The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 4, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article National Weather Service Day 3-10 U.S. Threats Valid Friday,
April 06, 2001 -
Tuesday, April 17, 2001.
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For April 4, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...94 At Mcallen TX
Low Wed...9 At Berlin NH
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Wed Apr 4 11:55:27 2001
Flash Flood
Alabama
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... DALLAS COUNTY IN ALABAMA * UNTIL 115 PM
CDT
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA * UNTIL 1115 AM CDT
Missouri
FLOOD WARNING EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1000 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR
PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI WESTERN
COOPER
FLOOD ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES.. DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI... PEMISCOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...
Puerto Rico
...EL SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA HA EMITIDO UNA ADVERTENCIA
DE INUNDACIONES URBANAS Y DE RIACHUELOS EN EFECTIVO HASTA LAS 11
AM...
Tennessee
FLOOD ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1130 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR
PEOPLE IN THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES... DYER COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
TENNESSEE... LAKE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST TENNESSEE..
Flood
Alabama
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BLACK WARRIOR RIVER...LOCUST FORK...
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE ALABAMA RIVER...CATOMA CREEK...
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CAHABA RIVER AND TALLAPOOSA RIVER...
Georgia
FOR THE OCMULGEE RIVER, INCLUDING ABBEVILLE, MINOR FLOODING IS
FORECASTED.
Iowa
CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE, * MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND
MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
Illinois
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CEDAR RIVER NEAR CONESVILLE.
A FLOOD WARNING FOR PARTS OF THE BIG MUDDY RIVER AT MURPHYSBORO
FOR MINOR FLOODING.
Kentucky
A FLOOD WARNING
FOR PARTS OF THE BIG MUDDY RIVER AT MURPHYSBORO FOR MINOR
FLOODING.
Minnesota
A FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TWO RIVERS RIVER AT
HALLOCK...
Missouri
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE... ...SOUTH GRAND RIVER NEAR URICH
North Dakota
FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TWO RIVERS RIVER AT
HALLOCK...
Severe Thunderstorm
Mississippi
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... NOXUBEE COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 1145 AM CDT
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... KEMPER COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 1130 AM CDT
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WINSTON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 1115 AM CDT
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI * UNTIL 1115 AM CDT
Winter Storm
North Dakota
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MOST OF WEST AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA THIS MORNING...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over far central east through far
southeast Wyoming, extreme
southwest South Dakota, far northeast Colorado, the west southwest 1/3 of
Nebraska, western
Kansas except the extreme southwest area, western Oklahoma except the far
western area, and
central through central north Texas. Also over south-central through
central south Missouri, eastern
Arkansas, far southwest Tennessee, Mississippi except the far southwest
area, the west southwest
1/2 of Alabama and the central and western portions of Florida's panhandle.
Hail Risk - Severe
The 10% probability area for hail 2 inches or larger covers central through
southeast Missouri, east
northeast Arkansas, the northeast 2/3 of Mississippi, southwest Tennessee,
the west southwest 1/2
of Alabama, and the western portion of Florida's panhandle.
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger over far central east
through far southeast
Wyoming, southern South Dakota, northeast Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas except
the far southwest
area, western Oklahoma except the far western area, central through central
north Texas, the
northeast 2/3 of Arkansas, the east northeast parts of Louisiana,
Mississippi, Missouri, the central
and southwest 1/2 of Iowa, west southwest Illinois, far western Kentucky,
the southwest 1/2 of
Tennessee, Alabama except the extreme northeastern area, far west southwest
Georgia, and
Florida's panhandle.
The 15% probability area covers far central east through far southeast
Wyoming, south southwest
South Dakota, far northeast Colorado, central and northern Kansas, the
southwest 1/2 of Iowa,
Missouri except the far southwest area, far southwest Illinois, extreme
western Kentucky, southwest
Tennessee, the northeast 1/3 of Arkansas, Mississippi except the southwest
area, the west
southwest 2/3 of Alabama, and Florida's panhandle.
The 25% probability area covers extreme southeast Missouri, far northeast
Arkansas, the east
northeast 1/2 of Mississippi, far southwest Tennessee, and the western
portion of Florida's
panhandle.
Wind Risk - Moderate
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over far central
east through far southeast
Wyoming, southern South Dakota, northeast Colorado, Nebraska, Kansas except
the far southwest
area, western Oklahoma except the far western area, central through central
north Texas, the
northeast 2/3 of Arkansas, the extreme east northeast parts of Louisiana,
Mississippi, Missouri, the
central and southwest 1/2 of Iowa, far west southwest Illinois, extreme
western Kentucky, the
southwest 1/3 of Tennessee, Alabama except the northeastern area, far west
southwest Georgia,
and the central and western portions of Florida's panhandle.
