The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 21, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column- EMC264 Volunteer Management
=> Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article NTSB public meeting on Crash of Payne Stewart Natural gas service
line
explosion and fire in Bridgeport, Alabama
=> Article The FAA Conducts Demonstration of Total Transportation
Applications of GPS
Technologies
=> Article Project Impact Summit 2000 Awards Announced -- The Winners
=> Article Collier County Florida EM to Open Inclement Weather Shelters
=> Article USGS MAP SALES OPEN FRIDAY
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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Sponsored by the THE ROTHSTEIN CATALOG ON DISASTER RECOVERY
http://www.disastercenter.com/Rothstein/
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=> Subscribe/Unsubscribe information
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 21, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Mon...86 At El Cajon CA
Low Tue...10 Below Zero At West Yellowstone MT
=> Special Notes
Netherland Police are increasing finding mobile cellphones that actually
operate as covert handguns.
For the first time since we started these reports in january 2000 no
flooding was reported yesterday.
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Tue Nov 21 12:04:00 2000
Non Precipitation
Alabama
Florida
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT...
Georgia
VERY WINDY TODAY
COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR THUS FAR. FREEZING TEMPERATURES
WILL OCCUR ALL OF THE WAY TO THE COAST TONIGHT INTO EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
Louisiana
OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING IN SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI AND EAST CENTRAL AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
Mississippi
RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TONIGHT
North Carolina
VERY WINDY TODAY...
A WIDESPREAD KILLING FREEZE AND NEAR RECORD COLD TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Oregon
VERY WINDY TODAY
South Carolina
COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE YEAR THUS FAR
Virginia
STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON...
.
Winter Storm
Indiana
LAKE EFFECT SNOW THIS MORNING. STRONG WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
ALSO CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.
Maryland
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARE RESULTING IN SNOWFALL ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 400 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
Michigan
BANDS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL LOCALIZED
ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BY EVENING
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST OVER LAKESHORE COUNTIES OF
WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN
North Carolina
SNOWY..WINDY..AND COLD TODAY
New York
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...
BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL INTENSIFY THIS AFTERNOON WITH
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
Ohio
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR TUESDAY...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH OCCASIONAL CLAPS OF
THUNDER WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON.
Pennsylvania
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON...
EXPECT TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES BY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.
South Carolina
SNOWY..WINDY..AND COLD TODAY
West Virginia
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TODAY
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARE RESULTING IN SNOWFALL ALONG THE
WESTERN SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS.
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
rainfall.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
rainfall.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
The probability of heavy snow is low over Michigan's northern peninsula,
northwest Michigan, far
northeast Ohio, far north northwest Pennsylvania, southwest New York,
central north New York,
central northwest West Virginia, far western Maryland, and a small portion
of west central south
Pennsylvania.
The moderate probability area is over the northwest and north central parts
of Michigan's northern
peninsula, central north Michigan, the far northeast coastal area of Ohio,
far north northwest
Pennsylvania, far southwest New York.
The high probability area is over far north northwest Pennsylvania, far
southwest New York.
More heavy lake effect snow this period....especially downwind from Lakes
Erie and Ontario
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
Tomorrow the probability of heavy snow is low over Michigan's northern
peninsula, northwest
Michigan, far northeast Ohio, far north northwest Pennsylvania, southwest
New York, central north
New York.
The moderate probability area is over the northwest, the northeast and north
central parts of
Michigan's northern peninsula, central northwest Michigan, the extreme
northeast coastal area of
Ohio, far north northwest Pennsylvania, far southwest New York.
The high probability area is over far central southwest New York.
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0800 AM EST TUE NOV 21 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
NO NEW FLOODING.
FLASH FLOODING:
NO FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
Not Available
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 NOV 21 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 NOV 19 22:14:31.04 51.0 N 130.1 W 10 km 4.6
115 miles WNW of Port Hardy, BC, Canada
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column - EMC264 Volunteer Management
The topic of volunteers in government units such as the ACS
(Auxiliary Communications Service) can raise management issues.
