The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For February 9, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article National Drought Summary -- February 6, 2001
=> Article Disaster Assistance Nears $27 Million for Arkansas
=> Article Texans Approved for More than $1 Million in Disaster Assistance
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For February 9, 2001
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Thu...85 At Cotulla TX
Low Fri...30 Below Zero At Laramie And Rawlins WY..And West Yellowstone MT
=> Special Notes
The MRF is showing a low off the coast of New England on 19th that has the
classic position of a
northeaster.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 2% probability of a tornado over north central through central
California, southeast
Missouri, Arkansas except the west northwest part, Louisiana except the far
southern and extreme
western areas, Mississippi, except the extreme southern area, west northwest
Alabama, west and
west central Tennessee, southwest Kentucky, and southern Illinois.
The 5% probability area covers northwest Louisiana, eastern portions of
Arkansas, extreme
southeast Missouri, extreme western Kentucky, western Tennessee, extreme
west northwest
Alabama, and Mississippi except the far southern area.
Hail Risk - Moderate
There is a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger over southeast
Missouri, Arkansas except the
west northwest part, Louisiana except the far southwest and extreme southern
areas, Mississippi,
except the extreme southeast area, the northwest 2/3 of Alabama, Tennessee
except the southeast
area, Kentucky except the extreme southeast area, Ohio except the eastern
area, Indiana, and the
southeast 2/3 of Illinois.
The 15% probability area covers southeast Missouri, the east southeast 1/2
of Arkansas, northeast
Louisiana, Mississippi, except the southern area, the northwest 1/4 of
Alabama, Tennessee except
the southeast area, Kentucky except the extreme southeast area, Ohio except
the eastern area,
Indiana, and the southeast 2/3 of Illinois.
Wind Risk - Slightly Severe
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over southeast
Missouri, Arkansas except
the west northwest part, Louisiana except the far southwest and extreme
southern areas, Mississippi,
except the extreme southeast area, the northwest 2/3 of Alabama, Tennessee
except the southeast
area, Kentucky except the extreme southeast area, Ohio except the eastern
area, Indiana, and the
southeast 2/3 of Illinois.
The 15% probability area covers southeast Missouri, the east southeast 1/2
of Arkansas, northeast
Louisiana, Mississippi, except the southern area, the northwest 1/4 of
Alabama, Tennessee except
the southeast area, Kentucky except the extreme southeast area, Ohio except
the eastern area,
Indiana, and the southeast 2/3 of Illinois.
The 25% probability area covers far northeast Arkansas, far southeast
Missouri, the southeast 1/3 of
Illinois, central and southern Indiana, southwest Ohio, the northwest 2/3 of
Kentucky, and north
northwest of Tennessee.
Tomorrow's Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow east southeast
Texas, Louisiana except
the south southeast area, Mississippi except the far southern area, Alabama
except the south
southeast area, far northwest Georgia, extreme southwest North Carolina,
Tennessee except the
extreme eastern area, Kentucky, extreme southeast Missouri, and Arkansas
except the north
northwest and west northwest area.
The 15% probability area covers far east northeast Texas, northern
Louisiana, the north northwest
1/2 of Mississippi, north northwest Alabama, Tennessee except the far
eastern area, Kentucky
except the northeast area, extreme southeast Missouri, and Arkansas except
the north northwest and
west northwest area.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of
precipitation over west central and a
small portion of central coastal California, the east northeast 1/4 of
Illinois, the west northwest 1/3 of
Indiana, Michigan except the far southeast and northern areas, and northern
Maine.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
precipitation over portions of
extreme northwest, north central, and west central California.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall may potentially exceed flash flood values over southeast Missouri,
Illinois except the far
southeast and extreme west northwest area far southeast Wisconsin, northwest
Indiana, Michigan
except the far northwest area.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 4 inches or greater of
snow is low the northwest
1/4 of Illinois, east southeast Wisconsin, far northwest Michigan and the
far southwest portion of
Michigan's northern peninsula,
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 12 inches or greater of
snow is low a portion of
west central California.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is low over
Illinois except the west
northwest 1/4 and the far southeast areas, northwest Indiana, extreme
southwest Wisconsin, the
northwest 2/3 of Michigan and the extreme southwest portion of Michigan's
northern peninsula,
extreme northern New York, northern Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and
Maine except the
extreme southern area.
The moderate probability area covers the northern 1/2 of Maine.
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 12 inches or greater
of snow is low over
western central California.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is low over the
northern 1/2 of Maine.
The moderate probability covers northern Maine.
