The USA Disaster Situation Report
The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 14, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
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IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or Significant
Icing Forecast
=> USA Flood Report
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
=> USA Earthquake Report
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
=> Guest Column-
=> Sponsored by the SandbaggerTM
**** ARTICLES ****
=> Article Up Close and Personal: Kids Learn About Fire
=> Article Forest Expert Recommends Thinning Now
=> Article Virginia's Shenandoah Complex Contained
=> Article Project Impact Brings Disaster Prevention To Washington, DC
=> Article FEMA Signs New Partners To Strengthen Disaster Prevention
Initiative
=> Classified Ads
=> Links Area
=> How to Be Featured as our Guest Columnist
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The Daily USA Disaster Situation Report
For November 14, 2000
Christopher Effgen, Editor, host{at}disastercenter.com
------------------------------------------------------------
IN THIS ISSUE
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=> USA Daily Temperature Extremes
National Temperature Extremes
High Mon...83 At Marathon FL
Low Tue...11 Below At Greybull WY
=> Current Active National Weather Service Warnings:
Active Warnings:
Updated Tue Nov 14 11:22:05 2000
Flood
Nebraska
...FLOOD WARNING FOR THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR LEWELLEN...
THE NORTH PLATTE RIVER NEAR LEWELLEN REACHED THE FLOOD STAGE OF 7.5
FEET AT 7 AM CST (6 AM MST). THE SHERIFF HAS CONFIRMED THAT ICE JAMS
ARE CAUSING THE RIVER TO OVERFLOW THE BANKS IN A FEW AREAS. THE
RIVER
LEVELS MAY CONTINUE TO RISE UNTIL THE ICE BREAKS.
Texas
...FOR THE NUECES RIVER...
11 MILES SOUTH OF TILDEN...THE 9 AM TUESDAY STAGE WAS 9.4 FEET.
FLOOD STAGE IS 14 FEET AND BANKFULL STAGE IS 11 FEET. DUE TO RECENT
UPSTREAM RAINS...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE BANKFULL BY THURSDAY AND
WILL SURPASS FLOOD STAGE THIS WEEKEND.
Non Precipitation
Alabama
...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...
Arkansas
Louisiana
Mississippi
...FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST AND
EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA...AND MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI...
California
NOT QUITE AS COLD TONIGHT AND ONLY ISOLATED FROST IS EXPECTED IN THE
COLDEST INLAND LOCATIONS.
Georgia
South Carolina
.A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE MIDLANDS BY NOON. COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TONIGHT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT AND ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE LOWER 30S BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE MIDLANDS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE
CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA TONIGHT.
Tennessee
...FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT...
Winter Storm
California
...SNOW HAS DECREASED TO SHOWERS OVER NORTHWEST CALIFORNIA...
.THE STORM WHICH BROUGHT SNOW TO THE INLAND AREAS HAS BEGUN TO
SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTIUNE OVER
THE INLAND ZONES TODAY BUT SIGNIFICANT ACCUMUALTIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS POINT.
Colorado
...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
.RELATIVELY WARM MOIST AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE TRI-STATE AREA TONIGHT
ABOVE AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS LAYER OF AIR WILL SIT ON TOP
OF MUCH COLDER AIR NEAR THE SURFACE. DENSE FOG AND FREEZING RAIN
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM BEGINS TO
MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES. THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE WILL BE
ALONG
AND EAST OF A MCCOOK TO COLBY TO TRIBUNE LINE. A QUARTER OF AN
INCH
OR MORE OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA
Idaho
SNOW ADVISORY WASATCH MOUNTAINS OF UTAH AND SOUTHEAST IDAHO
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
Kansas
.A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
Louisiana
.A COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AS A DOME OF COLD AIR
SETTLES
SOUTH OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE AREA.
Michigan
...SNOW CONTINUES OVER WEST AND CENTRAL UPPER MICHIGAN...
Minnesota
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT...
