[STORMREPORTS] RE: Severe PA/NY

From: Jesse Ferrell (CASI) (j{at}weatherwatchers.org)
Date: Tue May 23 2000 - 15:09:24 EDT


William Spencer wrote:

> I know I shouldn't put discussion from nws on the list but thought everyone > in northeast pa should be warned

Well the general rule for NWS info is to not post the entire statement
without comment, in the previous message you see I clipped the important
points out and provided a URL for more info. This is acceptable. ALL
NWS info is available at their website and 99% of the readers of this
list have web access.

William Spencer wrote:

> tomorrow will bee rough, distructiv potential of this storm is high for us. > please all
> casi members take heed too this warning, supose too be worse than last three > episodes.
> there is a pattern of model inconsistency that is there through a lot of > major severe
> weather outbrakes. every one be careful

Yes this is definitely the biggest (possible) event this year. Now that
the Moderate risk has shifted to the East in PA I am more concerned
about the heavy weather being there. It is very difficult to get the
severe weather in the western part of the state, even this time of year.

I was thinking "what if we were in a High Risk", but If you look at the
SPC Risk for 6/2/98 you will see a similar forecast, we were only in
Moderate.
http://casi.simplenet.com/1998/0602/dy1-602a.gif
This day brought a good bit of severe weather including the Frostburg MD
F4 tornado.
http://casi.simplenet.com/1998/0602/

To get a better feel for whether you will be in for Tornados, Winds, or
Hail, keep an eye on the 24-Hour SPC Experimental Outlooks tomorrow (I
believe these are put into text format by the USASitRep from our partner
Disaster Center, is that right, Chris?)
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/

-- 
==============================================================
Jesse Ferrell - Meteorologist/Web Dev. - j{at}weatherwatchers.org 
Central Atlantic Storm Investigators - www.weatherwatchers.org

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