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL FLOOD SUMMARY
HYDROLOGIC INFORMATION CENTER
10:00 A.M. EDT, FRIDAY, FEBRUARY 9, 2001
FLOOD SUMMARY
FLOODING ACROSS THE MIDWEST
MORE THAN THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS PARTS OF MISSOURI
CAUSING FLOODS AND FLASH FLOODS. THE
COMBINATION OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND MELTING SNOW PRODUCED SOME
FLOODING OVER THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES INCLUDING SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN, NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND
SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII AS WELL AS MAUI, OAHU AND KAUAI IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
EXPERIENCED FLASH FLOODING
FROM INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED OVER
THE LAST DAY FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER, BY
STATE):
HAWAII: KAUAI, MAUI, OAHU, THE WINDWARD AREAS OF THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII,
ILLINOIS: FULTON, HANCOCK, HENDERSON, KNOX, LEE, MARSHALL,
MCDONOUGH, STARK AND
WARREN COUNTIES
IOWA: DES MOINES, HENRY, JEFFERSON, VAN BUREN, AND WASHINGTON
COUNTIES
KANSAS: LABETTE COUNTY
MICHIGAN: ALLEGAN, BARRY, CALHOUN, CLARE, CLINTON, EATON, GRATIOT,
INGHAM, IONIA,
ISABELLA, JACKSON, KALAMAZOO, KENT, LAKE, MASON, MECOSTA,
MONTCALM, MUSKEGON,
NEWAYGO, OCEANA, OSCEOLA, OTTOWA AND VAN BUREN COUNTIES
M ISSOURI: BARTON, CEDAR, CHEROKEE, CLARK, CRAWFORD, ST CLAIR,
SCOTLAND AND VERNON
COUNTIES
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
INCLUDE (IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER, BY STATE):
ILLINOIS: ILLINOIS, LA MOINE AND SPOON RIVERS
LOUISIANA: BODCAU LAKE AND RED CHUTE BAYOU
MISSOURI: WAKENDA CREEK, CHARITON AND FOX RIVERS
WISCONSIN: FOX AND ROOT RIVERS
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2001 FEB 09 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 7 18:22:08.00 36.7 N 121.3 W 7 km 3.9
15 miles SSE of Hollister, California
EARTHQUAKES IN NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(40.3 TO 50.0 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2001 FEB 7 19:19:02.00 40.6 N 124.4 W 22 km 3.2
20 miles SW of Eureka, California
2001 FEB 7 21:08:43.00 40.6 N 124.5 W 21 km 3.2
25 miles SW of Eureka, California
4.7 Mag. 70 MILES SE OF ILIAMNA, AK
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0520 100 MEERS COMANCHE OK 3478 9856 AMATEUR RADIO REPORT (OKC)
1015 88 NEOSHO NEWTON MO 3686 9436 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT. (SGF)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0425 UNK KNOX CITY KNOX TX 3341 9980 POWER LINES DOWN (OKC)
0440 UNK KNOX CITY KNOX TX 3341 9980 POWER LINES DOWN (OKC)
0520 UNK FREDERICK TILLMAN OK 3438 9901 POWER POLES BLOWN
OVER...REPORTED BY COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER (OKC)
0525 UNK MAY BAYLOR TX 3198 9893 SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF...AMATEUR
RADIO REPORT (OKC)
