The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 19, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column- --- New Britain Region And New Ireland Region P.N.G
Earthquakes
from 00/11/16 04:54:56 to 00/11/19 02:45:27
=> Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article The U.S. Fire Administration has received notice of the following
firefighter
fatality:
=> Article Northwest Montana: After The Fires
=> Article The International Emergency Management Society (TIEMS) will be
holding its
8th annual conference in Oslo, Norway June 19-22, 2001.
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 19, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
------------------------------------------------------------
=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Sat...88 At Opa Locka FL
Low Sun...10 Below Zero At Craig CO
=> Special Notes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Sun Nov 19 11:54:43 2000
Flood
Louisiana
Mississippi
...FLOOD WARNING ISSUED FOR BILOXI RIVER AT LYMAN...
Non Precipitation
Iowa
Minnesota
Nebraska
South Dakota
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 40 MPH WILL PREVAIL OVER SOUTHEAST
SOUTH DAKOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA INTO
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL PRODUCE DIFFICULT
TRAVELING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST-WEST ROADS. SCATTERED
SNOW SHOWERS AND AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...REDUCING
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES ARE ALSO EXPECTED.
Winter Storm
Georgia
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR NORTH GEORGIA...
Michigan
MORE WINTRY WEATHER HEADED FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
LOWER MICHIGAN...
Minnesota
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO AS
HIGH AS 40 MPH OVER NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
MINNESOTA.
North Carolina
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TODAY...
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A LITTLE SLEET
MIXING IN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE SNOWFALL ENDS TOWARD EVENING.
North Dakota
STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW CREATING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...
..STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW ARE REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO NEAR
ZERO IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY FROM GRAFTON SOUTH.
Nebraska
...STRONG WIND WILL CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW TODAY IN
CENTRAL
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...
.A STRONG CANADIAN LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE FLURRIES AND
STRONG GUSTY WIND TODAY.
New York
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BUT WILL DIMINISH TO A GENERAL LIGHT SNOW OVER WESTERN
NEW YORK EAST OF LAKE ERIE.
South Carolina
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TODAY...
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITH A LITTLE SLEET
MIXING IN AT TIMES. ACCUMULATIONS FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
BEFORE THE SNOWFALL ENDS TOWARD EVENING.
South Dakota
RESULTING IN NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO AS HIGH AS 40 MPH OVER
NORTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
Tennessee
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS (COCKE..SEVIER..BLOUNT..MONROE..AND POLK COUNTIES OF
EAST TENNESSEE..AND CLAY AND CHEROKEE COUNTIES OF NORTH CAROLINA)
ON SUNDAY...
Wisconsin
...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR VILAS COUNTY TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is less than a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for over 1 inch of rainfall
over Georgia except the
souhtern and northwestern areas, South Carolina except the northwestern
area, and south
southeastern North Carolina.
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
rainfall.
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
The probability of heavy snow is low over Michigan's northern peninisula
except the central area,
and over central west Michigan.
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
Tomorrow the probability of heavy snow is low over Michigan's northern
peninisula, and over west
Michigan.
The moderate probability area is over central and west parts of Michigan's
northern peninisula
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
=> USA Flood Report
The United States Flood Summary is not available.
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
The USA Fire Report and Forecast is not available.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 NOV 19 at 00:15 UTC
NO EVENTS
00/11/18 02:05:49.19
NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.
Epicenter: -4.876 153.210
MW 6.9
00/11/18 06:54:59.02
NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.
Epicenter: -5.198 151.682
MW 6.8
00/11/18 23:05:39.18
NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.
Epicenter: -5.399 153.559
MW 5.9
00/11/19 02:45:27.05
NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.
Epicenter: -5.138 151.651
MW 6.0
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column --- New Britain Region And New Ireland Region P.N.G
Earthquakes from 00/11/16 04:54:56 to 00/11/19 02:45:27
DATE-(UTC)-TIME LAT LON DEP MAG Q COMMENTS
yy/mm/dd hh:mm:ss deg. deg. km
00/11/19 02:45:27 5.14S 151.65E 52.6 5.8Mb A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/18 23:05:39 5.40S 153.56E 33.0 6.0Ms A NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/18 17:29:07 4.85S 152.77E 33.0 4.9Mb B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/18 15:04:14 4.58S 153.21E 33.0 5.8Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/18 14:59:28 4.50S 153.02E 33.0 5.3Ms A NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/18 08:20:31 5.46S 152.57E 33.0 5.3Mb B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/18 06:54:59 5.20S 151.68E 33.0 6.6Ms A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/18 02:05:49 4.88S 153.21E 33.0 6.8Ms C NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/17 21:01:56 5.49S 151.66E 33.0 7.5Mw A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/17 06:30:13 5.06S 152.96E 33.0 5.1Mb B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/17 04:22:55 6.29S 153.39E 33.0 5.5Ms A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/17 01:54:02 5.07S 153.17E 33.0 5.5Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/17 01:37:03 5.13S 152.91E 33.0 5.8Ms A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/16 23:04:05 5.36S 153.22E 33.0 5.4Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 18:03:44 4.37S 152.79E 33.0 5.3Ms B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/16 15:23:43 6.10S 153.66E 33.0 5.6Mb B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/16 13:17:56 5.58S 153.43E 33.0 5.3Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 13:09:20 5.68S 153.32E 33.0 5.3Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 13:04:43 5.03S 153.35E 33.0 5.3Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 12:14:24 5.16S 152.63E 33.0 5.4Mb B NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/16 11:12:33 5.06S 153.56E 33.0 5.6Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 11:05:41 5.26S 152.92E 33.0 6.2Ms A NEW BRITAIN REGION, P
00/11/16 07:42:16 5.24S 153.06E 33.0 7.7Ms B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 05:21:23 4.98S 153.11E 33.0 6.1Mb B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
00/11/16 04:54:56 3.97S 152.32E 33.0 8.0Ms B NEW IRELAND REGION, P
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> The U.S. Fire Administration has received notice of the following
firefighter fatality:
Name: Kenneth W. Kerr
Rank: Firefighter
Age: 41
Status: Career
Years of Service: 14
Date of Incident: 11/16/2000
Time of Incident: 1115hrs
Date of Death: 11/16/2000
Fire Department: New York City Fire Department
Fire Department Address: 9 Metro Tech Center, Brooklyn, NY 11201
Fire Department Phone: (718) 999-2004
Fire Department Chief: Peter J. Ganci
Cause of Death: Firefighter Kerr died from an apparent heart attack in
the station about an hour after he returned from a fire in the Bronx, where
he helped haul a hose up six flights of stairs then worked as the nozzle
man.
