[STORMREPORTS] USASitRep: for June 7, 2000

From: owner-sitrep{at}disastercenter.com
Date: Wed Jun 07 2000 - 12:47:13 EDT


The USA Disaster Situation Report
Situation Report for June 7, 2000
National Temperature Extremes
High Tue...113 At Coolidge AZ
Low Wed...31 At Stanley ID

Tornado Risk - Slight
There is a 2% or greater probability of a tornado within 25 miles of any
point for an area covering the northeast quarter of Montana

Hail Risk - Slight
There is a 15% or greater probability of hail 3/4 inches or larger within 25
miles of any point for an area covering northeast Montana and northwest
North Dakota. The 5% probability area covers the northeast 1/2 of Montana,
and North Dakota except the far eastern area.

Wind Risk - Slight
There is a 5% or greater probability of wind in excess of 50 knots within 25
miles of any point for an area covering the northeast 1/2 of Montana and
northwest North Dakota.

Tomorrow's Risk - Slight
The risk area tomorrow covers Montana except the western area, South Dakota
except the southcentral and southwestern areas, northern Minnesota, northern
Wisconsin, and the eastern area of Michigan's peninsula

Active Warnings:

Flood

Massachusetts
RIVER FLOOD WARNING FOR THE WESTFIELD RIVER... FOR THE WESTFIELD RIVER THIS
INCLUDES WESTFIELD. RUNOFF FRO THE HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT HAS CAUSED THE
WESTFIELD RIVER TO RISE TO 13.0 FEET. THE RIVER IS NOT EXPECTED TO RISE VERY
MUCH MORE AND WILL START TO RECEED DURING THE MORNING HOURS THIS MORNING.

Non Precipitation

Utah
...HIGH WIND WATCH LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY FOR MOST OF WESTERN UTAH.

The 24 hr precipitation forecast shows over one inch of rainfall falling in
west central Oregon. The 24 - 48 hr forecast shows no areas with rain fall
over 1 inch.

NATIONAL HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HEADQUARTERS
0850 AM EDT WED JUN 7 2000

Flood Summary
Heavy Rain in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast
Up to 4 to 6 inches of rain fell over the Mid-Atlantic and New England
states on Tuesday and early Wednesday, causing flash flooding in several
areas. New York State was particularly affected, with several creeks and
rivers there near or at above flood stage. On Wednesday, moderate to heavy
rains are expected in northern California and in the Oregon Cascades.
Scattered thunderstorms are also likely across the southern half of Florida.

FLASH FLOODING:
Flood/Flash Flood Warnings and/or Urban and Small Stream Flood Advisories
were issued over the past 24 hours for the following locations (in
alphabetical order, by state).
Connecticut: Fairfield and Litchfield Counties
Massachusetts: Berkshire County
New Jersey: Bergen and Passaic Counties
New York: Albany, Bronx, Columbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Montgomery,
New York, Orange, Rensselear, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Sullivan,
Ulster and Westchester Counties
Pennsylvania: Fayette County
Texas: Webb County
Vermont: Bennington and Windham Counties

RIVER FLOODING:
Rivers and streams with locations either above flood stage or expected to
rise above flood stage include (in alphabetical order, by state)
Illinois: the Pecatonica, Rock, Fox, Des Plaines and Mississippi Rivers
Iowa: the Cedar and Wapsipinicon Rivers
New York: the Mohawk River; the Normanskill, Catskill, Esopus and Schoharie
Creeks
Texas: the Trinity River
Virginia: the Dan River
Wisconsin: the Kickapoo, Pecatonica, Rock, Sugar, Fox, Baraboo, Crawfish and
Root Rivers

INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
WEDNESDAY, JUNE 7, 2000 - 0530 MDT
NATIONAL PREPAREDNESS LEVEL III

CURRENT SITUATION:
New large fires were reported in the Southern, Southwest and Eastern
Areas. Initial attack activity was moderate in the Southern and Southwest
Areas and light elsewhere. The National Interagency Coordination Center
mobilized an air attack aircraft, infrared aircraft, a helicopter, radio
equipment, engines, meteorological equipment, a caterer, supplies, and
miscellaneous overhead. Very high to extreme fire indices were reported
in New Mexico, Arizona, Utah, California, Colorado, Oklahoma, Texas,
Kansas, and Mississippi.

SOUTHWEST AREA LARGE FIRES:

VIVEASH, Santa Fe National Forest. A Type I Incident Management Team
(Bateman) is assigned. This fire is burning in ponderosa pine and mixed
conifer five miles northwest of Pecos, NM. No new information was
reported.

PUMPKIN, Kaibab National Forest. A Type II Incident Management Team
(Joki) is assigned. The fire is 15 miles northwest of Flagstaff, AZ.
Burnout operations are being conducted to protect endangered species
habitat, the lookout tower and a historic cabin. Potential for intense
fire activity remains.

