The USA Disaster Situation Report
Situation Report for June 8, 2000
National Temperature Extremes
High Wed...113 At Coolidge AZ
Low Thu...30 At Whitefield NH
...Tropical Depression One Remains Weak And Nearly Stationary...
At 10 am cdt...1500z...the poorly defined center of the tropical depression
was located near latitude 21.0 north...longitude 93.5 west or about 425
miles...680 km...southeast of Brownsville Texas.
Only slight intensification if forecast. However...
The AVN and UKMET models indicate a narrow upper-level ridge/high building
over the tropical depression after 48 hours. This may allow the depression
to reach tropical storm intensity by the end of the forecast period.
DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN INTENSITY PREDICTION...INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF
OF MEXICO...COASTAL SECTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND TEXAS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEPRESSION.
Tornado Risk - Slight
There is a 2% or greater probability of a tornado within 25 miles of any
point for an area covering north central and central northern Montana.
Hail Risk - Slightly Moderate
There is a 25% probability of hail 3/4 inches or larger within 25 miles of
any point for an area covering central northern Montana. There are two 15%
probability areas. One is identical to the tornado risk area. The other
covers northeast Minnesota, northeast Wisconsin, and far northern Michigan
including the peninsula. The 5% probability area covers the central and
northern 2/3 of Montana, northern North Dakota, the northeastern 1/3 of
Minnesota, the northeastern third of Wisconsin, and northern Michigan.
Wind Risk - Slight
There is a 15% probability of winds in excess of 50 knots within 25 miles of
any point for an area covering north central and central northern Montana.
There are 2 5% probability areas. One area covers the central and northern
2/3 of Montana, northern North Dakota, the northeastern 1/3 of Minnesota,
the northeastern third of Wisconsin, and far northern Michigan including the
peninsula. The other area covers west central and southwest central South
Dakota, and a small portion of north west central Nebraska.
Tomorrow's Risk - Slightly Moderate
Tomorrow's risk area covers southeast Montana, North Dakota except the
northwest area, South Dakota except the far southwest corner and the
southeast corner, the northern half of Minnesota, northeast Michigan and the
peninsula, the northeast 1/3 of Pennsylvania, northern New Jersey, New York
except the northeast corner, western Massachusetts, and Connecticut.
Active Warnings:
Hurricane/Tropical Storm
United States
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.9N 94.4W 52 X X X 52 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 7 7
23.0N 95.0W 18 9 1 X 28 GALVESTON TX X X X 9 9
24.0N 95.5W 2 17 2 2 23 FREEPORT TX X X X 10 10
MMSO 238N 982W X 5 7 3 15 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 10 11
MMTM 222N 979W X 6 3 3 12 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 2 10 12
MMTX 210N 974W 1 4 1 3 9 BROWNSVILLE TX X 1 8 7 16
MMVR 192N 961W 2 1 X 1 4 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 7 8
GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 10 11
BURAS LA X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 95W X X 2 10 12
NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X 6 8 14
NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5 GULF 25N 96W X 8 8 3 19
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA/STEWART
Special Marine
Florida
* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR... - THE GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA STRAITS
COASTAL WATERS FROM KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...AND 20 NM NORTH
TO 60 NM SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS - THE FLORIDA STRAITS COASTAL WATERS FROM
WEST END OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM ON ATLANTIC SIDE *
UNTIL 225 AM EDT
Non Precipitation
California
...FROST WARNING TONIGHT... CLEARING SKIES AND A COLDER AIRMASS ARE EXPECTED
IN THE KLAMATH BASIN AND MODOC COUNTY TONIGHT. ALONG WITH THE COOL...CLEAR
CONDITIONS WILL COME SOME FROST...PARTICULARLY IN VALLEY LOCATIONS WITH
LITTLE OR NO WIND OVERNIGHT.
...WINDY CONDITIONS IN EASTERN KERN COUNTY THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH
TONIGHT...
INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT- ...WIND ADVISORY FROM
NOON UNTIL 4 AM FRIDAY
Kansas
...WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY BUT SPEEDS WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA...