Wake: Sat. & Sun. (18th/19th) 2-4pm and 7-9pm, Coloni Funeral Home, US
Route 9 West, New Windsor, NY 12553
Funeral: Monday, 11/20 {at} 1030hrs, Saint Patrick's Church
55 Grand Street, Newburgh, NY 12550
Tribute is being paid to Firefighter Kerr at:
=> Northwest Montana: After The Fires
NOVEMBER 18 -- TROY, MT: On the Kootenai National Forest, biologists,
hydrologists, soil
scientists, and ecologists have been getting a firsthand look at the burned
areas following this
season's fires, many of which created habitats for wildlife in a
fire-adapted landscape. Just 2 percent
of the 2.2 million acres on the Kootenai burned - about 48,000 acres - and
most of the fires were
"cool" fires. They didn't burn with the speed and intensity of those farther
south on the Bitterroot
National Forest.
"If you have low fuel moisture, low humidity, and wind all together, you
have what it takes for big
fires like we saw on the Bitterroot," says Forest planning biologist Wayne
Johnson. "The potential
was there on the Kootenai, but we never had all three factors at once."
More than 100 lightning fires were ignited on the Kootenai National Forest
and surrounding
communities from the thunderstorms on August 10 and 11. The Three Rivers
Ranger District was hit
especially hard, with 51 confirmed fires. Several days later, more than 50
fires on the Kootenai were
unstaffed, a common situation across the West this summer as the number of
fires outpaced available
resources. Increasing high temperatures and gusty winds kept the fires ahead
of the firefighters for
weeks on end. The Kootenai Complex, just east of the community of Yaak,
totaled 50 fires burning
over 10,000 acres. Near Troy, 800 homes were threatened by nearly 50 fires.
Meanwhile, though, much of the forest's wildlife just went about business as
usual.
Steve Wegner, a hydrologist on the Libby District, remembers watching a
black bear at the edge of
a fire. He saw five whitetail deer nibbling lichen on trees felled by flames
and a western skink - a
lizard-like critter that looks like a short snake with legs - racing through
the partially burned duff
under ponderosa pines.
Several months later, short-term fire rehab has been completed - including
filling in firelines, installing
waterbars, repairing roads, and reducing the risk from noxious weeds.
Hydrologist Steve Johnson,
who coordinated those efforts, said the rehab this year was more extensive
than that required by the
fires of 1994, when fires in the area burned only 53,000 acres and firelines
tallied only 100 miles.
"There's a real potential for sedimentation in some of our bull trout and
redband trout watersheds,"
said Johnson. "We had much more rehabilitation to do this time than after
the 1994 fires."
Forest Ecologist Dan Leavell, noting the mosaic pattern of burns across the
forest, says he likes what
he sees - which is more diversity. "You have a landscape mosaic resulting
from the fires," he says.
Leavell points to 2000 years of fire history in northwest Montana; the years
1200 and 1910
registered as big fire years corresponding with hot, dry weather.
In some places, the fires this year happened to match up with planned
prescribed burns on winter
and summer ranges for elk, deer, and bighorn sheep. The Ural-Tweed bighorn
herd that roams the
east side of Lake Kookanusa is the only remaining native bighorn sheep herd
in northwestern
Montana. Prescribed fires in their winter range are designed to remove
encroaching trees on the
grasslands and to invigorate plants with fire's fertilizing powers. This
year, nature wrote the
prescription.
Where fires burned hot at higher elevations in the Yaak country and Cabinet
Mountains, Johnson
expects huckleberry fields eventually to rebound with vigor. It might take a
decade or so for the
berry fields to be back in full swing, producing the sugary, plump fruits
that grizzlies and black bears
require each fall before a long winter's hibernation.
A team of specialists has completed an assessment of most of the Year 2000
fires across the
Kootenai, to help prioritize long-term rehab and restoration projects to
begin this winter. Projects
may include noxious weed control, tree harvest, reforestation, and placement
of erosion control
structures. The document will be the subject of public meetings in November,
and comments are
welcome. More information on the season's fires and rehab is available from
the Northern Rockies
Region, and the Kootenai National Forest is also online. Fire rehab
assessment documents are online
in PDF format.
=> The International Emergency Management Society (TIEMS) will be holding
its
8th annual conference in Oslo, Norway June 19-22, 2001.
A First Call for Papers has been issued. The conference objective is to
focus on Emergency Management in the international community to deal with
and reduce the consequences of industrial and marine disasters and natural
catastrophes.
The conference main issues are:
- Information and Communication Technologies of Emergency Management
- Marine and Transport Crisis and Disaster Management
- Global Risk of Natural Disasters
- Global Harmonization and Communication on Hazardous Chemicals
- The Vulnerability of Modern Society
Abstracts must be submitted by January 31.
If you are interested in speaking at the conference - or being a participant
or exhibitor - detailed information is available at http://www.tiems.org
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