The following, written by Paul Carlin, CA OES Coastal Region
ACS Officer, is important to both managers and participants.
Management power:
"Coercive Power. Coercive power is based primarily on fear.
Here, person A has power over person B because A can administer
some form of punishment to B, such as firing him.
Reward Power. Reward power exists when person A controls rewards
that person B wants. This may be salary, promotion, bonuses,
etc.
Legitimate Power. Legitimate power exists when person B submits
to person A because he feels A has a right to exert power in a
certain domain. A supervisor has a right, for instance, to
assign work.
Expert Power. Expert power is demonstrated when person A gains
power because A has knowledge or expertise relevant to B.
Expert power is based on expertise, but that alone cannot
motivate a volunteer to work for an organization. To motivate the
highest caliber of individuals to volunteer and stay with an
organization, they must be motivated through referent power. They
must respect and admire those for whom they work.
Referent Power. Also sometimes called charismatic power,
referent power exists when person B is willing to do things for
person A based on respect and admiration for A.
Clearly, coercive and reward power will not work with volunteers.
While often doing the same job as paid staff, volunteers are not
paid staff, and it is not constructive to think of them as such.
Volunteers can leave the organization at any time without
suffering adverse consequences and the reward they gain by
staying is something they feel in themselves, not something that
can be given by others.
While it might be argued that legitimate power could be used to
motivate volunteers, this really relies on superior/subordinate
relationship, which is not a strong basis for motivating someone
who can choose any number of other organizations from which to
volunteer. In order to recruit and retain the highest caliber
volunteers, managers must use expert or referent power. The very
nature of being a volunteer is that the individual must want to
stay with the organization.
Management style:
Management guru Peter Drucker has written extensively about
management of non-profit organizations and volunteers. In
particular he writes: "More and more volunteers are educated
people in managerial and professional jobs. These people are not
satisfied with being helpers. They are knowledge workers in the
jobs in which they earn their living, and they want to be
knowledge workers in the jobs in which they contribute to
society that is their volunteer work. For organizations to
attract and hold them, they have to put their competence and
knowledge to work. They have to offer meaningful achievement."
What implications does this have for management style? Clearly
this kind of educated, professional volunteer is not going to
enjoy working in an autocratic organization where all the
decisions are made at the top and every action is governed by
strict policies and procedures. This type of volunteer is used
to a great deal of autonomy in his professional career and will
be looking for the same in a volunteer position. It is critical
to get such volunteers involved, from the earliest stages in the
decision-making process. The kinds of skills these volunteers
bring to the table could not possibly be monetarily compensated
by public-sector agencies in the open marketplace. Management
of volunteers is a delicate matter in any case, but particularly
with volunteers who are businessmen and professionals. It would
be tremendously wasteful not to involve them in the decision-
making process, even if they were willing to stay with an
organization that did not do so."
Applying this to a volunteer program such as the State ACS
program with the Governor's Office of Emergency Services
Paul added:
"The ACS has a unique challenge to recruit and retain talented
volunteer professionals to serve alongside OES paid staff. These
volunteers are not paid staff. While they may like to be treated
with the same respect as paid staff, they have jobs, families,
and lives outside of ACS. As they are not paid, the only reward
they get is a feeling of satisfaction in knowing they are serving
their community.
By: Auxiliary Communications Service (ACS) of the
California Governor's Office of Emergency Services
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**** ARTICLES ****
--------------------------------------------------------------
=> NTSB public meeting on Crash of Payne Stewart Natural gas service line
explosion and fire in Bridgeport, Alabama
The National Transportation Safety Board will hold a public meeting on
Tuesday, November 28, 2000, at 9:30 a.m., in the NTSB's new
Boardroom/Conference Center located at 429 L'Enfant Plaza, SW, Washington,
DC, 20594.
Two draft accident investigation reports will be on the agenda for
consideration by the five-member Board --
1) Factual Report and Brief of Accident: Crash of a
Learjet 35 aircraft, carrying professional golfer Payne Stewart and five
others, on October 25, 1999 near Aberdeen, South Dakota. Radio contact was
lost not long after takeoff from Orlando, Florida, but the aircraft
continued to fly for over four hours until it apparently ran out of fuel.