0615 UNK MARLOW STEPHENS OK 3464 9794 BARN AND TREES BLOWN DOWN.
(OKC)
0743 UNK LONE GROVE CARTER OK 3416 9726 ROOF DAMAGED (OKC)
0845 UNK COLBERT BRYAN OK 3384 9650 MOBILE HOMES DESTROYED. (OKC)
0900 UNK 5 W MUSKOGEE MUSKOGEE OK 3574 9546 TRANSMISSION TOWERS
DESTROYED. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORT. (TUL)
1010 UNK ANDERSON MCDONALD MO 3664 9443 REPORTED BY LAW
ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL. (SGF)
1045 UNK 5 S POWELL MCDONALD MO 3653 9418 WIDESPREAD AREA OF TREES
DOWN. POSSIBLE BUILDING DEBRIS. REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
(SGF)
1050 UNK FT SMITH SEBASTIAN AR 3538 9441 SIGNS DESTROYED IN FORT
SMITH. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT. (TUL)
1115 UNK 5 W SPRINGFIELD GREENE MO 3719 9340 REPORTED BY STORM
SPOTTER. (SGF)
1145 UNK WITCHERVILLE SEBASTIAN AR 3513 9426 LARGE TREES DOWNED IN
WITCHERVILLE. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORT. (TUL)
0520 65 FREDERICK TILLMAN OK 3438 9901 REPORTED BY COUNTY EMERGENCY
MANAGER (OKC)
0525 70 MAY BAYLOR TX 3198 9893 AMATEUR RADIO REPORT (OKC)
0530 68 3 W MEDICINE PARK COMANCHE OK 3473 9856 RECORDED BY
OKLAHOMA MESONET (OKC)
0530 67 3 W GRANDFIELD TILLMAN OK 3423 9874 RECORDED BY OKLAHOMA
MESONET (OKC)
0542 60 LAWTON COMANCHE OK 3461 9839 AMATEUR RADIO REPORT (OKC)
0545 62 3 W MEDICINE PARK COMANCHE OK 3473 9856 (OKC)
0553 58 WICHITA FALLS WICHITA TX 3403 9856 RECORDED BY ASOS (OKC)
0600 61 1 NW WALTERS COTTON OK 3436 9831 (OKC)
0830 60 GROVE DELAWARE OK 3658 9476 SPOTTER REPORT (TUL)
1105 60 SPRINGFIELD GREENE MO 3719 9330 REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER.
(SGF)
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> National Drought Summary -- February 6, 2001
The West: Pacific storms brought beneficial rain and snow to the Pacific
Northwest, increasing
mountain snow water content by around 3 to 7 percent. The modest
improvements were not enough
to change the abnormally dry (D0) situation across most of Oregon,
Washington, and Idaho and the
D1 drought over northeastern Washington, Idaho's Panhandle, and Montana. In
southwest Oregon
near Crater Lake, snow water content measurements showed February 1 readings
to be the 6th
driest in 71 years, so this area was increased to D1 drought. California
missed most of the rain and
snow, so dryness (D0) expanded slightly southward and westward from the
Sierra Nevada as well
as southward along the Pacific coast from Oregon to just north of San
Francisco. Streamflow
continued unusually low across northern California, with several locations
reporting flows under 10th
percentile levels. An area of D0 was introduced in the Los Angeles-San Diego
area due to
below-normal rainfall and low streamflows.Statewide snow water equivalents
as of February 6
averaged 48% of normal, but water storage in reservoirs was near normal.
The South: Frequent showers from a stalled cold front left over 2 inches of
rain in parts of
north-central Florida, easing fire danger and improving topsoil moisture.
Subsoil moisture
improvement was negligible, and measurements indicated that much of the
topsoil improvement was
temporary. Considerably more rain is needed to relieve long-term drought,
and D4 (Exceptional)
drought remained over the central peninsula. Farther south, continued
dryness caused drought to
expand slightly southward over the southern peninsula. There was no material
change across the D2
drought areas of Alabama and Georgia, with continued below-normal
precipitation leading to the
introduction of D3 (Extreme Drought) in western North Carolina and a slight
expansion eastward of
D2 (Severe Drought) in South Carolina and North Carolina. The recent coastal
storm allowed D0
dryness to recede from coastal North Carolina.
The Mid-Atlantic: The coastal storm diminished dryness in Pennsylvania,
allowing a reduction of D0
in the eastern half of the state.
The Plains, Midwest, and Great Lakes Region: Precipitation was generally
light following the
previous week's storm, so there was little change to the dryness depiction.
In Nebraska,
hydrological dryness (D0) continued across southern and western areas,
reflecting low reservoir
levels.
Hawaii and Puerto Rico: Showers were mainly confined to windward areas of
Hawaii, while dryness
continued elsewhere. D1 increased to D2 (A,F) drought across the western
two-thirds of the Big
Island. In Puerto Rico, above-normal rains eased D0 dryness over all areas
except the southern
coast.
Looking Ahead: Anticipated occurrences which may affect current areas of
dryness and drought
over the next 10 days include: (1) a large storm bringing rain and snow to
the center of the country
on Thursday-Friday, February 8-9, improving moisture supplies over Kansas,
Nebraska, and Iowa;
(2) 1 to 2 inches of rain over the Tennessee Valley and the western
Carolinas from this storm and a
second one on February 12-13; (3) 1 to 2 inches of rain in the lower
elevations and heavy mountain
snows in central and northern California on Friday-Sunday, February 9-11;
(4) chance of heavy
showers Friday-Sunday, February 9-11 over Hawaii; (5) below-normal rainfall
and above-normal
temperatures over the drought areas of Florida and southern Georgia.
