The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For January 10, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article DOD Establishes New Emergency Preparedness Liaison Officer
Program
Policy
=> Article National Weather Service Day 3-10 U.S. Threats page Valid
Friday, January
12, 2001 - Tuesday, January 23, 2001.
=> Article Civil Air Patrol Responds to Rushmore's Wildland Fire
=> Article Federal Agencies Recommend New Approach To Wildfires
=> Article EDA Announces Availability of Funds for Hurricane Floyd and
Other Disasters
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area -- Lots
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the The Rothstein Catalog On Disaster Recovery
http://www.disastercenter.com/Rothstein/
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For January 10, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...73 At Indio CA
Low Wed...9 Below Zero At Watertown NY
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Wed Jan 10 11:40:00 2001
Flash Flood
Texas
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 100 PM CST
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR PEOPLE IN...
TRAVIS COUNTY
HAYS COUNTY
WILLIAMSON COUNTY
CALDWELL COUNTY
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL NOON CST
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR PEOPLE IN...
BEXAR...GUADALUPE AND COMAL COUNTIES
Flood
California
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THURSDAY MORNING ALONG THE COAST FROM
POINT ARENA TO POINT PIEDRAS BLANCAS...
Non Precipitation
California
STRONG GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL
RANGE THIS MORNING AND SPREAD INLAND TO MUCH OF THE SACRAMENTO
AND NORTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEYS
Nevada
STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN WESTERN NEVADA AND THE EASTERN SIERRA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
Winter Storm
California
.A STRONG WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO
CENTRAL CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY AND WILL LINGER THROUGH
THURSDAY.
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
.A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY ABOVE 4000 FEET...
STRONG WINTER STORM MOVES INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY INTO
THURSDAY...
A POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM CHURNING TOWARDS THE CALIFORNIA COAST
WILLSPREAD A VARIETY OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACROSS THE
SIERRA...MOJAVE DESERT...AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWEST
SAN BERNARDINO...WEST RIVERSIDE AND SAN DIEGO COUNTIES
ABOVE 5000 FT LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY...
Nevada
A POWERFUL PACIFIC STORM CHURNING TOWARDS THE CALIFORNIA COAST
WILL SPREAD A VARIETY OF SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACROSS THE
SIERRA...MOJAVE DESERT...AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN LATER TODAY
THROUGH THURSDAY.
New York
LIVINGSTON NY-MONROE NY-ONTARIO NY-WAYNE NY-
.WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF THIS MORNING...
AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE OR FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
REST OF THE MORNING.
Oregon
...WINTER STORM WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR THE MT SHASTA AREA...
...SNOW ADVISORY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR WESTERN SISKIYOU
COUNTY AND THE SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES AND SISKIYOUS ABOVE 4000
FEET...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots over central
coastal to northeast coastal
Texas.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over southwest
coastal California.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 4 inches of
precipitation over central coastal
through central southwest coastal California.
Over 2 inches of precipitation is forecast over coastal areas of California
from north of San
Francisco to south of Los Angeles and over portions of western central and
southwestern central
California.
Over 1 inch of precipitation is forecast over California except the west
southwest and far northern
areas and over inland and coastal areas of central southeast and east
southeastern Texas.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 2 inch of
precipitation over and area east
of Los Angeles.
Over 1 inch of precipitation is forecast over south southwest and western
central California, a
portion of southern Nevada and far southwestern Utah.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is expected to exceed flash flood values over central through
southwest coastal areas of
California.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
>From noon to midnight today EST the probability of 12 inches or greater of
snow is low over a a
small area east of Santa Barbara, inland areas over northwest California,
and in a band from central
south to far north central California.
The moderate probability area is over in a band from central south to an
area northeast of Tahoe.
The high probability area is in a band over western central California.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
>From midnight to noon tomorrow EST the probability of 12 inches or greater
of snow is low over
inland areas over northwest California, east of LA east of Santa Barbara
through south of Tahoe and
western California, and a portion of southern Nevada.
The moderate probability area is over in a band over western central
California, east of LA and over
a portion of southern Nevada.
The probability of 1/4 inch or greater of ice accumulation is less than 20%
Current USA Snow and Ice Cover
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/surface/us_NESDISsnow.gif
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
07:35 AM EST WED JAN 10 2001
FLOOD SUMMARY
NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
A FEW RIVERS IN EASTERN TEXAS, LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI REMAIN
SLIGHTLY ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH MINOR FLOODING.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES
WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS FOR LOCATIONS INCLUDING.
ARIZONA: MARICOPA AND PINAL COUNTIES
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE:
ARKANSAS: THE OUACHITA RIVER
LOUISIANA: BAYOU DORCHEAT AND RED CHUTE BAYOU
MISSISSIPPI: THE UPPER BIG BLACK RIVER
TEXAS: THE SABINE, ANGELINA AND NECHES RIVERS
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast has not been updated.