There were no survivors in this accident.
2) Pipeline Accident Report: Natural gas service line
explosion and fire in Bridgeport, Alabama, on January 22, 1999. The
explosion resulted in three fatalities and five serious injuries, and
destroyed three buildings.
About one hour after each item concludes, an abstract of
each report, containing the Board's findings, the probable cause of the
accident, and safety recommendations, will be available in the NTSB's public
affairs office on the 6th floor. The abstracts also will be posted on the
NTSB web site (www.ntsb.gov). Printed copies of the final reports will be
available at a later date.
=> The FAA Conducts Demonstration of Total Transportation Applications of
GPS
Technologies
WASHINGTON - A partnership between the Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA) and Brazil Directorate of Electronics and
Flight Protection (DEPV) is helping facilitate the move towards
widespread use of satellite navigation in the Caribbean and South
American States.
The FAA and Brazil DEPV this week successfully conducted a
demonstration in Brazil of civil transportation applications of the
Global Positioning System (GPS) in a series of live exercises
involving civil aviation aircraft, search and rescue maritime
vessels, and emergency vehicles.
This multi-mode transportation demonstration is the first of its kind
in the Caribbean and South American region and depicts some of
the benefits that countries can receive today when implementing
GPS technologies in their regions.
"These jointly-sponsored events demonstrate the FAA's
commitment to satellite navigation technology and to its
international cooperative efforts to enhance safety throughout the
world," said Steven Zaidman, associate administrator for research
and acquisitions.
The exercises included rescuing a boat in distress, police and
ambulance vehicles navigating through high congestion in busy
rush-hour traffic, and two aircraft landings at Santos Dumont
Airport. Participants were able to monitor and track the status and
location of all aircraft, ships, and vehicles in real time on a
moving map display and see all the transportation modes
converge at a single location at the airport. The demonstration
identified the potential benefits and economic advantages that
could be provided to participating states in the implementation of
this technology.
GPS is an effective navigation aid used throughout the United
States to make all modes of transportation safer, more efficient
and more cost-effective. These cooperative activities between
the Brazil DEPV and the FAA demonstrate how the use of
satellite-based navigation and communication technologies can be
applied for all modes of transportation in Brazil, South America,
and throughout the Western Hemisphere.
=> Project Impact Summit 2000 Awards Announced
Project Impact Summit 2000 Awards Announced
Project Impact Recognizes Wilmington's Stephen Meinhold for Outstanding
Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes City of Tulsa for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Debbie Reed of New Hanover County, NC for
Outstanding Efforts in
Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Tulsa World for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Laura Wright for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes William Boylen of Quality Roofing Supply Company
for Outstanding
Efforts in Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Freeport's Joesph Madigan for Outstanding Efforts
in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Evansville's Roger Lehman for Outstanding Efforts
in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Wall-Ties & Forms Inc. for Outstanding Efforts in
Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Lisa Gibney of Palo, Iowa for Outstanding Efforts
in Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Portland Cement Association for Outstanding
Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes City of Deerfield Beach, Florida for Outstanding
Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes The Lamoille County Planning Commission for
Outstanding Efforts in
Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Cabell County for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Allegany County for Outstanding Efforts in
Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Charleston Organizations for Outstanding Efforts
in Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Puget Sound's Mike Valentine for Outstanding
Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Linda Linhoff for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Chris Snell for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Elsa Arndt for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes Kitsap County Fire Safety Advisory Committee for
Outstanding Efforts
in Disaster Prevention
Project Impact Recognizes North Carolina for Outstanding Efforts in Disaster
Prevention
http://www.fema.gov/impact/impact_summawrds.htm
=> Collier County Florida EM to Open Inclement Weather Shelters
Issued by Collier County EM at 11:30 AM, Tuesday, November 21, 2000:
COLDEST WEATHER OF THE SEASON SO FAR TONIGHT
INCLEMENT WEATHER SHELTERS OPEN
The coldest weather of the 2000 - 2001 winter season thus far is
expected tonight, as a reinforcing cold front moves through the area behind
the front which passed yesterday afternoon. Temperatures are forecast to
drop into the mid to upper 40s along the coast tonight, and will be a few
degrees cooler inland, possibly reaching the upper 30s in the usually
colder areas of Golden Gate, Corkscrew and Immokalee. Winds are forecast
to be from the north at about 10 miles per hour. This could push overnight
wind chill readings into the mid to upper 30s along the coast, and the
lower to mid 30s inland.