The 15% probability area covers far central east through far southeast
Wyoming, extreme south
southwest South Dakota, and Nebraska except the southern area. Also over
extreme northeast
Arkansas, far southeast Tennessee, the east northeast 1/3 of Mississippi,
the west southwest 1/3 of
Alabama except the extreme southwestern area, and the western portion of
Florida's panhandle.
Tomorrow's Risk - Moderately Severe
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow central southwest
through central north
Texas, the northwest 1/2 of Oklahoma except the far western area, Kansas
except the extreme
southeastern area, far northeast Colorado, extreme southeast Wyoming,
Nebraska except the
extreme north northwestern area, far southeast South Dakota, south
southeastern Minnesota,
Wisconsin except the northern area, Michigan except the northeastern area,
far northwest Ohio, the
north northwest 1/3 of Indiana, central and northern Illinois, and the north
northwest 1/2 of Missouri.
The 15% probability area covers west central through central north Texas,
and extreme west
southwest Oklahoma. Also north northeast Kansas, eastern Nebraska, the
north northwest 1/3 of
Missouri, Iowa except the extreme north northwest area, southern Wisconsin,
extreme south
southeast Minnesota, the north northwest 1/3 of Illinois, and extreme
northwest Indiana.
The 25% probability area covers extreme southeast Nebraska, extreme
northeast Kansas, the south
southeast 1/3 of Iowa, north northwest Missouri, and north northwest
Illinois.
Day Three's Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather on day 3 over central west
Texas, western
Oklahoma, far eastern Colorado, northeast and central east Wyoming, South
Dakota, far south
southeast North Dakota, central and southern Minnesota, the southwest 1/3 of
Wisconsin, northeast
Illinois, extreme northeast Missouri, Iowa except the southwest area,
Nebraska except the southeast
area, and the western 1/2 of Kansas.
The 15% probability area covers extreme central east Wyoming, south Dakota
except the far north
northwest and far south southeast areas, the south southwest 1/4 of
Minnesota, north northeast
Iowa, and western Nebraska.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for 1 inch of precipitation
over extreme central east
Mississippi, central Alabama east to west, extreme central west Georgia.
Also over central northeast
Florida,
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for 1 inch of
precipitation over a portion of central
southwest Colorado. Also over extreme northeast Nebraska, far southeast
South Dakota, the south
southeast 1/4 of Minnesota, Wisconsin except the far southern and far
northern area, and south
central through central west Micchigan.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast - Today
Rainfall may exceed flash flood values over central, northeast through
central east Mississippi, the
southern portion of southeast Tennessee, Alabama except the far southwest
and northeast areas, the
southwest 1/3 of Georgia, and central and northern portions of Florida's
panhandle.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of snow exceeding warning
thresholds is less than
20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low over
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
Not updated
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
Not updated
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 APR 04 at 00:15 UTC
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 APR 3 12:26:03.00 36.7 N 121.3 W 4 km 2.8
15 miles SSE of Hollister, California
MAGNITUDE: 4.0
LOCATION: 65.8N 150.2W - 70 MILES NE OF TANANA, AK.
TIME: 1227 ADT 04/03/2001
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1210 75 2 N ABERDEEN MONROE MS 3384 8855 REPORTED BY SPOTTER. (MEM)
1215 100 CEDARTOWN POLK GA 3401 8525 (ATL)
1220 88 PRATTVILLE AUTAUGA AL 3246 8648 (BHM)
1230 175 CULLMAN CULLMAN AL 3418 8683 REPORTED BY CULLMAN COUNTY
EMA. (BHM)
1245 175 DENISON JACKSON KS 3940 9563 (TOP)
1250 125 GRAYSVILLE JEFFERSON AL 3363 8696 (BHM)
1251 175 5 W VALLEY FALLS JEFFERSON KS 3933 9557 (TOP)
1255 75 HOMEWOOD JEFFERSON AL 3348 8676 (BHM)
1305 100 MC LOUTH JEFFERSON KS 3919 9521 (TOP)
1313 100 OLATHE JOHNSON KS 3888 9481 127TH AND MURLEIN . REPORTED BY
LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL. (MCI)
1325 88 2 S VALLEY FALLS JEFFERSON KS 3929 9546 (TOP)
1325 75 RAYMORE CASS MO 3879 9444 REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER.
