The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For February 16, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article The Sun Does a Flip
=> Article Joe M. Allbaugh -- Director of the Federal Emergency Management
Agency
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For February 16, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Thu...88 At Mcallen TX
Low Fri...19 Below Zero At Berlin NH
=> Special Notes
Comment: Major warming continues. Reversed temperature gradient
between middle latitudes and the Pole, and net
Easterly winds at 60N in the lower and mid stratosphere.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Fri Feb 16 11:05:41 2001
Flash Flood
Arkansas
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
PERRY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
CONWAY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
GARLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
* UNTIL 1200 PM CST
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
FAULKNER COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
PULASKI COUNTY IN CENTRAL ARKANSAS
HOT SPRING COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
* UNTIL NOON CST
Kentucky
AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY WAS POSTED ON THURSDAY
FOR
A PORTION OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS ADVISORY WILL NOT ONLY EXTEND
THE
PREVIOUS ONE BUT WILL ALSO EXPAND ITS AREAL COVERAGE. THE ADVISORY
WILL NOW RUN UNTIL 1100 PM FRIDAY AND WILL INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES:
BATH BELL BREATHITT CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAUREL LEE LESLIE LETCHER MAGOFFIN MARTIN
MCCREARY MENIFEE MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE POWELL PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN WAYNE
WHITLEY WOLFE
MANY AREAS NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY AND ALONG INTERSTATE 64
HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THIS ADVISORY.
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THAT PART OF
WESTERN KENTUCKY GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM CALHOUN
TO CLINTON...
Louisiana
A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM FOR ALL OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND MILLER COUNTY IN ARKANSAS...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL NOON TODAY...
Oklahoma
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL NOON TODAY...
Tennessee
* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
BENTON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
DICKSON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
HICKMAN COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
HOUSTON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
HUMPHREYS COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
PERRY COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
STEWART COUNTY IN TENNESSEE
* UNTIL 430 PM CST
Texas
...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM FOR ALL OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND MILLER COUNTY IN ARKANSAS...
...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...EAST AND NORTHEAST TEXAS AND
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA UNTIL NOON TODAY...
Flood
Arkansas
OUACHITA RIVER FLOODING FROM REMMEL DAM DOWNSTREAM TO STATE
LINE...
FOR MALVERN THE STAGE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 17 FEET CURRENTLY AND
POSSIBLY MAY RISE TO NEAR 19 FEET LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY
AFTERNOON. FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
FOR ARKADELPHIA THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AT 6 AM. FORECASTED TO CREST
NEAR 23.0 FEET MID-DAY TOMORROW. FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET.
FOR CAMDEN THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET AT 6 AM. FORECASTED TO CREST NEAR
37.0 FEET TUESDAY FEBRUARY 20TH. FLOOD STAGE IS 26 FEET.
FOR THATCHER L&D THE STAGE WAS 79.9 FEET AT 7 AM. FORECASTED TO
CREST NEAR 90.0 FEET FRIDAY FEBRUARY 23RD.
FOR THE OUACHITA RIVER AT THE FELSENTHAL LOCKS IN SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...THE FRIDAY MORNING POOL STAGE WAS 69.4 FEET. DUE TO VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...THE RIVER WILL
RISE AND CREST NEAR 81.0 FEET DURING THE END OF THIS FEBRUARY.
Missouri
FOR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AT CARUTHERSVILLE, THE STAGE WAS 22.2 FEET
AT 6 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
Mississippi
Tennessee
FLOOD WARNING FOR THE
COLDWATER RIVER AND THE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER...
FOR THE COLDWATER RIVER NEAR SARAH, THE STAGE WAS 14.1 FEET AT 6 AM
FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 23.5 FEET
AT 12 AM SATURDAY, WHICH IS 5.5 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 23.0
FEET, FLOODING OF AGRICULTURE LAND ON THE LEFT BANK IS OCCURRING.
