N 121.5 W 5 km 3.2
10 miles WSW of Hollister, California
2001 APR 8 01:25:28.00 36.0 N 117.8 W 3 km 3.5
30 miles NNW of Ridgecrest, California
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/
=> Guest Column
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