(MCI)
1329 125 ST MARYS POTTAWATOMIE KS 3919 9606 (TOP)
1330 75 CARBON HILL WALKER AL 3388 8753 (BHM)
1340 75 BLUE SPGS JACKSON MO 3903 9436 AT BURR OAK WOODS
CONSERVATION AREA. REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER. (MCI)
1340 75 OVERLAND PARK JOHNSON KS 3898 9466 I-35 AND ANTIOCH. REPORTED
BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL. (MCI)
1352 125 ST MARYS POTTAWATOMIE KS 3919 9606 (TOP)
1403 88 2 E SILVER LAKE SHAWNEE KS 3909 9582 (TOP)
1405 88 INDEPENDENCE JACKSON MO 3908 9443 AT BLUE RIDGE MALL.
REPORTED BY FIRE AND RESCUE. (MCI)
1410 100 LINEVILLE CLAY AL 3331 8574 REPORTED BY CLAY COUNTY EMA.
(BHM)
1445 75 MUNFORD TALLADEGA AL 3353 8594 REPORTED BY TALLADEGA
COUNTY EMA. (BHM)
1450 75 ECRU UNION MS 3434 8903 REPORTED BY S.O. (MEM)
1450 75 SELMA DALLAS AL 3240 8701 REPORTED BY DALLAS COUNTY SHERIFFS
OFFICE. (BHM)
1456 100 8 S WARRENSBURG JOHNSON MO 3863 9374 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (MCI)
1528 200 HOLDEN JOHNSON MO 3871 9400 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT
OFFICIAL. CRUISER DAMAGED (MCI)
1529 125 LAMONTE PETTIS MO 3873 9331 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (MCI)
1540 100 WINDSOR HENRY MO 3853 9353 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (MCI)
1544 75 STEMLEY TALLADEGA AL 3349 8623 REPORTED BY TALLADEGA COUNTY
EMA. (BHM)
1556 100 IONIA BENTON MO 3848 9333 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (SGF)
1605 100 WARRENSBURG JOHNSON MO 3876 9374 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (MCI)
1622 200 2 N GREEN RIDGE PETTIS MO 3864 9339 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (MCI)
1705 175 2 N BARNETT MORGAN MO 3841 9266 REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.
(SGF)
1714 75 ELDON MILLER MO 3834 9258 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT
OFFICIAL. (SGF)
1725 75 5 S GRAVOIS MILLS MORGAN MO 3823 9281 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (SGF)
1738 75 SUNRISE BEACH CAMDEN MO 3818 9278 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (SGF)
1740 75 WESTPHALIA OSAGE MO 3845 9200 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH HAIL COVERED THE
GROUND (STL)
1742 75 ST ELIZABETH MILLER MO 3826 9226 DIME HAIL COVERNING THE
GROUND. (SGF)
1823 75 VIENNA MARIES MO 3818 9194 (SGF)
1842 175 ST JAMES PHELPS MO 3788 9178 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT
OFFICIAL. (SGF)
1854 75 ELKLAND WEBSTER MO 3745 9303 REPORTED BY MEDIA. (SGF)
1857 75 STEELVILLE CRAWFORD MO 3796 9134 3/4 INCH HAIL FROM THE
COUNTY SHERIFF (STL)
1920 75 2 S SAMPSON WEBSTER MO 3741 9284 ALSO MEASURED 54 MPH GUST.
REPORTED BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR. (SGF)
1930 75 BELGRADE WASHINGTON MO 3778 9086 COVERED THE GROUND
REPORTED BY COUNTY SHERIFF (STL)
1940 100 NIANGUA WEBSTER MO 3738 9284 REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE
OBSERVER. (SGF)
1945 88 GROVESPRING WRIGHT MO 3740 9261 DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL
COVERING THE GROUND. REPORTS FROM OBSERVERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT.
(SGF)
2014 175 2 S HARTVILLE WRIGHT MO 3721 9251 GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED
BY HAM RADIO OPERATOR. (SGF)
2040 275 2 S MOUNTAIN GROVE WRIGHT MO 3709 9226 REPORTED RELAYED BY
MEDIA. (SGF)
2055 100 3 E VANZANT DOUGLAS MO 3696 9225 (SGF)
2056 100 2 S CABOOL TEXAS MO 3709 9209 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
OPERATOR. (SGF)
2125 250 12 S WILLOW SPGS HOWELL MO 3679 9196 REPORTED RELAYED BY
MEDIA. (SGF)
2142 75 LUSK SCOTT MO 3703 8938 REPORTED BY (PAH)
2143 175 WEST PLAINS HOWELL MO 3673 9184 REPORTED RELAYED BY MEDIA.