FOR THE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR LAMBERT, THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET AT 6
AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 32.5
FEET AT 6 AM SATURDAY, WHICH IS 0.5 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 32.0
FEET, LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURE LAND IS FLOODING. EQUIPMENT AND
LIVESTOCK MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.
FOR THE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER AT LOCOPOLIS, THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET AT 6
AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 33.5
FEET AT 6 PM SUNDAY, WHICH IS 0.5 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 33.0
FEET, EXTENSIVE AGRICULTURE LAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG BOTH
BANKS OF THE RIVER. EQUIPMENT AND LIVESTOCK SHOULD BE MOVED TO
HIGHER GROUND..
FOR THE TALLAHATCHIE RIVER NEAR SWAN LAKE, THE STAGE WAS 23.4 FEET AT
6 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A MAXIMUM STAGE OF 28.0
FEET AT 12 PM TUESDAY, WHICH IS 2.0 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. AT 29.0
FEET, WIDESPREAD FARM LAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND ACCESS TO
LOW LYING AREAS MAY BE RESTRICTED DUE TO HIGH WATER. FLOODING IS
OCCURRING IN THE LOW LYING AREAS IN THE COMMUNITY OF GLENDORA.
Oklahoma
MAJOR FLOODING WILL DEVELOP ON THE LITTLE RIVER OF SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...THE HIGHEST WATER SEEN SINCE
DECEMBER 4TH THROUGH 7TH OF 1993 AND DURING FEBRUARY OF 1997...
Texas
FOR THE TRINITY RIVER INCLUDING JACKSBORO...BRIDGEPORT...BOYD...GRAND
PRAIRIE...GAINESVILLE...CARROLLTON...SANGER...JUSTIN...DALLAS...MINOR
FLOODING IS OCCURRING WITH MAJOR FLOODING FORECAST. FOR THE
HEADWATER FORECASTS INCLUDING SACHSE...MINOR FLOODING IS
OCCURRING.
FOR THE WEST FORK OF THE TRINITY NEAR JACKSBORO...FLOOD STAGE IS 20
FEET. THE LATEST STAGE IS 18.7 FEET AT 8 AM FRIDAY. MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 23 FEET SATURDAY EVENING. THE
RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 20 FEET AT 4 PM FRIDAY. AT
22 FEET MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER REACH IS EXPECTED.
FOR THE BIG SANDY CREEK NEAR BRIDGEPORT...FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET.
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING WITH A STAGE OF 13.1 FEET MEASURED AT 7
AM
FRIDAY. MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 19 FEET TONIGHT.
THE RIVER EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 12.0 FEET AT 4 AM TODAY.
FOR THE WEST FORK OF THE TRINITY NEAR BOYD...FLOOD STAGE IS 16 FEET.
THE LATEST STAGE IS 15.8 FEET AT 7 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS
FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 19 FEET AT EARLY SATURDAY. AT 20 FEET
MODERATE FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER. RURAL ROADS...
ALONG WITH FARM AND RANCH LANDS...WILL FLOOD.
FOR THE WEST FORK OF THE TRINITY AT GRAND PRAIRIE...FLOOD STAGE IS 27
FEET. THE LATEST STAGE IS 22.7 FEET AT 7 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING
IS FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 29 FEET TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL
RISE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 27 FEET AT 12 PM SATURDAY. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12 AM SUNDAY. AT 29 FEET MINOR STREET
FLOODING WILL OCCUR.
FOR THE ELM FORK OF THE TRINITY AT GAINESVILLE...FLOOD STAGE IS 22
FEET. THE LATEST STAGE IS 18.6 FEET AT 7 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING
IS FORECAST. THE RIVER SHOULD CREST AROUND FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR ALONG THE RIVER AND IN THE PARK AND ZOO.
MINOR OUT OF BANK FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR.
