The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 22, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article Summary of Weather Forecasts & Threats
=> Article Forest Service Hiring 3500 New Employees
=> Article The Fires Next Time symposium December 7 at Boise State
University
=> Article FAA Unveils Consumer, Public Inquiry Web Sites
=> Article Research Insights Into Alcoholism And Alcohol Abuse Highlighted
In 10th
Special Report
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the THE ROTHSTEIN CATALOG ON DISASTER RECOVERY
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 22, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...85 At Simi Valley CA
Low Wed...6 Below Zero At West Yellowstone MT And Orr MN
=> Special Notes
The Medium Range Forecast is indicating a very large storm off the New
England coast on the 1st -
2nd of December.
Virus MS Outlook - NAVIDAD.EXE, immediately DELETE it.
http://www.symantec.com/avcenter/venc/data/w32.navidad.html
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Wed Nov 22 11:27:34 2000
Non Precipitation
Florida
...A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR ALL INLAND AREAS...
Winter Storm
Maryland
GARRETT MD-...WINTER STORM WATCH TONIGHT
Michigan
LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO CONTINUE TODAY...
New Mexico
A WINTRY THANKSGIVING FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO
New York
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHWEST ADIRONDACKS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING
LAKE SNOWS STILL DUMPING ON NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK
Ohio
Pennsylvania
HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH
OF THE SNOW BELT REGIONS OF NORTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA
West Virginia
PRESTON WV-TUCKER WV-...WINTER STORM WATCH TONIGHT
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over east southeast
Texas, and southern
Louisiana. Outlook may need to be upgraded.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of rainfall
over
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 3 inches of
rainfall over east southeast
Texas, and southwest Louisiana.
Two inches of rainfall is forecast over east southeast Texas, Louisiana
except the southeast and
central western north area, and west southwest Mississippi.
One inch of rainfall is forecast over north central to eastern Texas,
extreme southeast Oklahoma,
Louisiana, southern Arkansas, central west and southwest Mississippi.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
The probability of heavy snow is low over the central and wetern portions of
Michigan's northern
peninsula, northwestern Michigan, far northeastern Ohio, far northwestern
Pennsylvania, far
southwestern New York, north central New York.
The moderate probability area is over the central Michigan's northern
peninsula, northern Michigan,
far northeastern Ohio, far northwestern Pennsylvania, far southwestern New
York, north central
New York.
The high probability area is over far northeastern Ohio, far northwestern
Pennsylvania, far
southwestern New York, north central New York.
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
Tomorrow the probability of heavy snow is low over far northeastern Ohio,
far northwestern
Pennsylvania, far southwestern New York, and north central New York.
The moderate probability area is over far northeastern Ohio, and, north
central New York.
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0830 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
NO NEW FLOODING.
FLASH FLOODING:
NO FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 NOV 22 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 NOV 21 20:39:41.00 36.5 N 116.2 W 6 km 3.4
25 miles NW of Pahrump, Nevada
EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 NOV 21 20:40:06.74 51.9 N 176.0 W 69 km 5.2
25 miles E of Adak, Alaska
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> Summary of Weather Forecasts & Threats
Valid Friday, November 24, 2000 - Tuesday, December 5, 2000.
SYNOPSIS: A series of storms are expected to affect Alaska, bringing strong
winds over the entire
period. Conditions will be favorable also over the entire period for a
series of storms from the
southern plains to the mid atlantic and perhaps the Great Lakes, which will
result in potentially
hazardous conditions from snow and ice to the north and northwest of the
storm track; but the
details and timing and location of specific events is very uncertain.
THREATS
A series of storms is predicted to affect Alaska, bringing gales and high
waves and tides, especially
to the western and southern coasts of Alaska.
Periods of stormy weather over most of the region east of the Rockies is
likely through the period
with possible hazards from snow and ice, but details are of timing and
location are uncertain
Long-term drought continues across parts of Nebraska, Iowa, and west Texas
and much of
Southeast, with a lessening of drought conditions over the Southeast.