Mississippi
...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT...
Nebraska
...A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
Nevada
...A COLD WINTER STORM MOVES FROM NORTHERN CALIFORNIA TO NORTHERN
NEVADA TUESDAY...
Utah
SNOW ADVISORY WASATCH MOUNTAINS OF UTAH AND SOUTHEAST IDAHO
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
Wisconsin
...LAKE EFFECT SNOW EXPECTED OVER IRON COUNTY THIS MORNING...
.A STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW THIS
MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN WISCONSIN.
=> Severe Weather Probability Forecast
The forecast probability of an event is by the stated percentage or greater
for the event, within 25 miles of any point for the area described.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is less than a 2% probability of a tornado.
Hail Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of hail 3/4 inch or larger.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is less than a 5% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots.
Tomorrow's Risk -
There is a 5% probability of any severe weather tomorrow over central and
northern coastal inland
areas of Texas, southwest Mississippi, and Louisiana except the northern and
far southeastern areas.
The 15% probability area coverscentral and northern coastal areas of Texas
and southwest
Louisiana.
=> Precipitation Forecast, Excessive Rainfall, Heavy Snow And/Or
Significant
Icing Forecast
Precipitation Forecast
The 24 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
rainfall
The 24 - 48 hour precipitation forecast is calling for less than 1 inch of
rainfall
Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Rainfall is not expected to exceed flash flood values.
USA heavy snow and/or significant icing
The probability of heavy snow is low over the eastern end of Michigan's
northern Peninisula
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
Tomorrow the probability of heavy snow is low over western New York and
northcentral New
York
The probability of significant icing is less than 20 percent.
=> USA Flood Report
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
08:00 AM EST TUE NOV 14 2000
FLOOD SUMMARY
CONTINUING MINOR RIVER FLOODING
MINOR RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE REPORTED ON A FEW RIVERS IN
TEXAS, MINNESOTA, ARKANSAS AND ILLINOIS.
FLASH FLOODING:
FLOOD/FLASH FLOOD AND/OR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORIES
WERE ISSUED OVER THE LAST DAY FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS (IN
ALPHABETICAL ORDER, BY STATE):
PUERTO RICO: MUNICIPALITY OF GUAYANILLA
RIVER FLOODING:
RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH LOCATIONS EITHER ABOVE FLOOD STAGE OR
EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE INCLUDE (IN ALPHABETICAL
ORDER, BY STATE): :
ARKANSAS: THE CACHE RIVER
ILLINOIS: THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER
MINNESOTA: THE TWO RIVERS, RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AND
BUFFALO RIVERS
TEXAS: THE SULPHUR, NUECES, FRIO AND GUADALUPE RIVERS, WHITE
OAK CREEK
=> USA Fire Report and Forecast
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 14, 2000 - 0730 MST
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL I
CURRENT SITUATION:
Initial attack activity was light in the Southern and Eastern Areas with no
new large fires reported.
Crews are completing rehabilitation on firelines in Kentucky. North Carolina
and Virginia reported
very high fire danger indices. Demobilization of resources is in progress.
This will be the last daily situation report for the winter. The report will
be posted on Friday mornings
through the winter unless significant activity occurs.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
SOUTHEAST DISTRICT COMPLEX, Kentucky State Division of Forestry. A Type I
Incident
Management Team (Frye) is assigned. These fires are in several counties
surrounding Pineville, KY.
Heavy rain and the threat of tornados hampered field assignments.
OUTLOOK:
There is a chance of rain over much of the Southern Area with some clearing
by Tuesday evening. In
Kentucky temperatures will be in the 30's with minimum relative humidity of
65 percent. In the
Carolinas and Virginia temperatures will be in the 60's with minimum
relative humidity in the 50's.
Winds will be northwest 5 to 10 mph. A low pressure system will approach the
region bringing
increasing clouds with a chance of rain showers by late Thursday.