Oregon
...FROST WARNING TONIGHT...
KLAMATH BASIN-NORTHEAST KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY- CENTRAL AND
EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
Utah
...HIGH WIND WARNING TODAY... A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR
NORTHWEST UTAH...INCLUDING I-80 FROM WENDOVER TO THE GREAT SALT LAKE.
...WIND ADVISORY TODAY... A WIND ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT TODAY FOR MOST
OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN UTAH.
Severe Thunderstorm
North Dakota
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WARNING FOR... BOTTINEAU COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THIS INCLUDES
THE CITY OF BOTTINEAU * UNTIL 1000 AM CDT
The 24 hr and 24 - 48 hr precipitation forecasts call for over an inch and a
half of rainfall along the Texas coast
NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0900 AM EDT THU JUN 8 2000
Flood Summary
Midwest Flooding
Flooding is being reported in Wisconsin, Illinois, and Iowa. These floods
are due to recent heavy rainfall over the area.
FLASH FLOODING:
Flood/Flash Flood Warnings and/or Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisories
were issued for the following locations (in alphabetical order, by state):
Florida: Hernando, Pasco, and Pinellas Counties; Areas of the Upper Keys
Massachusetts: Franklin County
RIVER FLOODING:
Rivers and streams with locations either above flood stage or expected to
rise above flood stage include (in alphabetical order, by state):
Illinois: The Des Planies, Fox, Mississippi, Pecatonica, and Rock Rivers
Iowa: Cedar and Wapsipinicon Rivers
Massachusetts: The Westfield River
Wisconsin: The Baraboo, Crawfish, Fox, Kickapoo, Pecatonica, and Rock Rivers
INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
THURSDAY, JUNE 8, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL III
CURRENT SITUATION:
Initial attack activity and new large fires were reported in the
Southwest, Southern, Rocky Mountain, Southern California, and Eastern
Great Basin Areas. Forecast high winds, low humidities and dry lightning
in the Great Basin and Southwest will challenge firefighting efforts
today. The National Interagency Coordination Center mobilized airtankers,
lead planes, air attack aircraft, helicopters, infrared aircraft, radio
equipment, engines, meteorological equipment, shower units, caterers,
crews, and miscellaneous overhead. Very high to extreme fire indices were
reported in Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, California, Idaho, Utah, Texas,
Oklahoma, Kansas, and Mississippi.
SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:
RATTLESNAKE, Coronado National Forest. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Leech) is assigned. The fire is approximately five miles north of
Tucson, AZ in the Catalina Mountains. The fire, pushed by thunderstorm
winds, made significant runs to the northeast and west. High
temperatures, low relative humidities and low fuel moistures have
contributed to extreme fire behavior. The fire is currently one mile from
residences.
OUTLET, Grand Canyon National Park. A Type II Incident Management Team
(McElwaine) is assigned. The fire is 25 miles south of Jacob Lake, AZ.
Crews are holding the fire along Fuller Canyon Road and mopping up.
Active burning below the rim and gusty winds are causing containment
problems.
PUMPKIN, Kaibab National Forest. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Joki) is assigned. The fire is 15 miles northwest of Flagstaff, AZ.
Intense interior burning continued on the south face of Kendrick Mountain.
Upslope runs with 100 foot flame lengths were observed. Predicted 40 mph
winds today will test containment lines.
CHANCE, Las Cruces District BLM. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Bustamante) is assigned. This lightning caused fire is burning in grass
and light fuels 30 miles south of Datil, NM. Downdrafts from passing
thunderstorms have pushed the fire front three miles to the northwest. A
ranch, a historic homestead and archeological sites are threatened.
VIVEASH, Santa Fe National Forest. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Bedlion) is assigned. This fire is burning in ponderosa pine and mixed
conifer five miles northwest of Pecos, NM. Fire activity has been minimal
due to higher relative humidities and cooler temperatures. The Area
Command Team (Mann) assigned to the Cerro Grande fire will also be
managing this fire.