DETAILED SUMMARY
For Friday November 24 through Sunday November 26: The unusually cold
temperatures over
much of the nation are expected to moderate. Another in a series of cyclonic
storms is predicted to
hit Alaska, bringing strong winds and high waves to the western and southern
Alaska coasts during
this period. A final concern, though not regarded as a significant threat,
is for a storm tracking from
the southern Plains to the mid-Atlantic coast with heavy rain and the
possibility of severe weather in
some areas.
For Monday November 27 through Tuesday December 5: For this period the mean
conditions are
likely to be a ridge along the west coast with a trough axis from the west
central to central U.S. This
maintains a storm track from the southern plains to the mid-Atlantic and/or
Great Lakes. Hazardous
conditions are possible to the north and west of the storm track from snow
or ice - details too
uncertain to specify at this time.
=> Forest Service Hiring 3500 New Employees
NOVEMBER 21 -- WASHINGTON, DC: Forest Service Chief Mike Dombeck announced
last
week the opening of thousands of positions to support the National Fire
Plan. "As a result of this
year's severe fire season," said Dombeck, "the Forest Service and the
Department of the Interior
have been allocated additional funding to increase firefighting capability
to the 100 percent Most
Efficient Level, and for positions to support the National Fire Plan in
community assistance, fuels
reductions, and ecosystem restoration and rehabilitation. This means the
Forest Service will be hiring
to fill approximately 3500 positions."
The Forest Service will use national centralized recruitment for both
permanent and temporary
positions. Most jobs will be in the Forestry Aid and Technician series
assigned to firefighting
positions, at grades GS-2 through 9, but some will be skilled professionals,
up to GS-11. Specialties
include fire suppression (engine/initial attack), hotshot, helitack,
heli-shot, smokejumper, fire
prevention, dispatch, lookout, and fuels.
Vacancy announcements opened November 15 and will remain open until filled.
Applications
postmarked by January 2 will be considered for the first round of
selections, which will be made
beginning in mid-January. Applications postmarked after January 2 will be
considered for
subsequent selections until all positions are filled. Applications and more
information are online at
www.fs.fed.us/fsjobs and applications can be ordered by email to
fsjobs{at}fs.fed.us or by calling
toll-free to (877)813-3476.
=> The Fires Next Time symposium December 7 at Boise State University
NOVEMBER 21 -- BOISE, IDAHO: A symposium sponsored by the Andrus Center for
Public
Policy and the Idaho Statesman is scheduled for December 7 at Boise State
University. The
conference will begin with an overview of fire history by Stephen Pyne,
author of Fire in America,
followed by three panels. The first will consider fire science, and will
include Dr. Robert Nelson of
the University of Maryland, Dr. Leon Neuenschwander of the University of
Idaho, and Ross Gorte
of the Congressional Research Service. Following that discussion, a
moderated panel of
stakeholders - including national leaders representing the timber industry,
grazing, the environment,
tribal governments, sportsmen, state lands, and the insurance industry -
will consider the effects of
wildfires and what changes, from their perspectives, should be made.
The conference will conclude with a discussion among current and former
policy-makers. Expected
participants include governors from the states most affected by wildfires,
key members of Congress,
and national directors of federal land agencies. More information is online
from the Idaho Statesman.
=> FAA Unveils Consumer, Public Inquiry Web Sites
WASHINGTON - In an effort to provide air travelers with better
and more timely information, the Federal Aviation Administration
(FAA) today unveiled two new web sites that will provide
information to make air travel easier, safer and more convenient.
The first site will provide air travel safety tips, as well as real-time
information on delays at specific airports. The second is an
easy-to-use site to obtain answers to many aviation-related
questions.
"These new sites make the FAA more accessible to air travelers,
businesses and those interested in aviation," said FAA
Administrator Jane Garvey. "With the growth in air travel we want
to do our part to reduce the stress and frustration that travelers
sometimes feel."
Prior to developing the new sites, the FAA conducted research to
determine the most frequently asked questions and organized that
information into a "user friendly" format.