=> USA Earthquake Report
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
NO EVENTS
=> Yesterday's USA Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
No reports received
Hail Reports
No reports received
Wind Reports
No reports received
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (75 = 0.75")
=> Guest Column
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**** ARTICLES ****
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=> Up Close and Personal: Kids Learn About Fire
NOVEMBER 13 -- BILLINGS, MT: Instead of studying the difference between a
high-intensity
crown fire and a low-intensity ground fire from pictures in textbooks,
students of all ages are seeing
the results for themselves, thanks to the Toston-Maudlow Fire and Forest
Service retiree Tom Alt.
The Billings Gazette reported that students are making field trips to a
40-acre site east of Townsend
to see the difference firsthand. "It's one of the best field trips I've
had," said sixth grade student Taun
Murphy. "I learned a lot of stuff; it was fun." Murphy was one of the sixth
graders who saw
everything from burned tree stumps to new growth at the fire site.
Tom Alt, now a conservation education volunteer, spent 36 years with the
Forest Service. He says
students are learning a lot about fire from the site. "They can see some of
the positive sides of fire
and some of the devastating effects," he said. On half of the land, the
ground is ash and 90 percent of
the trees are dead. The other half is filled with new seedlings - and many
of the trees will survive.
"They're just amazed," said second grade teacher Lee Weldon. "They're just
like 'this is cool,
wow.'" Weldon tries to get her students to learn about the environment out
in the environment they
live in. After the fires in the area were controlled, she coordinated the
schools with Earth Orbit
Satellite/Global Learning Opportunity Benefiting Environment to start the
lab site and eventually turn
it into a children's forest. The Forest Service, with the help of District
Ranger Carol Hatfield, rebuilt
the footbridge over Deep Creek and cleared the area. Eventually, students
from kindergarten
through 12th grade will visit the site on a yearly basis to monitor the fire
recovery.
=> Forest Expert Recommends Thinning Now
NOVEMBER 13 -- PRIEST RIVER, IDAHO: Forests in eastern Washington and
northern Idaho
are threatened by fire danger - and won't replenish themselves without
immediate thinning and
prescribed fire, according to fire ecology expert Leon Neuenschwander with
the University of Idaho.
The Spokane Spokesman-Review reported that improving the health of pine
forests in the Inland
Northwest - especially in the wildland/urban interface - should be a
national priority.
President Clinton last month approved a $1.8 billion strategy to combat
wildfire risk across the
country with a combination of thinning and prescribed fire for fuels
reduction. Of the fires that burned
this year, roughly 8 percent were in ponderosa pine and Doug-fir forests,
and that's where
Neuenschwander recommends that the government focus first. Historically,
parklike ponderosa
savannas covered much of the Inland Northwest's valleys. But decades of fire
suppression and
timber harvest created a dense tinderbox of overstocked stands and less
fire-tolerant species.
Neuenschwander says the West can expect more extreme drought and more big
fires in the pine and
fir forests.
Environmental groups are wary of the government's call to log forests back
to health. They say
timber companies will use the fire reduction strategy to increase logging.
But regional timber
companies support Neuenschwander's call to forest restoration. Stefany Bales
with the
Intermountain Forest Association in Coeur d'Alene, Idaho, says they hope the
American public sees
that thinning and burning do reduce fires in forests near people's homes.
=> Virginia's Shenandoah Complex Contained
NOVEMBER 13 -- LURAY, VA: The Shenandoah Complex was declared contained
last night at
24,197 acres. Most firefighters are headed home, but some crews are still on
the complex to finish
rehabilitating firelines and trails. Firefighters are still securing
firelines, clearing snags, and mopping
up; one helicopter remains on duty to help firefighters with hotspots.
Firefighters now are working primarily on rehab, which includes removing
hazardous snags along
Skyline Drive and on trails that were used as firelines. On steep sections
of hand lines, water bars
have been constructed to minimize erosion.
Of the fire's total size, 1112 acres were burned outside the boundary of
Shenandoah National Park.