FOR THE ELM FORK OF THE TRINITY NEAR CARROLLTON...THE LATEST STAGE IS
7.9 FEET AT 6 AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A CREST OF
9 FEET AT MIDDAY TODAY WHICH IS 1 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE
RIVER ROSE ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE OF 8 FEET AT 7 AM THIS MORNING.
THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 2 PM TODAY. AT 8 FEET
MINOR FLOODING WILL OCCUR DOWNSTREAM FROM THE GAGE. A GROCERY
STORE
AND A RESIDENCE WILL FLOOD ALONG THE RIGHT BANK DOWNSTREAM FROM
THE
GAGE.
FOR THE CLEAR CREEK NEAR SANGER...THE LATEST STAGE IS 22.7 FEET AT 7
AM FRIDAY. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 27 FEET AT
MIDDAY TODAY WHICH IS 2 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE CREEK IS
RISING ABOVE FLOOD STAGE NOW. THE CREEK WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD
STAGE
AT 5 PM FRIDAY. AT 26 FEET MINOR OUT OF BANK FLOW WILL OCCUR ALONG
THE CREEK. WATER WILL BEGIN FLOWING INTO AN OVERFLOW CHANNEL
THROUGH
TWO OVERFLOW BRIDGES.
FOR THE DENTON CREEK NEAR JUSTIN...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING WITH
A
STAGE OF 15.8 FEET MEASURED AT 7 AM FRIDAY. MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST WITH A CREST BETWEEN 16 AND 16.5 FEET MIDDAY TODAY WHICH IS
6 TO 6.5 FEET ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE CREEK EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE
OF 10.0 FEET AT 9 PM THURSDAY. AT 16.0 FEET MODERATE OUT OF BANK
FLOODING WILL OCCUR. THE FARMING AND RANCHING INDUSTRY WILL BE
AFFECTED. RURAL ROADS NEAR THE CREEK WILL FLOOD.
FOR THE TRINITY RIVER AT DALLAS...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING WITH A
STAGE OF 34.6 FEET MEASURED AT 7 AM FRIDAY. MODERATE FLOODING IS
FORECAST WITH A CREST OF 38 FEET TONIGHT WHICH IS 8 FEET ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. THE RIVER EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 30 FEET AT 11 PM
THURSDAY. AT 38 FEET MODERATE FLOODING WILL BEGIN IN THE SOUTH
DALLAS AND ROCHESTER PARK RESIDENTIAL AREAS.
FOR THE ROWLETTE CREEK NEAR SACHSE...MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURING
WITH A STAGE OF 26.2 FEET MEASURED AT 9 AM FRIDAY. THE CREEK
EXCEEDED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 24.0 FEET AT 3 AM FRIDAY. AT 27.0 FEET
MODERATE FLOODING ALONG THE CREEK IS EXPECTED.
...FLOODING SIMILAR TO THE FLOODS OF MAY OF 1997 EXPECTED ON CADDO
LAKE...
Special Marine
Louisiana
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 NM
FROM ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS
COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 NM
FROM CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS
COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 TO 60 NM
FROM ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO CAMERON OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS
COASTAL WATERS OUT 20 TO 60 NM
FROM CAMERON TO HIGH ISLAND OVER GULF OF MEXICO WATERS
* UNTIL 1115 AM CST
Non Precipitation
Arkansas
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MOST OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTH ARKANSAS UNTIL NOON TODAY...
California
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SHASTA
VALLEY TODAY...
Hawaii
A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM HST FRIDAY FOR
ALL HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...
Louisiana
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A
HIGH WIND WARNING FOR MOST OF NORTH LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTH ARKANSAS UNTIL NOON TODAY...
Minnesota
North Dakota
DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WILL CONTINUE TODAY...
Oregon
LOCALLY STRONG WINDS FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SHASTA
VALLEY TODAY...
Texas
WIND ADVISORY FOR THAT PART OF NORTH TEXAS EAST OF A
BOWIE...MERIDIAN... HEARNE LINE.
