Published 02/12/01 1:00 PM The past 24 hour temperature extremes are 37 deg.
at Geneva in the north and 88 deg. at Archbold in south central. Here in
Plant City in west central, I had a maximum temperature of 85 deg., 17 deg.
above normal, this mornings minimum temperature of 64 deg. was 16 deg. above
normal. At 10:00 am this morning the surface barometric pressure was 30.33",
a reflection of the solid rock of a 588 dcm high pressure block overhead,
which will eventually move east, not west as some models have progged,
keeping the door open for lot's of moisture and future snow and ice for the
eastern U.S.
With the yesterday's record heat, high low and mid level atmospheric
moisture (PWAT 1.27") and a diffuse stationary front across the central
peninsula, thunderstorms erupted along the west gulf coast yesterday evening
from Pinellas County northward through Pasco, Hernando and Citrus Counties.
Fortunately though with the attendent lightning (potential fires)the storms
quickly moved NW out over the Gulf Of Mexico.
I have a good friend Ed Wilson, K4UCQ, (local sage who has forgotten more
then I've ever known) remark to me in an email this morning that the weather
pattern we are currently in is similar to February 1993, prior to the now
infamous March cold core winter bombogenesis low, that brought snow to the
western panhandle, 100+ mph winds in severe thunderstorms, an 8 foot storm
surge along the gulf coast and then a hard freeze.
His analysis/memory is correct but of course I'm not forecasting another "no
name storm", the title an ignorant local press gave the storm, as though it
was a warm core out of season unnamed hurricane. Climatologically we only
see cold core low bombogenesis once every 20 years. However I am forecasting
a wet and stormy March for our state, going back to October 1, 2000.
As already mentioned a million times in previous days, cold weather begins a
return on Saturday 02/17/01 but it remains to be seen if the second half of
the month will be cold enough to offset the warm first half of the month and
average out the month below normal, as I forecasted it to be, going back to
October 1, 2000.
By the way, with similar heat, moisture, frontal boundry in the vicinity as
yesterday, plus a minor vorticity maximum, more isolated to scattered
convection is possible again later today.
Florida Meteorological And Climatic Institute:
http://giellaweather.tripod.com
Take Care,
Thomas Giella
P.O. Box 1987 Plant City, Fl. 33564
Business Phone: 813-764-9555
Business Fax: 813-764-8468
Business Email: websites{at}tampabay.rr.com
Giella Woodsign And Website Designs:
http://www.giellawoodsignandwebsitedesigns.com
KN4LF Radio Resources:
http://kn4lf.tripod.com
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