CERRO GRANDE COMPLEX, Bandelier National Park. An Area Command Team
(Mann) and two Type II Incident Management Teams (Carr and Smith) are
assigned. The fire is near Los Alamos, NM. No new information was
reported.

MAGDALENA COMPLEX, Cibola National Forest. This is a complex of nine
fires west of Socorro, NM, two of which are uncontained. The largest is
the Gorge fire (350 acres). No new information was reported.

OUTLET, Grand Canyon National Park. A Type II Incident Management Team
(McElwaine) is assigned. The fire is 25 miles south of Jacob Lake, AZ.
No new information was reported.

CHANCE, Las Cruces District BLM. This fire is burning in grass and light
fuels 45 miles southwest of Magdalena, NM. The fire remains active in a
few areas, but poses no immediate threat to any resources or structures.

EAST, Arizona State Land Department. This lightning caused fire is five
miles southeast of Willcox, AZ. Initial attack forces successfully
protected a residence in the area.

SOUTHERN AREA LARGE FIRES:

A Type II Incident Management Team (Kearney) is staging in Gainesville,
FL.

SUGAR CREEK, Florida State Division of Forestry. This human caused fire
is burning in a pine plantation in Pasco County. Control problems include
heavy fuels.

GRADE 30 BREAKOUT, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in
St. Johns County, south of Jacksonville, FL. The fire began on timber
company land and has burned to the Intracoastal Waterway.

BRIGHT HOUR, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in Desoto
County. Rough and remote terrain are causing containment problems.

DANVILLE, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is located in
Union County. No other information was reported.

PARKWAY, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is in Pasco County,
north of Tampa, FL. The current threat is to commercial timber.
Containment efforts are being hampered by high winds and low relative
humidities.

LOUISE, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in Alachua
County near Gainesville, FL. No new information was reported.

MICROWAVE, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is located in
Osceola County, FL. No new information was reported.

BLUE HEAD RANCH I, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in
Highlands County, FL. No new information was reported.

BLUE HEAD RANCH II, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in
Highlands County, FL. No new information was reported.

MUSE AREA, Florida State Division of Forestry. These fires are in Glades
County, FL. No new information was reported.

BUNDY LAKE, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is burning in
heavy fuels 15 miles northeast of Gainesville, FL. No new information was
reported. This will be the last report unless new information is
received.

MORRIS BRIDGE ROAD, Florida State Division of Forestry. The fire is north
of Tampa, FL in Pasco County. No new information was reported. This will
be the last report unless new information is received.

CRANBERRY, Florida State Division of Forestry. This fire is in Sarasota
County, FL. No new information was reported. This will be the last
report unless new information is received.

WESTERN GREAT BASIN LARGE FIRES:

BUCK SPRINGS, Humbolt-Toiyabe National Forest. A Type II Incident
Management Team (Burdick) is assigned. This fire is burning in the Mt.
Clarkson Wilderness ten miles east of Pahrump, NV. Observed fire behavior
included isolated torching and spotting in heavy fuels. Crews are making
good progress toward containment.

EASTERN AREA LARGE FIRES:

RICE LAKE, Michigan State Forestry. The fire is burning in pine fuels 15
miles northeast of Houghton, MI. The fire is threatening approximately 20
lakeside homes near Lake Superior. Six tractor plows, five dozers, two
airtankers, and a lead plane are committed to the incident.

OUTLOOK:

*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN SOUTHERN NEVADA FOR STRONG WINDS AND
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ***

*** A RED FLAG WARNING IS POSTED IN THE INLAND PANHANDLE AREA OF FLORIDA
FOR LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ***

*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN NORTHWEST ARIZONA AND ALL OF UTAH
TODAY AND TOMORROW FOR STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
***

*** A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS POSTED IN NORTHEAST AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA
AND PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLE FOR LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ***
Southern Utah and southern Nevada will be sunny and windy. Temperatures
will be 75 to 90 for most of the area, with desert temperatures reaching
100 degrees. Winds will be west to southwest at 20 to 30 mph with gusts
up to 40 mph. Relative humidities will be from 5 to 15 percent.

Florida will be partly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms in the southern
part of the state. High temperatures will be in the mid 80's to the mid
90's. Winds will be northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Minimum relative
humidities will range from 30 to 50 percent, except in the south where
humidities will be 50 to 70 percent.

New Mexico will be partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. The
thunderstorms will be dry across the northwest part of the state. High
temperatures will be in the 80's and 90's. Winds will be west to
southwest at 10 to 20 mph and gusty. Minimum relative humidities will be
10 to 25 percent.