THE WIND CAUTION IS ADVISED ON AREA LAKES
Severe Thunderstorm
Louisiana
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BEAUREGARD PARISH IN SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA
* UNTIL 1100 AM CST
Winter Storm
Arkansas
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY EXTREME NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON
California
ANOTHER WINTER STORM HEADED FOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
HEAVY SNOW AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER SIERRA NEVADA LATE
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...
Idaho
AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN WASHINGTON
AND THE NORTHERN IDAHO PANHANDLE EARLY THIS MORNING. AS MOIST
PACIFIC AIR OVERRIDES THE DOME OF COLD AIR IN PLACE...HEAVY SNOW
WILL RESULT FOR MANY LOCATIONS.
Illinois
Missouri
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS WILL REMAIN
ON THE FAR NORTHERN EDGE OF A SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION EARLY THIS
MORNING PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO FINALLY LEAVE THE AREA
DURING THE MID AND LATE MORNING HOURS.
DUE TO THE BRIEF NATURE EXPECTED OF THE FREEZING RAIN...IT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED THAT THIS WILL CAUSE ROADWAYS ACROSS A LARGE AREA TO
BECOME ICY.
Michigan
WINTRY BLAST RETURNS TO NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL UPPER
MICHIGAN...
HOUGHTON-KEWEENAW-ONTONAGON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COPPER HARBOR...HOUGHTON...ONTONAGON
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY TODAY AND TONIGHT...
Montana
...A SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST MONTANA AND THE
NORTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...
A SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR FLATHEAD VALLEY NORTH OF
KALISPELL TODAY...
Oklahoma
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY THIS MORNING...
FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS INTERIOR PARTS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING...
ANOTHER WINTER STORM HEADED FOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
Pennsylvania
Washington
A SNOW ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE SOUTH WASHINGTON CASCADES
TODAY...
Wyoming
SNOW ADVISORY FOR YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK AND THE GRAND
TETONS TODAY...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over north east and east north
Louisiana, Mississippi except
the north northwest area, Alabama, Georgia except the southeast 1/3 of the
state, the northwest 1/3
of South Carolina and the northwest portion of Florida's panhandle.
The 5% probability area covers Mississippi except the northwest 1/4 the far
southwestern and far
southern areas, Alabama except the far north northwestern and south
southeastern areas, and the
northwest 1/4 of Georgia.
Hail Risk - Moderate
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger over Louisiana except
the extreme southwestern
area, the southeast 1/4 of Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, southern
Tennessee, extreme south
southwestern North Carolina, South Carolina and the Florida panhandle.
The 15% probability area covers north east and east north Louisiana, extreme
southeastern
Arkansas, Mississippi except the extreme northwestern and extreme southern
areas, Alabama
except the extreme southern area, and Georgia except the eastern and
southeast 1/3 of the state.
The 25% probability area covers Mississippi except the southern and north
areas and central west
Georgia.
Wind Risk - Slightly Severe
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over far eastern
Texas, the southeast 2/3 of
Arkansas, Louisiana, Tennessee except the far northern area, North Carolina
except the far north
northeast area, South Carolina, Georgia, Mississippi, Alabama, and the
Florida panhandle.
The 15% probability area covers Louisiana except the far west northwest
area, the southeast 1/4 of
Arkansas, central and southern Tennessee, extreme south southwest North
Carolina, the northwest
1/3 of South Carolina, Georgia except the southeast area, and the extreme
north northwest of the
Florida panhandle.
The 25% probability area covers north northeast Louisiana, southeast
Arkansas, central south
Tennessee, west northwest Georgia, Alabama except the southern area, and
Mississippi except the
far southern area
The 35% probability area covers the central, northeastern through central
eastern areas of
Mississippi, Alabama except the southern 1/3 of the state and far west
northwest Georgia.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 2 inches of
precipitation over extreme central
east Arkansas, northern Mississippi, extreme northwest Alabama, and extreme
central south
Tennessee.