(SGF)
2158 175 3 SE WEST PLAINS HOWELL MO 3669 9180 REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (SGF)
2235 175 THAYER OREGON MO 3651 9155 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (SGF)
2300 88 1 W GLENCOE FULTON AR 3628 9177 REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER
(LIT)
2305 100 CHEYENNE LARAMIE WY 4113 10481 (CYS)
2340 175 HICKORY GROVE JACKSON AR 3568 9128 REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL. (LIT)
2355 200 CAMPBELL STATION JACKSON AR 3566 9125 REPORTED BY STORM
SPOTTER. (LIT)
0002 275 NEWPORT JACKSON AR 3559 9126 REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
OPERATOR. (LIT)
0030 88 2 W WALDENBURG POINSETT AR 3556 9097 REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT (MEM)
0035 175 BEEDEVILLE JACKSON AR 3543 9111 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (LIT)
0040 75 2 SW JONESBORO CRAIGHEAD AR 3580 9072 REPORTED BY (MEM)
0105 175 HICKORY RIDGE CROSS AR 3540 9100 REPORTED BY (MEM)
0123 175 5 NW WYNNE CROSS AR 3529 9087 REPORTED BY (MEM)
0143 275 WYNNE CROSS AR 3523 9080 REPORTED BY (MEM)
1050 75 FAYETTE FAYETTE AL 3368 8783 EMA REPORTED DIME SIZED HAIL.
(BHM)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1250 UNK 2 S SARDIS PANOLA MS 3439 8991 TREES DOWN. REPORTED BY S.O.
(MEM)
2012 UNK 9 S HARTVILLE WRIGHT MO 3709 9251 SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE
REPORTED. POSSIBLE TORNADO. (SGF)
2108 UNK MARBLE HILL BOLLINGER MO 3729 8996 1 TREE DOWN JUST WEST OF
MARBLE HILLREPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (PAH)
2116 UNK ADVANCE BOLLINGER MO 3709 8991 TREES DOWN NEAR ADVANCE.
REPORTED BY SPOTTERS. (PAH)
1950 60 IRONTON IRON MO 3759 9063 TREES DOWNED. REPORTED BY COUNTY
SHERIFF (STL)
2035 60 FREDERICKTOWN MADISON MO 3754 9030 TREES AND POWER LINES
DOWNED ALONG HIGHWAY 67. REPORTED BY SHERIFF (STL)
0205 UNK FORREST CITY ST FRANCIS AR 3501 9076 BUILDING DAMAGED IN
DOWNTOWN FORREST CITY REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (MEM)
1145 UNK 5 S ENTERPRISE CLARKE MS 3203 8866 TREES DOWN ON INTERSTATE
59 (JAN)
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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=> National Weather Service Day 3-10 U.S. Threats Valid Friday, April 06,
2001 -
Tuesday, April 17, 2001.
Summary of Forecasts & Threats
SYNOPSIS: A period of fairly typical unsettled to stormy springtime weather
across much of the
nation is expected to produce a variety of threats, as vigorous short waves
ratate through a mean
long wave trough in the West and move northeastward through the middle of
the country.
THREATS
Abnormally heavy snowpack and snow water content pose a spring flood threat
in parts of the
Upper Mississippi Valley and northern Great Plains, and in New England. The
possibility of heavy
rain on the snowpack Fri-Sat Apr 6-7 poses a more immediate risk of flooding
in the upper
Mississippi Valley.
Long-term drought continues over most of Florida with little additional
relief in sight, while periods of
rain are expected to bring further relief to long-term drought over the
southern Appalachian area.
Low mountain snowpack conditions that have developed over much of the West
are likely to
experience additional relief during the next two weeks.
There is a chance of strong to severe thunderstorms on Friday April 6 from
Texas to middle
Mississippi Valley and the lower Ohio Valley. Another round of thunderstorms
in much of the same
area is possible Wed-Thu Apr 11-12.
Heavy wet snow and strong winds are likely for parts of the northern and
central High Plains Fri Apr
06-Sat Apr 07. Another storm affecting much of the same area is possible
Tue-Wed Apr 10-11.
DETAILED SUMMARY
For Friday April 6 through Sunday April 8: A strong spring storm moving out
of the Rockes to the
upper Mississippi Valley is expected to bring heavy wet snow to the high
Plains, heavy rain and
posssible flooding to the upper Mississippi Valley, and strong thunderstorms
with possible severe
weather to parts of the South, middle Mississippi Valley, and lower Ohio
Valley.
For Monday April 9 through Tuesday Apr 17: General persistence of the
long-wave pattern sets the
stage for a second storm around the middle of next week that will be similar
to the first storm in its
path and effects.
=> National Weather Service Day 3-10 U.S. Threats Valid Friday, March 30,
2001 -
Tuesday, April 10, 2001
=> Washington Drought update: underground water could be a victim, too
=> FAA -- United States Moves Closer to Accident Reduction Goal
=> Mennonite Disaster Service Update
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