Arizona will be mostly sunny in the north, and partly cloudy with isolated
thunderstorms in the south. High temperatures will be 75 to 85 in the
mountains and up to 115 in the deserts. Winds will be west to southwest
at 15 to 30 mph. Minimum afternoon relative humidities will be 5 to 20
percent.

Southern Colorado will be partly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms. High
temperatures will be 75 to 85 in the mountains and 85 to 95 at lower
elevations. Minimum relative humidities will be 10 to 20 percent.

Southern California will be mostly sunny with high temperatures in the
60's and 70's along the coast, 80 to 90 in the interior and up to 112
degrees in the deserts. Winds will be west to southwest at 10 to 20 mph.
Minimum relative humidities will be 40 to 70 percent on the coast, 15 to
30 percent in the interior valleys and 5 to 15 percent in the desert
areas.

A red flag warning is posted today for strong winds and low relative
humidity in southcentral and southeastern Alaska. A fire weather watch is
posted for strong winds and low relative humidity in the Upper Yukon
region of Alaska.

UNITED STATES GEOLOGICAL SURVEY
NATIONAL EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION CENTER
GOLDEN, COLORADO
LISTS OF U.S. EARTHQUAKES IN THE LAST 30 HOURS
Prepared by USGS/NEIC 2000 JUN 07 at 00:15 UTC

EARTHQUAKES IN WEST CENTRAL UNITED STATES
(35.8 TO 40.3 N, 102.0 TO 125.0 W)
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 JUN 6 20:57:21.00 38.8 N 122.8 W 4 km 2.8
15 miles SW of Clearlake, California

EARTHQUAKES IN STATE OF ALASKA
Date Time (UTC) Lat Long Depth Magnitude
2000 JUN 6 14:13:34.00 63.6 N 150.5 W 10 km 2.8
50 miles WNW of Cantwell, Alaska
2000 JUN 6 12:41:51.07 53.0 N 171.5 E 49 km 4.3
70 miles W of Attu, Alaska

Severe Weather Reports
Note: All data is considered preliminary
Tornado Reports
Time F-Scale Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1915 UNK FT LAUDERDALE BROWARD FL 2613 8013 REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGER.
(MIA)

Hail Reports
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
0110 100 CONCHAS DAM SAN MIGUEL NM 3536 10418 (ABQ)

Wind Reports
No reports received

Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH

WEATHER THREATS ASSESSMENT

Long-term drought continues over portions of the Midwest, South, and Hawaii.
General risk of wildfires remains high over western New Mexico, most of
Arizona, portions of the Rockies and intermountain region, and northern and
central Florida.
Much above normal temperatures may combine with high humidity to bring
excessive heat to portions of the central and northern Great Plains and the
upper Mississippi Valley on Fri June 9 and Sat June 10.
DETAILED SUMMARY

For Friday June 9 through Sunday June 11: A frontal boundary is forecast to
lay over the north-central states near the Canadian border while short waves
from the trough over the northwestern states will provide some instability
for thunderstorm activity associated with this front. Much above normal
temperatures are forecast for areas of the central and northern Plains and
High Plains ahaed of this front on Fri June 9 and Sat June 10.

For Monday June 12 through Friday June 16: The long term drought and dry
fuel conditions are expected to persist although improvements in some areas
are possible.

For Saturday June 17 through Tuesday June 20: The flow pattern is expected
to flatten somewhat, but the jet stream location is forecast to continue to
be generally in the vicinity of the Canadian border with a broad ridge
dominating the southern half of the lower 48 states.

-----------------
LINKS AREA
----------------
Yesterday we posted several reports regarding fires in Florida. And
recently we have been posting county reports from a couple of Florida's
counties.
http://www.disastercenter.com/florida/bboard.mv

A number of heat signatures (red) are visible from fires burning along the
Mississippi River Basin in Arkansas and Mississippi.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Midwest/FHSusAR158_N4.jpg

Heat signatures are visible from the Pumpkin Fire burning north of
Flagstaff, Arizona, in the Kaibab National Forest. The fire has burned over
12,000 acres.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Fires/US_Southwest/FHSusAZ158_N5.jpg

This is a 10 frame loop of the ash cloud from the early morning eruption on
5 June 2000 by Mt. Etna. The cloud moves eastward and dissipates in about 2
hours.
http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Volcano/Sicily/VSHetna157_MT.avi

The information presented here is not authoritative.
It contains preliminary and partial information reports. It is intended to serve as a general daily digest of disaster related reports. Any other use is not intended or authorized.

The Disaster Center is a partner with CASI - Central Atlantic Storm Investigators. CASI is a group of over a thousand amateur and professional meteorologists, storm spotters, and weather observers from around the world dedicated to the observation and documentation of weather events
http://www.weatherwatchers.org

The Current Report can be accessed at:
http://www.disastercenter.com/current.htm
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