Over an inch precipitation is forecast over extreme central western
Washington, fare northeastern
Texas, extreme southeast Oklahoma, far northern Louisiana, central and
northern Mississippi, the
northwest 1/4 of Alabama, the southeast 2/3 of Arkansas, extreme
southeastern Missouri, the south
southeast 1/2 of Kentucky, Tennessee, extreme northwest Georgia, far western
Virginia, central
through northeast Virginia, southern Maryland and the southern 2/3 of
Delaware.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for 1 inch of
precipitation over central west north
central and west central California.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall may exceed flash flood values over central north Louisiana, the
southeast 1/2 of Arkansas,
northwest Mississippi, extreme northwest Alabama, Tennessee, the southeast
1/2 of Kentucky, and
far western Virginia.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is less than 20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is less than
20%
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0820 AM EST FRI FEB 16 2001
FLOOD SUMMARY
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN CENTRAL U.S.
ALMOST 70 RIVERS IN 13 STATES FROM TEXAS AND ALABAMA IN THE SOUTH
TO WISCONSIN AND ILLINOIS IN THE NORTH ARE EXPERIENCING MINOR TO
MODERATE FLOODING.
OUTLOOK FOR TODAY
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF TEXAS, LOUISIANA,
MISSISSIPPI, OKLAHOMA, ARKANSAS, TENNESSEE, MISSOURI, KENTUCKY,
OHIO, WEST VIRGINIA AND VIRGINIA.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY FOR:
ARKANSAS: CONWAY, CRAIGHEAD, FAULKNER, GARLAND, HOT SPRINGS,
MONTGOMERY, PERRY, POPE, PULASKI AND YELL COUNTIES
KENTUCKY: BELL, BREATHITT, CLAY, ESTILL, FLOYD, HARLAN,
JACKSON, KNOTT, KNOX, LAUREL, LEE, LESLIE, LETCHER,
MCCREARY, OWSLEY, PERRY, PIKE, POWELL, PULASKI, MAGOFFIN,
ROCKCASTLE, WAYNE, WHITLEY AND WOLFE COUNTIES
MISSOURI: DUNKIN COUNTY
TEXAS: COLLIN, DENTON, JOHNSON, PARKER, ROCKWALL AND
TARRANT COUNTIES
STREET FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES WERE REPORTED IN THE
DALLAS-FORT WORTH AREA
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE:
ARKANSAS: THE ARKANSAS, BLACK, CACHE, FOURCHE LAFAVRE,
LITTLE, RIGHT HAND CHUTE OF THE LITTLE, LITTLE MISSOURI,
OUACHITA, PETIT JEAN, LITTLE RED, ST. FRANCIS, SALINE,
SPRING AND WHITE RIVERS
ILLINOIS: THE DES PLAINES, EMBARRAS, ILLINOIS, KANKAKEE,
KASKASKIA, ROCK, WABASH AND LITTLE WABASH RIVERS
INDIANA: THE KANKAKEE, MAUMEE, ST. JOSEPH, ST. MARY'S,
TIPPECANOE, WABASH AND WHITE RIVERS
KENTUCKY: THE GREEN, LICKING AND ROUGH RIVERS
LOUISIANA: RED CHUTE BAYOU AND BAYOU DORCHEAT
MICHIGAN: THE GRAND, KALAMAZOO AND ST. JOSEPH RIVERS
MISSISSIPPI: THE BIG BLACK AND BUTTAHATCHIE RIVERS
OHIO: THE TIFFIN RIVER
OKLAHOMA: THE BLUE, LITTLE AND POTEAU RIVERS;
CLEAR BOGGY CREEK
TENNESSEE: THE BUFFALO, DUCK, NORTH AND SOUTH FORKS OF THE
FORKED DEER, HARPETH, NORTH FORK OF THE OBION, AND
OBION RIVERS
TEXAS: THE NECHES, COWLEECH FORK OF THE SABINE, SABINE,
SULPHUR, EAST AND WEST FORKS OF THE TRINITY, AND
TRINITY RIVERS; BLACK CYPRESS BAYOU; BIG SANDY,
LITTLE CYPRESS, DENTON, SISTER GROVE, WHITE OAK AND
WHITE ROCK CREEKS
WISCONSIN: THE FOX RIVER
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 FEB 16 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 14 19:25:03.00 34.3 N 116.9 W 5 km 3.1
25 miles ENE of San Bernardino, California
EARTHQUAKES IN NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(40.3 TO 50.0 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 14 22:03:59.00 47.5 N 121.9 W 6 km 3.1
