ABUS34 KLIT 011915
PNSLIT
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 115 PM CST WED DEC 1 1999
LITTLE ROCK JUST COMPLETED ITS THIRD WARMEST NOVEMBER ON RECORD AND 5TH
WARMEST FALL
(SEPTEMBER-NOVEMBER) ON RECORD. TEMPERATURES HAVE AVERAGED ABOVE NORMAL
ON TEN OF THE ELEVEN MONTHS OF THE YEAR WITH ONLY MARCH BEING COOLER
THAN NORMAL.
THIS RAISES INTEREST IN WHETHER 1999 MAY BE ABOUT TO BE THE WARMEST YEAR
ON RECORD IN LITTLE ROCK. THAT HONOR CURRENTLY BELONGS TO 1998 WHICH HAD
AN AVERAGE TEMPERATURE OF 65.5 DEGREES...WHICH IS 4.2 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL AND 0.7 DEGREES WARMER THAN THE SECOND WARMEST YEAR ON
RECORD...WHICH IS 1954.
THROUGH NOVEMBER...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN LITTLE ROCK FOR 1999 IS
66.6 DEGREES. THIS IRONICALLY WAS ALSO THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR THE
THREE FALL MONTHS OF
SEPTEMBER...OCTOBER...AND NOVEMBER. THIS AVERAGE OF 66.6 DEGREES IS 0.7
DEGREES LOWER THAN THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR 1998 THROUGH NOVEMBER.
IN ORDER FOR 1999 TO FINISH AS THE WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD...THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE FOR DECEMBER WILL HAVE TO BE AT LEAST 53.8 DEGREES. THIS IS
11.6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND WOULD BE THE SECOND WARMEST DECEMBER ON
RECORD. TO TIE LAST YEAR FOR THE WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD...THE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURE FOR DECEMBER WILL HAVE TO BE BETWEEN 52.6 AND 53.7
DEGREES...STILL 10.4 TO 11.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. BASED ON PAST
RECORDS...THERE IS ABOUT A 0.8 PERCENT CHANCE THAT DECEMBER 1999 WILL BE
WARM ENOUGH FOR 1999 TO FINISH AS THE WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD.
HOWEVER...THE CHANCE FOR 1999 TO FINISH AS THE SECOND WARMEST YEAR ON
RECORD IS A LOT BETTER. IN ORDER FOR 1999 TO TIE 1954 AS THE SECOND
WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD...THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE FOR DECEMBER WILL HAVE
TO FINISH BETWEEN 44.2 AND 45.3 DEGREES. THIS IS 2.0 TO 3.1 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL AND IS WELL WITHIN REACH...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THAT MOST
MONTHS THIS YEAR HAVE BEEN MUCH WARMER THAN NORMAL.
AN AVERAGE DECEMBER TEMPERATURE OF 45.4 DEGREES...3.2 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WILL BE ENOUGH TO MAKE 1999 THE SECOND WARMEST YEAR ON RECORD BY
ITSELF.
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