=> USA Earthquake Report
Not available
0703 AST ON JAN 10, OR 0803 PST ON JAN 10, OR 1603 UTC ON JAN 10.
70 MILES SW OF KODIAK CITY, AK.
OR 330 MILES SW OF ANCHORAGE, AK. AT 56.8N, 153.3W.
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> DOD Establishes New Emergency Preparedness Liaison Officer Program
Policy
The Department of Defense (DoD) announced today that it has established a
new policy for the
management of the Emergency Preparedness Liaison Officer (EPLO) programs in
each of the
military services.
The new program guidance reinforces the Department's heightened commitment
to support civil
authorities in their response to catastrophic disasters and standardizes the
qualifications for Reserve
component military officers serving as liaisons with military and civilian
emergency responders.
"The EPLO program is the focal point of our national efforts to codify,
clarify and coordinate the
roles and resources for disaster response here at home," said Charles L.
Cragin, principal deputy
assistant secretary of Defense for Reserve Affairs. "The new directive is
critical; it forges common
standards for all the Reserve officers who serve in this important role."
Since the mid 1970s, Reserve component EPLOs from the Army, Navy and Air
Force have
represented the federal military in each state and in each of the 10
regional offices of the Federal
Emergency Management Agency. In numerous disaster operations, they have
coordinated the input
of military personnel, equipment and supplies to support the emergency
relief and cleanup efforts of
civil authorities.
Standardized program guidance was developed because the military's role in
responding to domestic
emergencies is becoming increasingly complex. The new directive provides DoD
guidance and
oversight for the three military department EPLO programs in the areas of
staffing, readiness,
equipping, training, funding and exercises. Also, it ensures coordination
with the Department of
Transportation regarding Coast Guard requirements for EPLO support and opens
the door for
future Coast Guard participation in the DoD EPLO program.
For more information, please call Army National Guard Col. Terry Jones at
(703) 693-8617. The
directive is on the web at
http://web7.whs.osd.mil/pdf/d302516p.pdf
=> National Weather Service Day 3-10 U.S. Threats page Valid Friday,
January 12,
2001 - Tuesday, January 23, 2001.
Summary of Forecasts & Threats
SYNOPSIS: A more variable pattern with no extremes of temperature is
foreseen during the next
couple of weeks. The strong negative phasse of the NAO that contributed to
the extreme cold of the
past few weeks has recently weakened to more neutral values, and is not
predicted to become
strongly negative again within the assessment period. There is still a split
flow over the North
America vicinity, with a tendency for blocking over south-central and
southwest Canada. Strong
cyclonic activity in the Gulf of Alaska resuming next week will probably
produce several gales over
the Aleutians and along the south coast of Alaska. Also next week, there is
a possibility of a storm
producing an icy mix across parts of the Midwest and Northeast, but since it
is in a different place
than yesterdays MRF forecast and does not look like a major event, it is not
shown on todays
Threats map.
THREATS
Drought continues across much of the Florida peninsula during this
assessment period.
A series of strong storms that could produce periods of locally high winds
is expected to affect the
eastern Aleutians and south coast of Alaska from about Mon Jan 15 through
Mon Jan 22.
DETAILED SUMMARY
For Friday January 12 through Sunday January 14: No threats are foreseen
during this period.
For Monday January 15 through Tuesday January 23: Beginning around Mon Jan
15, several strong
storms are expected to produce gales along the coasts and islands of
southern Alaska. The exact
timing and intensity of these storms differ from model to model and run to
run, but since the mean
pattern shows anomalously strong onshore flow, there is a possibility that
at least one of these storms
will be more intense than the usual cold season storms that affect Alaska.
=> Civil Air Patrol Responds to Rushmore's Wildland Fire
This is an advisory message (not an official news release) from LTC Dave
Jeffries regarding a Civil Air Patrol mission last weekend in South Dakota:
A little before noon on the 6th of Jan, a loaded DM&E railroad train
began a fairly hard climb out of the Battle Creek valley over a stretch
of track a little South of Hermosa SD along the Eastern side of the
central Black Hills.
In four different spots embers from the hard working Diesel Engines
ignited small grass fires. With the 30 to 40+ MPH winds at the time
pushing hard from the North North West these little fires quickly spread
into a pretty big grasslands wildfire.
When the responding Hermosa fire department realized the immensity of
the blaze a "Level One Wildfire" alert was sounded on the Pennington
County coordinated fire alerting system. This alert notifies all fire
resources in the county that a major wildlands fire has once again
broken out and that their resources may be needed.
With this alert the Civil Air Patrol (CAP) pagers sounded at Rushmore
Composite Squadron.
Col. Al House contacted Fire Dispatch for the briefing and alerted Lt.