20 miles ESE of Seattle, Washington
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0240 100 COMSTOCK VAL VERDE TX 2968 10116 REPORTED BY OBSERVER (SAT)
0310 175 LOMA ALTA VAL VERDE TX 2991 10076 REPORTED BY CO-OP
OBSERVERS (SAT)
0330 175 SPRING EDWARDS TX 3008 9541 SHERIFFS OFFICE (SAT)
0425 100 DEL RIO VAL VERDE TX 2936 10090 REPORTED BY CO-OP OBSERVERS
(SAT)
0500 250 UVALDE UVALDE TX 2921 9980 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT
(SAT)
0500 175 LEAKEY REAL TX 2973 9974 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (SAT)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0425 UNK DEL RIO VAL VERDE TX 2936 10090 TREE BLOWN DOWN REPORTED BY
OBSERVER (SAT)
0500 UNK DEL RIO VAL VERDE TX 2936 10090 SIGNS AND BARACADES BLOWN
DOWN REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT (SAT)
0500 UNK UVALDE UVALDE TX 2921 9980 ROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE TREES AND
POLES DOWN (SAT)
0530 60 GEORGETOWN WILLIAMSON TX 3063 9766 REPORTED BY SPOTTER (SAT)
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> The Sun Does a Flip
NASA scientists who monitor the Sun say that our star's awesome magnetic
field is flipping -- a sure
sign that solar maximum is here.
February 15, 2001 -- You can't tell by looking, but scientists say the Sun
has just undergone an
important change. Our star's magnetic field has flipped.
The Sun's magnetic north pole, which was in the northern hemisphere just a
few months ago, now
points south. It's a topsy-turvy situation, but not an unexpected one.
"This always happens around the time of solar maximum," says David Hathaway,
a solar physicist at
the Marshall Space Flight Center. "The magnetic poles exchange places at the
peak of the sunspot
cycle. In fact, it's a good indication that Solar Max is really here."
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2001/ast15feb_1.htm?list66492
=> Joe M. Allbaugh -- Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency
On February 15, 2001, the U.S. Senate confirmed President George W. Bush's
choice of Joe
Allbaugh to serve as Director of the Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA).
Before his confirmation, Mr. Allbaugh served as the National Campaign
Manager for Bush-Cheney
2000, Inc., with responsibility and oversight of all activities related to
then Governor George W.
Bush's effort to become the 43rd President of the United States.
Mr. Allbaugh first began his association with Bush in 1994, when he was
selected to serve as
Campaign Manager for Bush's first run for Governor. After that successful
race, Mr. Allbaugh
became the Governor's Chief of Staff, overseeing a staff of 200 and all
day-to-day activities in the
office - a position he held for five and a half years.
As Chief of Staff, Mr Allbaugh was the Governor's point person for all
emergency and disaster
occurrences - overseeing a total of nine presidential disaster declarations
for the country's second
most populous state.
Prior to that, Mr. Allbaugh served as the Oklahoma Deputy Secretary of
Transportation where he
was responsible for the Department's legislative and public affairs
initiatives, as well as
implementation of the state's transportation plan.
A native Oklahoman, Mr. Allbaugh graduated from Oklahoma State University in
1975, with a BA
in Politcal Science. In addition to his government service, he has
participated in political campaigns in
39 states. He has managed U.S. Senate and gubernatorial campaigns, as well
as serving on three
successful presidential campaign staffs.