Author: Douglas Le Comte
=> Disaster Assistance Nears $27 Million for Arkansas
Little Rock, AR, February 8, 2001 -- Disaster recovery agencies have
committed more than $26.9
million to date to help Arkansas recover from December's ice storms.
The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has obligated more than $19
million in
disaster assistance to Arkansas as part of the Public Assistance Program's
Immediate Needs
Funding (INF). The program gets financial help quickly to communities
covered under a Presidential
disaster declaration. The funds are distributed by the Arkansas Department
of Emergency
Management (ADEM).
Other totals, effective as of the close of business Wednesday, February 7,
2001:
* FEMA has issued more than $5.8 million in disaster housing assistance
checks to 6,798 residents.
The program provides grants to individuals and families whose primary
residences were damaged or
destroyed by the December ice storms.
* State disaster relief officials have approved payment of 885 checks
totaling $793,647 to help
people meet serious disaster-related needs and necessary expenses not
covered by other disaster
assistance programs or insurance. This program is funded 75 percent by FEMA
and 25 percent by
the state.
* The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) has approved 216 loans for
homeowners, renters
and businesses totaling $1,270,500.
* The Arkansas Department of Employment Security has approved disaster
unemployment claims
totaling $35,803 to 286 applicants.
* FEMA has received 36,109 individual applications for disaster assistance.
Individuals, families and businesses in the declared counties who suffered
damage from the
December ice storms should call FEMA at the toll-free number, 800-462-9029,
to register before
the February 27 deadline.
Once registered, residents can call the FEMA Helpline at 800-525-0321 if
they have questions
about their applications. For the speech and hearing impaired, the number
both for registration and
for questions about applications is 800-462-7585. These lines are open from
8 a.m. to 6 p.m.,
Monday through Saturday.
=> Texans Approved for More than $1 Million in Disaster Assistance
Texarkana, TX February 6, 2001 -- More than one million dollars in
assistance has been approved
as federal, state, local and volunteer agencies work together to help Texas
residents recover from
the ice storms that took place from Dec. 12 to Jan. 15. The following is a
summary of ongoing
recovery efforts as of Monday, Feb. 5, 2001.
* FEMA has taken 6,377 applications for disaster assistance for individuals
and business owners in
Texas.
* FEMA has approved $983,599 in disaster housing assistance to Texas
residents. Many of the
residents received help from the home repair program that provides grants to
homeowners for
essential repairs. Other homeowners and renters received rental assistance
to enable them to rent
alternate accommodations while their dwellings were uninhabitable.
* State disaster relief officials have approved $229,607 in Individual and
Family Grant funds to help
Texans cover the costs of disaster-related necessities, including medical,
dental and transportation
not covered by insurance or other federal and state programs.
* The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) has approved $89,700 in loans
for Texas
homeowners, renters and businesses.
* Six Texas counties are eligible for help to individuals, families and
businesses: Bowie, Cass,
Fannin, Lamar, Red River and Titus.
* Local governments in 37 Texas counties are eligible for funding of
emergency protective measures,
debris removal and repair or replacement of public facilities such as roads,
bridges, buildings and
utilities. These counties are: Borden, Bowie, Briscoe, Carson, Cass,
Cherokee, Cooke, Crosby,
Dawson, Delta, Fannin, Floyd, Franklin, Gaines, Garza, Gray, Grayson, Gregg,
Harrison, Hopkins,
Hunt, Lamar, Lynn, Marion, Montague, Morris, Nacodoches, Panola, Rains, Red
River, Rusk, San
Augustine, Shelby, Smith, Titus, Upshur and Wood.
* Individuals, families and businesses in Bowie, Cass, Fannin, Lamar, Red
River and Titus counties
who have had damage from the ice storms should apply for FEMA assistance at
the toll-free
number: 1-800-462-9029. The deadline for applying for assistance is March 9,
2001.
* After registration, residents can call the FEMA Helpline at 1-800-525-0321
for questions about
their application, or to update information given during the original call.
The Helpline has received
1,328 calls from Texans thus far.
* For speech and hearing impaired, the TTY number for both registration and
Helpline is
1-800-462-7585.
* The Registration and Helpline numbers are available from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m.
(CST), seven days a
week.
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=> Links Area
Deterring Terrorism with CBRN Weapons: Developing a Conceptual Framework
Michael J. Powers
http://www.cbaci.org/deterringCBRNterrorism.pdf
Above & Beyond: After the Rescue, The Worry
http://www.firefighting.com/default.asp?GoTo=namID1360
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