These temperatures pose a definite health risk to those who are not
prepared for them. In response to the cold weather, and anticipated wind
chill readings of 40 degrees or less, shelters will be opened tonight at:
St. Matthews House, Airport Road in East Naples, 774 0500
Friendship House, 602 West Main Street in Immokalee, 657 4090
Shelters will be opened at 6:00 p.m. tonight and will remain open
until 7 a.m. tomorrow morning. Wednesday night's forecast calls for
temperatures to be slightly warmer, and a sheltering decision will be made
during the day on Wednesday.
Emergency Management will continue to monitor the situation and will
issue additional statements if needed.
________
=> USGS MAP SALES OPEN FRIDAY
In observance of the Thanksgiving Day holiday, all offices of the U.S.
Geological Survey, including
its map sales outlet in Menlo Park, will be closed from 2 p.m., Wednesday,
November 22, until 8
a.m., Friday, November 24.
The map sales office will be open for business as usual from 8 a.m. to 4
p.m., Friday, offering area
residents and visitors an opportunity to shop for maps, books and
earth-science posters suitable for
framing.
In addition to the map sales office, the USGS library also will be open
Friday. Visitors to the USGS
are invited to pick up one of the agency's self-guiding tour booklets and
view the many displays of
rocks, mineral and plant specimens from around the world.
As the Nation's largest water, earth and biological science and civilian
mapping agency, the USGS
works in cooperation with more than 2,000 organizations across the country
to provide reliable,
impartial, scientific information to resource managers, planners, and other
customers. This
information is gathered in every state by USGS scientists to minimize the
loss of life and property
from natural disasters, contribute to the sound conservation, economic and
physical development of
the Nation's natural resources, and enhance the quality of life by
monitoring water, biological, energy,
and mineral resources.
=> Classified Ads
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Gives you new directions if you miss a turn, encounter traffic, or choose
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Complete nationwide information on one CD that features more than 96 million
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GPS receiver picks up satellite signals and uses them to pinpoint your
location on earth
Shipping: Currently, item can be shipped only within the U.S.
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FREE 30 days of StormWarn by Email, Pager, PCS/GSM Phone, Business Fax at no
cost*
Sign up today and you'll receive no obligation, no commitment StormWarn . If
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*Direct pages and faxes are limited to 50 bulletins during the trial period.
http://www.stormwarn.com/index.asp?a=10296
=> Links Area
NEW AGCM for NOV 2000
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/cmb/atm_forecast/images/xstemp_us_curr
ent.gif
Temperatures Rise at Climate Summit
Seeking U.S. leadership at a global summit on climate change..
http://www.net2one.fr/n2o.asp?n=567&m=1&i=2518029
U.S. singled out as world's largest polluter at Hague conference
http://www.net2one.fr/n2o.asp?n=1337&m=1&i=2519177
FIRES IN NORTHEAST BRAZIL
Brazil
Heat signatures, smoke plumes and smoke clouds are visible from numerous
fires burning in the
Maranhao and Para regions of northeast Brazil.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/Brazil/FSMHSbrzl323_N4.jpg
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
US Upper Midwest
The 850 MB height contours verifying at 18:00 UTC have been laid over the
17:45 UTC GOES-8
image to indicate the
general direction of the winds. Winds are approximately parallel to the
contours at 850 MBs. Open
water, cloud free areas
are visible on the upwind side of both Lake Superior and Lake Michigan with
clouds forming part
way across the Lakes
as the cold dry air picks up moisture. Substantial amounts of snow have been
falling in Wisconsin
and Michigan from the clouds forming over the Lakes.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Storms/US_Midwest/STMusGRLKS324_G8.jpg
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