The first site, which can be found on www.faa.gov under Traveler
Information,
http://www.faa.gov/apa/traveler.htm
not only provides information on airport on-time
conditions, but outlines what passengers can do to enhance their
safety while traveling by air. Called Fly Smart, the site is
designed to follow a passenger's progression from travel activities
at home to settling into the aircraft. Fly Smart provides safety
tips on what to wear, carry-on baggage, household hazardous
materials, turbulence, child safety seats, security and emergency
evacuations. It also offers links to sites on consumer rights,
travel advisories and traveling with disabilities.
The second site, which can be found on www.faa.gov under Public
Inquiry,
http://www.faa.gov/APA/Pi1main.htm
assists anyone who has questions about the FAA. This
site provides one-stop shopping for everything from obtaining
information on publications to reporting low-flying aircraft. The
public can use the site to find FAA regulations, aeronautical charts
and job opportunities. They can also find information on aviation
education, aviation statistics and how to contact the FAA
regarding safety or security concerns.
Individuals who cannot find the information they are looking for
on-line will have the option of e-mailing the FAA their questions at
the end of each site.
=> Research Insights Into Alcoholism And Alcohol Abuse Highlighted In
10th Special
Report
Secretary of Health and Human Services Donna E. Shalala has
announced the availability of the "10th Special Report to
the U.S. Congress on Alcohol and Health", produced by the
National Institute of Alcoholism and Alcohol Abuse (NIAAA).
The report highlights recent research advances on the
causes, consequences, treatment, and prevention of alcohol
addiction (alcoholism) and alcohol abuse.
The 492-page report, available in print and on the
internet, documents the scope of alcohol's impact on
society. The effects range from violence to traffic crashes
to lost productivity to illness and premature death -- all
of which, combined, cost our nation an estimated $184.6
billion per year. The report also conveys the rapid
progress of research into the genetic and environmental
factors that can lead to alcohol addiction. Scientists are
using these insights to develop and test new ways of
preventing and treating this disease. "Alcohol problems can
yield to scientific investigation and medical intervention
in the same way as other health conditions," writes DHHS
Secretary Donna Shalala in the foreword.
The new report presents advances in alcohol research since
1997, when the last edition of "Alcohol and Health" was
published. "This report reflects the tremendous growth in
the scope of alcohol research," according to NIAAA Director
Enoch Gordis, M.D. Contemporary alcohol research spans all
life stages -- from prenatal alcohol exposure to drinking
problems in the elderly -- and applies the latest methods
of basic, epidemiological, clinical, behavioral, and social
sciences research, often in multidisciplinary
collaborations.
http://silk.nih.gov/silk/niaaa1/publication/exsum.htm
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FREE 30 days of StormWarn by Email, Pager, PCS/GSM Phone, Business Fax at no
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=> Links Area
FIRES IN BOLIVIA
Bolivia
Heat signatures and smoke plumes are visible from numerous fires burning in
central Bolivia.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Bolivia/FSMHSbol325_N4.jpg
FIRES IN CALIFORNIA
US California
Heat signatures are visible from several fires burning in central
California near the Nevada border.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_California/FHSusCA326_N4.jpg
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
US Northeast
Cloud and snow bands generated by the storm in southeastern Canada as the
winds blow across the
Great Lakes are visible in this GOES-8 image. The lake effect
snows have dumped about 25 inches on Buffalo, New York, with snow in Ohio,
Pennsylvania,
Michigan and as far south as Kentucky.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Snow/US_Northeast/SNWusNE326_G8.jpg
Additional information on Lake Effect snows may be viewed at the following
links:
http://metsun1.met.sjsu.edu/~craig/lake_effect/introduction.htm
http://www_das.uwyo.edu/~geerts/cwx/notes/chap10/lake_effect_snow.html
http://aol.weather.com/encyclopedia/winter/lake.html
http://www.comet.ucar.edu/class/smfaculty/byrd/sld001.htm
NORTH AMERICAN SNOWCOVER
North America
Snow cover over much of North America is visible in this GOES-8 image.
Clouds obscure part of
the area to the east of the Great Lakes and in the western
areas.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Snow/US_Northeast/SNWusNE326_G8.jpg
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