Skyline Drive was re-opened this morning.
The image at right of the smoke drift from the Shenandoah Complex was
recorded by the
Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS), a part of NASA's Earth
Science Enterprise
designed to look at the planet from space to understand its system in both
behavior and evolution.
The SeaWiFS project provides quantitative data on global ocean bio-optical
properties to the Earth
science community. The SeaWiFS Project operates a research data system to
process, calibrate,
validate, archive, and distribute data received from an Earth-orbiting ocean
color sensor.
The SeaStar spacecraft carries the SeaWiFS instrument and was launched to
low-Earth orbit on
board an extended Pegasus launch vehicle on August 1, 1997. The SeaWiFS
instrument is the only
scientific payload on the SeaStar spacecraft.
The Pegasus is flown aloft under the body of a modified Lockheed L-1011
aircraft and released at
an altitude of about 39,000 feet, when the launch vehicle engages and lifts
the spacecraft to a
low-Earth, circular, parking orbit of 278 km. The SeaStar spacecraft has an
onboard hydrazine
propulsion system used to raise the satellite to its final orbit, which is
reached approximately 20 days
following launch.
=> Project Impact Brings Disaster Prevention To Washington, DC
- New Corporate and Government Partners set to Strengthen the Nationwide
Initiative-
Washington, DC, November 12, 2000 -- Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA)
Director James Lee Witt will be joined by representatives from hundreds of
Project Impact
communities at the third annual Project Impact Summit, November 12-16, 2000
at the Marriott
Wardman Park Hotel in Washington, D.C. FEMA's Project Impact: Building
Disaster Resistant
Communities is a nationwide initiative to change the way America deals with
disasters.
The Summit will bring together participants from across the country who will
share their community's
success stories and the lessons they've learned about how best to prevent
disaster damage. In
addition to sessions that will highlight outstanding accomplishments of
communities, businesses and
individuals in protecting their communities against disaster damage.
The Summit will officially kick off on Monday afternoon (November 13) with
an opening session that
will feature remarks by Director Witt as well as Rep. Earl Blumenhauer
(D-Portland). Rep.
Blumenhauer will discuss the connection between citizen involvement in
Project Impact and
improving the livability of communities.
Along with joining the 1,300 citizens, business representatives, public
officials, media and emergency
managers from communities across America, Director Witt will sign numerous
Memoranda of
Understandings with new corporate and government partners to the Project
Impact initiative. The
new partners include National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA);
The Humane
Society of the United States; the U.S. Chamber of Commerce; and the U.S.
Geological Survey.
"Our Summit participants know that Project Impact empowers them to save
lives, protect property,
protect their economic and social livelihood and save their citizens from
the heartache of disaster,"
Director Witt said. "One of the reasons the Project Impact Summit is so
valuable is that people from
many different communities have the opportunity to exchange ideas with each
other about disaster
planning. Our most valuable resources are the members of our communities and
our partners who
understand they have a key role to help their communities become disaster
resistant."
As a result of Project Impact, communities are assessing their
vulnerabilities to natural disasters,
enforcing stricter building codes, strengthening existing buildings and
infrastructures, offering
incentives for taking prevention measures, and educating citizens about
prevention measures they can
take in their homes and businesses. Project Impact has shown that for every
dollar spent on
prevention, at least two dollars are saved in disaster recovery costs.
Project Impact encourages the collaboration of entire communities-individual
homeowners,
businesses, the media, public officials, schools and emergency management
personnel-to participate
in disaster prevention. The increasing number and severity of natural
disasters over the past decade
demands that all communities take action to reduce the threat that
hurricanes, tornadoes, severe
storms, floods and wildfires impose upon the nation's economy and the safety
of its citizens.
"I am thrilled with the evolution of Project Impact in its three years in
existence," Director Witt said.
"One of our greatest successes is how local officials, businesses and the
media are working together
to make their communities a more disaster resistant place to live and work.
