And you thought the storm on the east coast could be bad...
As you can see from the QPF report below,
Rainfall rates are expected to betwen 1.5 and 2 inches per hour for a
period of time, especially tonight. LA coasts and valleys can expect up
to 8 inches of rain from today through Monday, with precip in the
mountains of up to 18 inches. This alone could produce 60% + of our
average annual total rainfall.
The MRF flip-flopped on this one. Last weekend, it was advertising this
monster storm. Then Tuesday and Wednesday, it had backed off to ridging
or some light rain at best. Now as time draws near, all the models
including the MRF are expecting indicating very heavy rain. Main event
looks like it will begin tonight after 10 pm in Santa Barbara county
(with 5.5 to 6.5 inches expected in the 6 hour period beginning after
10. Probably will move into LA more like 3 or 4 am Monday
I've already reported on some huge storms dumping 3,4, even 6 inches,
but this storm could possibly make those look like light little storms.
We're expecting some pretty strong winds too. Quite the storm by
appearances sake.
http://www.nwsla.noaa.gov/LAXQPSLAX
We'll see what happens, and I'll update.
John Oleska
----------
FSUS46 KLOX 041215
QPSLAX
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OXNARD CA
400 AM PST SUN MAR 4 2001
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS ARE PROVIDED
IN 3-HOUR INCREMENTS FOR THE FIRST 12 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR
INCREMENTS FOR THE LAST 12 HOURS.
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.
THE DAY 1 DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM 4 AM SUN THROUGH 4 AM MON.
THE DAY 2 DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM 4 AM MON THROUGH 4 AM TUE.
04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...
CAMBRIA 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 | 0.6 0.6
SANTA MARGARITA 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 | 0.6 0.6
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...
GETTY BASIN {at} SANTA MARIA 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.3 | 0.6 0.6
SANTA BARBARA POTRERO 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 | 0.7 0.5
GIBRALTAR DAM 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 | 2.5 6.5
SAN MARCOS PASS 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 | 2.5 5.5
SANTA BARBARA FLOOD CONTROL 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 | 1.5 2.5
VENTURA COUNTY...
FAGAN CANYON 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 | 1.5 3.0
VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER LGT 0.1 0.3 0.3 | 0.6 1.0
CIRCLE X RANCH 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 | 1.2 2.2
LOS ANGELES COUNTY...
WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 | 0.8 1.4
LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN LGT LGT 0.1 0.2 | 0.5 0.8
BIG ROCK MESA {at} MALIBU 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 | 1.2 2.2
SYNOPSIS: TWO STRONG PACIFIC STORMS WILL BRING RAIN TO THE AREA THROUGH
TUESDAY. HIGH SNOW LEVELS WILL CAUSE SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MELT,
ADDING TO THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.
DAY 1...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA BY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND WILL INTENSIFY
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE MAXIMUM PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR AFTER 600 PM
AND LAST PAST 400 AM. TOTAL RAINFALL FOR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD WILL BE 2
TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST...2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE
COASTS AND VALLEYS AND 6 TO 10 INCHES OVER THE MOUNTAINS. THE SNOW
LEVEL WILL BE NEAR 7000 FEET. MAXIMUM RAIN RATES WILL APPROACH 2 INCHES
PER HOUR.
DAY 2...HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING AND THEN SUBSIDE
UNTIL THE NEXT STORM PLOWS INTO THE AREA MONDAY EVENING. AT THE END OF
THIS 24 HOUR PERIOD THE CENTRAL COAST COULD SEE UP TO AN EXTRA INCH OF
RAIN...THE COASTS AND VALLEYS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION COULD SEE
ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN AND THE MOUNTAINS 4 TO 8 INCHES. SNOW
LEVELS WILL DROP TO 6500 FEET. MAXIMUM RAINFALL RATES WILL BE NEAR 1.5
INCHES PER HOUR.
$$
RORKE
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