Col. Mike Beason to fly the mission and that a county supplied Airborne
Fire Observer was responding to the aircraft. Lt. Col. Dave Jeffries
also responded to the page was informed that he would be needed at the
fire scene to handle Air/Ground communications.
As the CAP folks got moving fire fighting units from most of Pennington
County and the Eastern parts of Custer County were rolling towards the
scene which was near Hi way 79 a few miles South and East of Hermosa.
The fire continued to build. Already several brush trucks were
attempting to find the fast moving head of the fire and some area
ranchers were digging out their old pickups, the ones with the water
tanks and pumps in the back and moving towards the huge column of smoke
rising far above the rolling plains. A road grader from Buffalo Gap was
speeding (well, for a grader anyway) to the scene to fill a role that
would later prove to be a real winner.
As Jeffries arrived at the first designated staging area he found it
deserted. Command had moved. Where ?? Looking at the smoke it was
obvious that South was the direction to look. It was a few miles down
the road at "Missile Site Road" the route back to a dismantled Titan II
launch site. Arriving at the new staging area and checking in, the
first questions he heard were "Is the airplane up yet". "When will it
get here?" Beason and the County's Airborne Fire Observer, TJ Nicoli
(who incidentally is also a CAP officer/pilot) were on the way and would
be overhead in a few minutes. Total response time after initial page
out was counted in minutes not hours.
After arriving over the fire the first request was to establish exactly
where the head of the fire was, what was it doing, how fast it was
moving, what fuels could be seen from the air, and to determine if any
structures were in the path.
The road grader that I mentioned earlier was found to be busy cutting a
wide firebreak a ways above the head of the fire and that's right where
the head of this fast moving blaze stopped. Looking back later it
seemed that he arrived just in the nick of time to be at the exact right
place at just the right time. No further occupied structures were
endangered.
After the info about the head was reported the next request was to fly
the perimeter to establish the location of any more hot spots that
needed additional resources or further attention. During this very
important phase of air fire support a flare-up was observed way back at
the far North East edge of the fire with no one except a few ranchers
there. This area had been thought "controlled" but with the high winds
pushing, away it started to go again. Due to our "eye in the sky" the
excursion was reported to command right away and brush trucks were
re-dispatched back to that area in time to get it stopped again before
it got completely out of hand.
Finally the combined efforts of 116 hardworking firefighters with 45
trucks (and a grader), a few area ranchers, and one CAP/ Pennington
County aircrew got the blaze stopped and fully under control. The CAP
aircraft with Beason and Nicoli was released and returned to Rapid City.
Jeffries stayed on scene about two more hours until Fire Command was
absolutely sure that they would not need a second flight. Total flying
time for this effort was a little over one hour.
Safe and Rapid Response --- the name of the game in working grassland
wild fires.
=> Federal Agencies Recommend New Approach To Wildfires
=> EDA Announces Availability of Funds for Hurricane Floyd and Other
Disasters
=> Classified Ads
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GPS receiver picks up satellite signals and uses them to pinpoint your
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Shipping: Currently, item can be shipped only within the U.S.
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FREE 30 days of StormWarn by Email, Pager, PCS/GSM Phone, Business Fax at no
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Sign up today and you'll receive no obligation, no commitment StormWarn . If
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=> Links Area
Catching The Bug Before It Kills
http://www.zdnet.com/intweek/stories/news/0,4164,2671596,00.html
(Swiss Re) Despite 2000's Huge Floods, Insurers Under Less Pressure
http://www.nandotimes.com/newsroom/prn/archive/data/011001/prn0460.html
Cole commission urges anti-terrorist training for U.S. military personnel
http://www.cnn.com/2001/US/01/09/uss.cole.02/index.html
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's (NHTSA)
latest crash test results for 2001 model year vehicles are now available
on the agency's worldwide website:
http://www.nhtsa.dot.gov.
ASH PLUME FROM SOUFRIERE HILLS VOLCANO
Montserrat
This GOES-8 image shows a plume of ash extending west from Soufriere Hills
volcano on
Montserrat.
According to the Montserrat Volcano Observatory, this ash plume is the
result of continuous
rockfalls
and pyroclastic flows.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Volcano/Montserrat/VSHsouf009_G8.jpg
TROPICAL CYCLONE 04S (ANDO)
Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 04S (Ando) was located east of Toalanaro, Madagascar near
27.0S and 50.7E at
06:00 UTC. Ando has been moving
south-southwestward at 10 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at 40
knots, gusts to 50
knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCando009_MT.jpg
TROPICAL CYCLONE 05S (BINDU)
Indian Ocean
Tropical Cyclone 05S (Bindu) was in the South Indian Ocean near 15.7S and
72.4E at 06:00 UTC.
Bindu has been moving south-southwestward
at 3 knots with maximum sustained winds estimated at 80 knots, gusts to 100
knots.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Tropical/IndOcean/TRCbindu009_MT.jpg
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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