I commend the Summit
attendees and communities of Project Impact who have taken the initiative
and made Project Impact
a part of their everyday lives. We look forward to a day without loss of
life, property damage and
business disruption from a disaster."
Since its inception in 1997, nearly 250 communities and 2,500 business
partners have embraced
Project Impact. Instead of waiting for disasters to occur, Project Impact
communities initiate
mentoring relationships, private and public partnerships, public outreach
and disaster mitigation
projects to reduce damage from potentially devastating disasters. Previous
community projects have
included creating disaster resistance strategies, revising local building
and land use codes, and
passing bond issues to construct prevention measures that will impact the
entire community.
For more information about Project Impact or preventing damage, call (202)
646-4117 or visit
www.fema.gov/impact.
=> FEMA Signs New Partners To Strengthen Disaster Prevention Initiative
Washington, DC, November 14, 2000 -- The Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA)
this week is partnering with new government and corporate sponsors to
strengthen the disaster
prevention initiative Project Impact: Building Disaster Resistant
Communities. The partnerships will
be formed through several Memoranda of Understanding (MOU) being signed
during the third
annual Project Impact Summit, November 12-16, 2000 at the Marriott Wardman
Park Hotel in
Washington, DC.
The new partners signing MOUs with FEMA's Project Impact include the Humane
Society of the
United States (HSUS); Coleman Powermate; and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.
"In the third year of Project Impact I am delighted to see such an enormous
commitment from
communities, businesses, and organization from all spectrums joining in the
effort to create a disaster
resistant country," said FEMA Director James L. Witt. "These new
partnerships will enhance and
increase the innovative means our partners have developed to make all
Americans more disaster
resistant."
The MOU between FEMA and HSUS will bring critical attention to the needs of
household pets
and animals of all kinds.
"By signing the MOU between FEMA' Project Impact and the Humane Society we
will bring more
attention to the importance of protecting animals from the all types of
natural and man made disasters
" said HSUS Director of Disaster and Field Services Melissa Rubin. "The MOU
will help promote
the safety and well being of all animals that are adversely affected during
a disaster. It will also
encourage an ongoing process of pro-active education and mutual awareness of
the needs of animals
and their owners in times of disasters."
The MOU signing with the power equipment manufacturer Coleman Powermate will
help Project
Impact in two ways. First, the company is donating hundreds of portable
generators to Project
Impact communities so they can temporarily restore power to storm shelters,
schools and other key
buildings. Secondly, Coleman Powermate plans to work with Project Impact
coordinators to
develop public relations and retail promotions, educating homeowners on how
to make their homes
resistant to the devastating forces of hurricanes and other natural
disasters.
"During a disaster, time is of the essence," said Coleman Powermate
President Steve Krawczyk.
"We want to do everything possible to prepare communities beforehand, so
they are better equipped
to deal with the aftermath."
On Thursday, November 16, FEMA Director James L. Witt will also be signing
an MOU with The
Center for Corporate Citizenship of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The U.S.
Chamber of
Commerce established the Center to work with other organizations to address
corporate
responsibility issues and includes the mandate of promoting disaster
mitigation measures and the
support of business disaster response operations.
"Chamber members across the country are leaders in their communities," said
Stephen Jordan, at the
Center of Corporate Citizenship. "Our partnership with FEMA's Project Impact
will provide an
unmatched opportunity to share ideas among businesses and communities as to
what can be done to
protect our communities physically and economically against disaster damage.
In addition to the signing of the MOU with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce,
VISA, U.S.A., an
existing Project Impact partner, pledged a charter contribution to support
the Center for Corporate
Citizenship's Disaster Resistance Network.
"This contribution further demonstrates our commitment to Project Impact,"
said Dave Minier,
Director, Government Services at VISA. "As a founding sponsor of this
initiative by the U.S.
Chamber of Commerce, we support their efforts to further expand the number
of businesses
protecting themselves, their employees and their communities."
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