MAGDALENA COMPLEX, Cibola National Forest. This is a complex of 12 fires
west of Socorro, NM. Firefighters on this complex are also supporting the
nearby Gallinas and Chance fires. Fuels include grass, pinyon-juniper and
ponderosa pine.
WILDCAT, Arizona State Land Department. This fire is 40 miles northeast
of Tucson, AZ. The cause of the fire is lightning. Containment is
expected today.
EAST, Arizona State Land Department. This lightning caused fire is five
miles southeast of Willcox, AZ. Containment is expected today.
SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:
A Type II Incident Management Team (Kearney) are staged in Gainesville,
FL.
SANDHILL, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is near a
subdivision in Charlotte County, FL. Local initial attack resources were
successful in saving 20 residences.
SUGAR CREEK, Florida State Division of Forestry. This human caused fire
is burning in heavy fuels on a pine plantation in Pasco County.
BRIGHT HOUR, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in Desoto
County. Rough and remote terrain are causing containment problems.
DANVILLE, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is located in
Union County. No other information was reported.
PARKWAY, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is in Pasco County,
north of Tampa, FL. The current threat is to commercial timber.
Containment efforts are being hampered by high winds and low relative
humidities.
LOUISE, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in Alachua
County near Gainesville, FL. No new information was reported. This will
be the last report unless new information is received.
MICROWAVE, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is located in
Osceola County, FL. No new information was reported. This will be the
last report unless new information is received.
BLUE HEAD RANCH I, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in
Highlands County, FL. No new information was reported. This will be the
last report unless new information is received.
BLUE HEAD RANCH II, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in
Highlands County, FL. No new information was reported. This will be the
last report unless new information is received.
MUSE AREA, Florida State Division of Forestry. These fires are in Glades
County, FL. No new information was reported. This will be the last
report unless new information is received.
EASTERN GREAT BASIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
UPPER SLIDE, Bridger-Teton National Forest. A Type II Incident Management
Team (Saleen) is assigned. The fire is burning in subalpine fir,
lodgepole pine and spruce 20 miles northeast of Jackson, WY. Heavy,
unseasonably dry fuels combined with very warm, dry and breezy conditions
are causing containment problems. The fire is spotting and spreading into
the Gros Ventre Wilderness.
ROCKY MOUNTAIN AREA LARGE FIRES:
BOOTH, Department of Defense. This lightning caused fire is on the Fort
Carson military installation two miles south of Colorado Springs, CO. The
fire is burning in pinyon-juniper, heavy timber and grass in a rugged
canyon which is inaccessible to engines. The fire made active runs
yesterday on both flanks. Observed fire behavior includes torching and
crowning. Air resources have been ordered.
WESTERN GREAT BASIN LARGE FIRES:
BUCK SPRINGS, Humbolt-Toiyabe National Forest. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Burdick) is assigned. This fire is burning in the Mt.
Clarkson Wilderness ten miles east of Pahrump, NV. The fire is still
active in the northwest corner and in the interior. Crews made good
progress toward objectives.
OUTLOOK:
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN UTAH FOR STRONG WINDS, LOW HUMIDITIES
AND POSSIBLE DRY LIGHTNING ***
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND SOUTHERN NEVADA
FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ***
*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA FOR LOW AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN WESTERN COLORADO FOR STRONG WINDS
***
*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN NORTHEAST AND CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS ***
Arizona, New Mexico, southern Utah, southern Colorado, and southern Nevada
will have strong southwest winds of 20 to 40 mph. Temperatures will be
from the 70's up to 105. Minimum relative humidities will be in the
single digits in some places. Dry lightning is forecast for all of Utah.
Florida will be mostly sunny in the north and partly cloudy in the south
with scattered showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in
the mid 80's to the mid 90's. Winds will be east at 10 to 15 mph.
Minimum relative humidities will range from 30 to 50 percent.
Fire weather watches are posted for the southern half of Montana and
western and central Wyoming for strong winds, low relative humidities and
possible dry lightning.
Fire weather watches are posted for southeast Idaho and the Black Hills
area of South Dakota for low relative humidities and strong winds.
UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 JUN 08 at 00:15 UTC
EARTHQUAKES IN SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES
(29.0 TO 35.8 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 JUN 7 04:45:41.00 33.2 N 115.6 W 0 km 3.4
15 miles NNW of Brawley, California
2000 JUN 7 12:51:11.86 29.5 N 113.4 W 10 km 4.0
110 miles NNE of Guerrero Negro, B.C. Sur, Mexico
EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 JUN 6 20:57:21.00 38.8 N 122.8 W 4 km 2.8
15 miles SW of Clearlake, California
2000 JUN 7 16:45:47.00 36.9 N 121.7 W 11 km 2.8
10 miles SW of Gilroy, California
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0248 UNK 10 N FOURCHETTE PHILLIPS MT 4788 10790 REPORTED BY PUBLIC (SPC)
0343 UNK SUN PRAIRIE PHILLIPS MT 4788 10766 (GGW)
0425 UNK 45 SW GLASGOW VALLEY MT 4766 10742 (GGW)
Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
2050 75 2 N MULBERRY POLK FL 2793 8198 ALSO...ESTIMATED WINDS 45 TO 50 MPH.
REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER IN NICHOLS. TOTAL HAIL DURATION 15
MINUTES...SEVERE HAIL EARLY ON. (TBW)
2150 88 MANGO HILLSBOROUGH FL 2796 8231 ALSO...ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH. EVENT DURATION 9 MINUTES. REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER. (TBW)
0245 100 ZORTMAN PHILLIPS MT 4791 10853 (GGW)
0702 175 HINSDALE VALLEY MT 4840 10708 (GGW)
Wind Reports
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1955 UNK ST PETERSBURG PINELLAS FL 2776 8266 SINGLE TREE DOWN ON HOUSE ON
36TH AVE. BETWEEN CHERRY AND LOCUST. OTHER TREE SPLIT AT RESIDENCE OF LOCAL
TELEVISION METEOROLOGIST. REPORTED BY MEDIA. (TBW)
2130 UNK LITHIA HILLSBOROUGH FL 2784 8214 POWER LINES DOWN ALONG KEYSVILLE
ROAD. AND CR 39. REPORTED BY STORM SPOTTER. (TBW)
2230 UNK TAVERNIER MONROE FL 2501 8051 LARGE TREE BLOWN DOWN IN HARRY HARRIS
COUNTY PARK. REPORTED BY PUBLIC. (EYW)
0055 UNK HIALEAH DADE FL 2585 8026 REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.
(MIA)
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
SOUTHEAST REGION
Ferry Fire
The State Ferry M/V Columbia had an engine fire just after noon on
Tuesday, June 7th while under way in Chatham Strait from Juneau to Sitka.
It was extinguished by the crew but then flared up again and was
eventually put out around 2 PM. The fire destroyed the ship's electrical
distribution system causing it to become dead in the water. The Coast
Guard Cutter Anacapa assisted the vessel and a Coast Guard helicopter
airlifted additional fire fighters to the ferry. Another State Ferry, the
M/V Taku was in the area on its Sitka to Hoonah run and was diverted to
meet up with the Columbia. All 434 passengers and six of the ferry crew
were transported off the Columbia to the Taku while they were tied up
together in the strait. The passengers were taken to Juneau by the Taku
and those with vehicles were able to stay onboard the Taku or the
Malaspina for the night. The other passengers were put up in Juneau
hotels. The Coast Guard Cutter Liberty escorted the Taku to Juneau. One
of the ferry passengers on the Taku was airlifted to the Juneau hospital
with chest pains. The Red Cross was prepared to provide shelter for any
overflow passengers. The Columbia was towed to Juneau and arrived at the
Auke Bay terminal at 7 AM. Passengers were able to retrieve their
vehicles and personal belongings later Wednesday morning. The Columbia
will be towed to Ketchikan for repairs. It is not known yet when the
Columbia will be back in service. Damage is estimated in excess of one
million dollars. The Alaska Marine Highway System will use the ferry
Matanuska to take over the Columbia's regular route while the ship is
under repairs.