Mr. Allbaugh will be moving from Austin, Texas, to Washington, D.C., with
his wife, Diane, an
attorney. They have three children.
=> Classified Ads
Door-to-Door CoPilot Version 2.0 GPS TravRoute
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Features:
Enter the street address of your destination, and CoPilot computes the exact
route
CoPilot speaks instructions telling you where to turn--every step of the way
Gives you new directions if you miss a turn, encounter traffic, or choose
another route
Complete nationwide information on one CD that features more than 96 million
addresses
GPS receiver picks up satellite signals and uses them to pinpoint your
location on earth
Shipping: Currently, item can be shipped only within the U.S.
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/B00000J495/thedisastercenteA/
FREE 30 days of StormWarn by Email, Pager, PCS/GSM Phone, Business Fax at no
cost*
Sign up today and you'll receive no obligation, no commitment StormWarn . If
you find it helpful, you can then decide to continue service at very low
rates. Your account is held in strictest confidence and you won't keep
hearing from us if you decide not to keep the service. We believe in the
value of StormWarn, and we think you will too.
*Direct pages and faxes are limited to 50 bulletins during the trial period.
http://www.stormwarn.com/index.asp?a=10296
=> Links Area
FIRES IN COLOMBIA, VENEZUELA AND BRAZIL
Venezuela
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Colombia, Venezuela
and Brazil.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Venezuela/FSMHSven046_N4.jpg
FIRES IN PARAGUAY
Paraguay
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Paraguay.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Paraguay/FSMHSparaguay046_N4.jpg
FIRES IN ETHIOPIA AND SUDAN
Ethiopia
Heat signatures (red) and smoke (light blue) are visible from fires burning
in Ethiopia and Sudan.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Africa_E/FSMHSethiopia046_N4.jpg
TROPICAL CYCLONE 09S (VINCENT)
Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 09S (Vincent) was located in the Indian Ocean near 17.8S
and 121.9E at 17:30
UTC. Vincent has been moving
east-southeastward at 06 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at 35
knots, gusts to 45
knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCvincent046_GM.jpg
STORM MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER MIDWEST
Midwest US
This GOES-8 image shows a low pressure system moving through Texas which has
produced
freezing rain in parts of Oklahoma.
There has been 3 deaths in Oklahoma attributed to the icy road conditions.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Storms/US_Midwest/STMusMW046_G8.jpg
WINTER STORM IN SOUTH KOREA
Korea
A winter storm system (denoted by the yellow arrow) brought blizzard
conditions to northwestern
parts of South Korea
on Thursday. Seoul received 9 inches of snow which has blocked roads and
made travel difficult.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Storms/Asia/STMasiaE046_GM.jpg
* American Heart Month --- February 2001
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a1.htm
* Mortality From Coronary Heart Disease and Acute Myocardial
Infarction --- United States, 1998
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a2.htm
* Impact of the 1999 AAP/USPHS Joint Statement on Thimerosal
in Vaccines on Infant Hepatitis B Vaccination Practices
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a3.htm
* Notice to Readers: Risk for Meningococcal Disease Associated
With the Hajj 2001
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a4.htm
* Notice to Readers: Publication of Report on Indicators
for Chronic Disease Surveillance
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a5.htm
* Notice to Readers: Epidemiology in Action
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a6.htm
* Notice to Readers: Satellite Broadcast on Epidemiology
and Prevention of Vaccine-Preventable Diseases
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a7.htm
* Notice to Readers: 2001 Cancer Conference
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a8.htm
* Erratum: Vol. 49, No. 46
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a9.htm
* Erratum: Vol. 50, No. 4
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a10.htm
* Addendum: Vol. 49, No. 50
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a11.htm
* Addendum: Vol. 50, No. 3
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006a12.htm
* Notifiable Diseases/Deaths in Selected Cities Weekly
Information
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm5006md.htm
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