---------------------
LINKS AREA
---------------------
The Disaster Center's Year 2000 Hurricane Index Page
http://www.disastercenter.com/hurricane/
2000 Hurricane Season Message Board
http://www.disastercenter.com/hurricane/bboard.mv
Heat signatures are visible from the Pumpkin Fire burning north of
Flagstaff, Arizona, in the Kaibab National Forest. Additional heat
signatures are visible on the north rim of the Grand Canyon. The northern
one is likely from the Outlet Fire burning in the Grand Canyon National
Park. Both the Pumpkin and Outlet Fires have burned over 13,000 acres each.
The second set of heat signatures on the north rim have not been identified
from Fire Status Reports.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Southwest/FHSusAZ159_N5.jpg
NEW USFA FIRE SAFETY GRANT ANNOUNCED
WASHINGTON - The U.S. Fire Administration (USFA), a part of the Federal
Emergency Management Agency, announced today a total of $250,000 in grants
is now available as part of its National Fire Safety Campaign. Ten grants of
$25,000 will be awarded to eligible organizations selected from applications
postmarked by July 24, 2000.
"The new grant program is designed to help organizations currently working
in communities with high risk groups on fire safety and prevention," said
USFA Administrator Carrye B. Brown. "Our studies indicate the risk of
fire-related injuries or deaths is highest among the elderly, children,
African-Americans, Latinos, Native Americans, and rural and urban
populations. The grants are aimed at delivering educational services and
materials which will strengthen fire safety awareness for these high risk
audiences."
Community-based organizations such as civic clubs, youth or senior citizen
groups or more formal organizations (for example, fire departments, fire
associations, or schools) are eligible to apply for a grant. The grant is
for educational programs and is not to be used to purchase fire prevention
equipment or apparatus.
Application procedures are available on the USFA website at
http://www.usfa.fema.gov/about/press/00-084.htm
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) is bracing for the likely arrival of a
major geomagnetic storm and possible auroral activity over the next few
days.
While it is geomagnetic storms that give rise to the beautiful Northern
lights, they can also pose a serious threat for commercial and military
satellite operators, power companies, astronauts, and they can even shorten
the life of oil pipelines in Alaska by increasing pipeline corrosion.
Space Weather sources at NOAA/NASA indicate that a series of major solar
flares and a subsequent full-halo coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed
at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time on June 6. The location of the flare and
direction of the CME make it a near certainty that the ejected material
will reach the Earth within the next 24 hours. Thus, it should produce
geomagnetic activity and a resulting aurora that may be visible at
mid-latitudes, and could continue for several days.
Geomagnetic storms occur when plasma, a hot ionized gas of charged
particles produced by eruptions on the Sun, impacts the Earth's magnetic
field causing it to fluctuate wildly. These fluctuations cause currents to
flow in conductors on the ground and in space. Solar eruptions can produce
billions of tons of plasma traveling at speeds in excess of a million miles
an hour.
The USGS provides valuable geomagnetic data to a wide variety of users and
organizations that are affected by geomagnetic storms. The agency operates
a network of 14 magnetic observatories that continuously monitor the
Earth's magnetic field. The data are collected in near-real time via
satellite to a downlink center located in Golden, Colo., and provided to
numerous customers including NOAA's Space Environment Center and the U.S.
Air Force Space Command Center.
Plots of the data from USGS observatories can be seen on-line at:
http://geomag.usgs.gov/frames/plots.htm
The information presented here is not authoritative.
It contains preliminary and partial information reports. It is intended to serve as a general daily digest of disaster related reports. Any other use is not intended or authorized.
The Disaster Center is a partner with CASI - Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. CASI is a group of over a thousand amateur and professional meteorologists, storm spotters, and weather observers from around the world dedicated to the observation and documentation of weather events
http://www.weatherwatchers.org
The Current Report can be accessed at:
http://www.disastercenter.com/current.htm
If you wish to send a report please use our Disaster Center Situation Report Form form located at:
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